Retail Trade, Australia

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This publication contains monthly estimates of turnover for retail establishments

Reference period

January 2020

Released

6/03/2020

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Key statistics

The trend estimate rose 0.1%
The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.3%
In trend terms, Australian turnover rose 2.3%, compared with Jan 2019

Main features

January key figures

		January 2020	December 2019 to January 2020
		$m	% change
Turnover at current prices
	Trend	27 758.4	0.1
	Seasonally Adjusted	27 632.0	-0.3

Monthly turnover, current prices - trend estimate
	Monthly turnover (%)
N 2018	0.2
D	0.2
J 2019	0.2
F	0.2
M	0.2
A	0.2
M	0.2
J	0.1
J	0.2
A	0.2
S	0.3
O	0.2
N	0.2
D	0.1
J 2020	0.1

Monthly turnover, current prices - trend estimate

["","Monthly turnover"]

[["N 2018","D","J 2019","F","M","A","M","J","J","A","S","O","N","D","J 2020"],[[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.10000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.29999999999999999],[0.20000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001],[0.10000000000000001],[0.10000000000000001]]]

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January key points

Current prices

The trend estimate rose 0.1% in January 2020. This follows a rise of 0.1% in December 2019, and a rise of 0.2% in November 2019.
The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.3% in January 2020. This follows a fall of 0.7% in December 2019, and a rise of 1.0% in November 2019.
In trend terms, Australian turnover rose 2.3% in January 2020 compared with January 2019.
The following industries rose in trend terms in January 2020: Food retailing (0.2%), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (0.1%), and Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (0.1%). Household goods retailing (0.0%), and Other retailing (0.0%) were relatively unchanged. Department stores (-0.3%) fell in trend terms in January 2020.
The following states and territories rose in trend terms in January 2020: Queensland (0.3%), Victoria (0.2%), Tasmania (0.7%), and the Northern Territory (0.1%). South Australia (0.0%), and Western Australia (0.0%) were relatively unchanged. New South Wales (-0.1%), and the Australian Capital Territory (-0.2%) fell in trend terms in January 2020.

Changes in this issue

There are no revisions to the original estimates. Revisions to seasonally adjusted estimates are due to the concurrent methodology for deriving seasonal factors.

This issue includes updated online retail turnover estimates for the January 2020 reference month and updated consumer sales estimates for the December 2019 quarter. The estimates are provided and explained in the appendix section of this publication. As part of the ongoing development of the Survey of Consumer sales, changes have been adopted for the Energy retailing series. This change has resulted in changes to historical data.

Bushfires in January

There was no impact from bushfires on the data collection activities or data quality for this release. Some retail businesses in New South Wales, Victoria and the Australian Capital Territory especially reported negative impacts to retail turnover from bushfires and associated smoke haze. Impacts were apparent in all industries and are included in the aggregate data.

Corona virus (COVID 19) in January

The World Health Organisation (WHO) commenced daily situation reports of the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak on 21 January 2020 and identified it as an international health emergency on 30 January. From 1 February, the Australia Government has placed travel restrictions on those travelling to Australia from mainland China.

Whilst some individual retail businesses reported reduced customer numbers attributed to COVID-19 there was no apparent impact on any of the aggregate level data included in this release. It is expected that COVID-19 will impact aggregate retail trade estimates in coming months.

Time series data

Data available from the Data downloads section of this issue on the ABS website include longer time series of tables in this publication:
Monthly retail turnover by state and 15 industry subgroups in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Monthly retail turnover completely enumerated and sample sectors, by six industry groups and also by state in original terms
Monthly retail turnover completely enumerated sector, total level in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Quarterly retail chain volume measures by six industry groups and also by state in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Quarterly retail turnover per capita in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Quarterly sales to households by selected service industries in original terms
Quarterly measures of total retail turnover per capita.

Analysis - total retail

Total retail - monthly

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to January 2020.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.1% in January 2020, following a rise of 0.1% in December 2019, and a rise of 0.2% in November 2019.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover fell 0.3% in January 2020, following a fall of 0.7% in December 2019, and a rise of 1.0% in November 2019.

The original estimate for Australian turnover fell 22.4% in January 2020. The original estimate for chains and other large retailers fell 23.2% in January 2020. The original estimate for smaller retailers fell 20.1% in January 2020.

Retail turnover, Australia
	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Jan 2018	26,316	26,338
Feb 2018	26,412	26,426
Mar 2018	26,499	26,443
Apr 2018	26,579	26,580
May 2018	26,655	26,688
Jun 2018	26,731	26,740
Jul 2018	26,805	26,777
Aug 2018	26,867	26,876
Sep 2018	26,919	26,905
Oct 2018	26,967	27,021
Nov 2018	27,021	27,028
Dec 2018	27,081	27,008
Jan 2019	27,147	27,102
Feb 2019	27,213	27,269
Mar 2019	27,275	27,331
Apr 2019	27,328	27,307
May 2019	27,370	27,370
Jun 2019	27,411	27,413
Jul 2019	27,465	27,414
Aug 2019	27,534	27,530
Sep 2019	27,604	27,609
Oct 2019	27,663	27,618
Nov 2019	27,707	27,892
Dec 2019	27,738	27,710
Jan 2020	27,758	27,632

Retail turnover, Australia

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Total retail - by state

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in January 2020: Queensland (0.3%), Victoria (0.2%), Tasmania (0.7%), and the Northern Territory (0.1%). South Australia (0.0%), and Western Australia (0.0%) were relatively unchanged. New South Wales (-0.1%), and the Australian Capital Territory (-0.2%) fell in trend terms in January 2020.

The following states and territories fell in seasonally adjusted terms in January 2020: Western Australia (-1.1%), Victoria (-0.2%), the Australian Capital Territory (-2.3%), New South Wales (-0.1%), Queensland (-0.1%), Tasmania (-0.5%), and the Northern Territory (-0.5%). South Australia (0.1%) rose in seasonally adjusted terms in January 2020.

Retail turnover, states and territories
	Seasonally Adjusted (%)	Trend (%)
NSW	-0.1	-0.1
VIC	-0.2	0.2
QLD	-0.1	0.3
SA	0.1	0.0
WA	-1.1	0.0
TAS	-0.5	0.7
NT	-0.5	0.1
ACT	-2.3	-0.2
Total	-0.3	0.1

Retail turnover, states and territories

["","Seasonally Adjusted","Trend"]

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Analysis by industry

Food retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Food retailing rose 0.2% in January 2020. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.4%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Supermarkets and grocery stores (0.1%), and Liquor retailing (0.3%), and fell for Other specialised food retailing (-0.1%). The seasonally adjusted estimate rose for Supermarkets and grocery stores (0.4%), and Liquor retailing (0.9%), and fell for Other specialised food retailing (-1.1%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Jan 2018	10,670	10,667
Feb 2018	10,713	10,678
Mar 2018	10,759	10,770
Apr 2018	10,806	10,815
May 2018	10,850	10,854
Jun 2018	10,887	10,895
Jul 2018	10,918	10,924
Aug 2018	10,943	10,933
Sep 2018	10,968	10,978
Oct 2018	10,999	10,993
Nov 2018	11,038	11,018
Dec 2018	11,086	11,081
Jan 2019	11,136	11,125
Feb 2019	11,179	11,200
Mar 2019	11,211	11,241
Apr 2019	11,231	11,252
May 2019	11,243	11,222
Jun 2019	11,255	11,222
Jul 2019	11,274	11,270
Aug 2019	11,300	11,311
Sep 2019	11,331	11,333
Oct 2019	11,360	11,356
Nov 2019	11,386	11,416
Dec 2019	11,408	11,383
Jan 2020	11,426	11,426

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Household goods retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Household goods retailing was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in January 2020. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 1.1%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Furniture, floor coverings, houseware and textile goods retailing (0.3%), and fell for Hardware, building and garden supplies retailing (-0.1%), and Electrical and electronic goods retailing (-0.1%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Electrical and electronic goods retailing (-2.1%), Furniture, floor coverings, houseware and textile goods retailing (-2.0%), and rose for Hardware, building and garden supplies retailing (0.9%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally adjusted ($m)
Jan-18	4,556	4,574
Feb-18	4,585	4,593
Mar-18	4,602	4,575
Apr-18	4,606	4,624
May-18	4,602	4,615
Jun-18	4,598	4,609
Jul-18	4,595	4,563
Aug-18	4,594	4,581
Sep-18	4,592	4,585
Oct-18	4,591	4,630
Nov-18	4,589	4,610
Dec-18	4,584	4,542
Jan-19	4,577	4,567
Feb-19	4,571	4,589
Mar-19	4,569	4,587
Apr-19	4,571	4,545
May-19	4,576	4,580
Jun-19	4,582	4,582
Jul-19	4,593	4,592
Aug-19	4,609	4,609
Sep-19	4,625	4,621
Oct-19	4,636	4,624
Nov-19	4,644	4,684
Dec-19	4,649	4,659
Jan-20	4,651	4,610

["","Trend","Seasonally adjusted"]

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Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing rose 0.1% in January 2020. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 1.1%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Clothing retailing (0.3%), and fell for Footwear and other personal accessory retailing (-0.6%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Clothing retailing (-1.2%), and Footwear and other personal accessory retailing (-0.8%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally adjusted ($m)
Jan-18	2,050	2,056
Feb-18	2,057	2,064
Mar-18	2,064	2,042
Apr-18	2,071	2,057
May-18	2,077	2,103
Jun-18	2,084	2,097
Jul-18	2,091	2,079
Aug-18	2,098	2,094
Sep-18	2,103	2,076
Oct-18	2,109	2,135
Nov-18	2,117	2,140
Dec-18	2,123	2,103
Jan-19	2,128	2,114
Feb-19	2,131	2,137
Mar-19	2,136	2,158
Apr-19	2,142	2,127
May-19	2,149	2,140
Jun-19	2,156	2,170
Jul-19	2,165	2,152
Aug-19	2,176	2,189
Sep-19	2,186	2,182
Oct-19	2,193	2,168
Nov-19	2,197	2,241
Dec-19	2,199	2,198
Jan-20	2,201	2,174

["","Trend","Seasonally adjusted"]

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Department stores

In current prices, the trend estimate for Department stores fell 0.3% in January 2020. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 2.2%.

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Jan 2018	1,546	1,540
Feb 2018	1,548	1,549
Mar 2018	1,552	1,550
Apr 2018	1,558	1,537
May 2018	1,562	1,594
Jun 2018	1,564	1,575
Jul 2018	1,564	1,546
Aug 2018	1,562	1,554
Sep 2018	1,559	1,561
Oct 2018	1,555	1,564
Nov 2018	1,552	1,559
Dec 2018	1,551	1,550
Jan 2019	1,551	1,527
Feb 2019	1,554	1,570
Mar 2019	1,557	1,548
Apr 2019	1,562	1,571
May 2019	1,564	1,575
Jun 2019	1,566	1,560
Jul 2019	1,569	1,557
Aug 2019	1,573	1,578
Sep 2019	1,578	1,575
Oct 2019	1,580	1,563
Nov 2019	1,579	1,628
Dec 2019	1,576	1,572
Jan 2020	1,571	1,537

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Other retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Other retailing was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in January 2020. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.1%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate fell for Newspaper and book retailing (-1.0%), Other retailing n.e.c. (-0.1%), and Other recreational goods retailing (-0.3%), and rose for Pharmaceutical, cosmetic and toiletry goods retailing (0.2%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Other recreational goods retailing (-3.5%), Pharmaceutical, cosmetic and toiletry goods retailing (-0.3%), and Newspaper and book retailing (-0.7%), and rose for Other retailing n.e.c. (1.1%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally adjusted ($m)
Jan-18	3,744	3,764
Feb-18	3,756	3,770
Mar-18	3,765	3,762
Apr-18	3,774	3,768
May-18	3,788	3,775
Jun-18	3,807	3,782
Jul-18	3,830	3,852
Aug-18	3,852	3,873
Sep-18	3,870	3,859
Oct-18	3,882	3,886
Nov-18	3,889	3,892
Dec-18	3,892	3,879
Jan-19	3,896	3,907
Feb-19	3,904	3,910
Mar-19	3,914	3,889
Apr-19	3,926	3,926
May-19	3,940	3,949
Jun-19	3,954	3,968
Jul-19	3,967	3,953
Aug-19	3,975	3,970
Sep-19	3,978	3,994
Oct-19	3,979	3,989
Nov-19	3,979	3,968
Dec-19	3,978	3,975
Jan-20	3,977	3,972

["","Trend","Seasonally adjusted"]

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Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services

In current prices, the trend estimate for Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services rose 0.1% in January 2020. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.3%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Takeaway food services (0.5%), and fell for Cafes, restaurants and catering services (-0.2%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Cafes, restaurants and catering services (-1.2%), and rose for Takeaway food services (1.2%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally adjusted ($m)
Jan-18	3,752	3,738
Feb-18	3,755	3,772
Mar-18	3,756	3,744
Apr-18	3,763	3,779
May-18	3,776	3,749
Jun-18	3,792	3,782
Jul-18	3,806	3,814
Aug-18	3,818	3,840
Sep-18	3,826	3,846
Oct-18	3,831	3,813
Nov-18	3,837	3,810
Dec-18	3,845	3,854
Jan-19	3,858	3,863
Feb-19	3,874	3,863
Mar-19	3,889	3,909
Apr-19	3,897	3,887
May-19	3,898	3,904
Jun-19	3,897	3,912
Jul-19	3,897	3,890
Aug-19	3,900	3,874
Sep-19	3,907	3,904
Oct-19	3,915	3,918
Nov-19	3,922	3,956
Dec-19	3,928	3,923
Jan-20	3,933	3,913

["","Trend","Seasonally adjusted"]

[["Jan-18","Feb-18","Mar-18","Apr-18","May-18","Jun-18","Jul-18","Aug-18","Sep-18","Oct-18","Nov-18","Dec-18","Jan-19","Feb-19","Mar-19","Apr-19","May-19","Jun-19","Jul-19","Aug-19","Sep-19","Oct-19","Nov-19","Dec-19","Jan-20"],[[3752.3000000000002],[3754.8000000000002],[3756.4000000000001],[3763.0999999999999],[3776.0999999999999],[3791.5999999999999],[3806.3000000000002],[3818.3000000000002],[3826.0999999999999],[3831],[3836.5],[3844.6999999999998],[3857.9000000000001],[3874.1999999999998],[3888.5],[3896.6999999999998],[3898],[3896.6999999999998],[3897],[3900.3000000000002],[3907.0999999999999],[3915.1999999999998],[3922.4000000000001],[3927.9000000000001],[3933.3000000000002]],[[3737.5],[3772.0999999999999],[3743.5999999999999],[3779.1999999999998],[3748.9000000000001],[3782.4000000000001],[3814],[3840.3000000000002],[3846],[3813.3000000000002],[3809.5],[3853.6999999999998],[3862.5999999999999],[3863.3000000000002],[3909.3000000000002],[3887],[3904],[3911.9000000000001],[3890.0999999999999],[3874.4000000000001],[3903.6999999999998],[3917.9000000000001],[3955.6999999999998],[3922.5],[3912.5999999999999]]]

[]

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