Retail Trade, Australia

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This publication contains monthly estimates of turnover for retail establishments

Reference period

December 2019

Released

6/02/2020

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Key statistics

The trend estimate rose 0.3%.
The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.5%.
In trend terms, Australian turnover rose 2.8%, compared with Dec 2018.
In volume terms, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.2%.

Main features

December key figures

		December 2019	November 2019 to December 2019
		$m	% change
Turnover at current prices
	Trend	27 836.3	0.3
	Seasonally Adjusted	27 765.4	-0.5

		December Qtr 2019	September Qtr 2019 to December Qtr 2019
		$m	% change
Turnover in volume terms
	Trend	80 055.0	0.2
	Seasonally Adjusted	80 186.3	0.5

Monthly turnover, current prices - trend estimate
	Monthly turnover (%)
O 2018	0.2
N	0.2
D	0.2
J	0.2
F 2019	0.2
M	0.2
A	0.2
M	0.2
J	0.2
J	0.2
A	0.3
S	0.3
O	0.3
N	0.3
D	0.3

Monthly turnover, current prices - trend estimate

["","Monthly turnover"]

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Quarterly turnover, in volume terms - trend estimate
	Quarterly turnover (%)
Dec 2016	0.5
Mar 2017	0.7
Jun 2017	0.7
Sep 2017	0.5
Dec 2017	0.6
Mar 2018	0.6
Jun 2018	0.7
Sep 2018	0.4
Dec 2018	0.0
Mar 2019	-0.1
Jun 2019	0.0
Sep 2019	0.1
Dec 2019	0.2

Quarterly turnover, in volume terms - trend estimate

["","Quarterly turnover"]

[["Dec 2016","Mar 2017","Jun 2017","Sep 2017","Dec 2017","Mar 2018","Jun 2018","Sep 2018","Dec 2018","Mar 2019","Jun 2019","Sep 2019","Dec 2019"],[[0.5],[0.69999999999999996],[0.69999999999999996],[0.5],[0.59999999999999998],[0.59999999999999998],[0.69999999999999996],[0.40000000000000002],[0],[-0.10000000000000001],[0],[0.10000000000000001],[0.20000000000000001]]]

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December key points

Current prices

The trend estimate rose 0.3% in December 2019. This follows a rise of 0.3% in November 2019 and a rise of 0.3% in October 2019.
The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.5% in December 2019. This follows a rise of 1.0% in November 2019 and a rise of 0.1% in October 2019.
In trend terms, Australian turnover rose 2.8% in December 2019 compared with December 2018.
The following industries rose in trend terms in December 2019: Food retailing (0.2%), Household goods retailing (0.4%), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (0.2%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (0.4%), and Department stores (0.3%). Other retailing (0.0%), was relatively unchanged in trend terms in December 2019.
The following states and territories rose in trend terms in December 2019: Queensland (0.5%), Victoria (0.3%), Western Australia (0.3%), New South Wales (0.1%), Tasmania (0.9%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.4%), South Australia (0.1%), and the Northern Territory (0.4%).

Volume measures

In volume terms, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.2% in the December quarter 2019.

Changes in this issue

There are no revisions to the original estimates. Revisions to seasonally adjusted estimates are due to the concurrent methodology for deriving seasonal factors.

This issue includes updated online retail turnover estimates for the December 2019 reference month and updated per capita turnover for the December quarter 2019. The estimates are provided and explained in the appendix section of this publication.

Bushfires in December and January

Bushfires resulted in only minor disruption to data collection activities during January 2020 in New South Wales, Victoria and the Australian Capital Territory. Quality assurance undertaken by the ABS confirmed that these disruptions to data collection did not result in any significant impact to the quality of December Retail Trade statistics. Some retail businesses reported negative impacts to retail turnover from bushfires in New South Wales in the December month, especially in Food retailing and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services. These impacts are included in the aggregate data. Further impacts to retail turnover may be expected in other states and territories in the January 2020 statistics.

Time series data

Data available from the Data downloads section of this issue on the ABS website include longer time series of tables in this publication:
Monthly retail turnover by state and 15 industry subgroups in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Monthly retail turnover completely enumerated and sample sectors, by six industry groups and also by state in original terms
Monthly retail turnover completely enumerated sector, total level in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Quarterly retail chain volume measures by six industry groups and also by state in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Quarterly retail turnover per capita in trend, seasonally adjusted and original terms
Quarterly sales to households by selected service industries in original terms
Quarterly measures of total retail turnover per capita.

Analysis - total retail

Total retail- monthly

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to December 2019.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in December 2019. This follows a rise of 0.3% in November 2019 and a rise of 0.3% in October 2019.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover fell 0.5% in December 2019. This follows a rise of 1.0% in November 2019 and a rise of 0.1% in October 2019.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 19.2% in December 2019. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 21.9% in December 2019. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 12.4% in December 2019.

Retail turnover, Australia
	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	26,215	26,330
Jan 2018	26,311	26,301
Feb 2018	26,401	26,417
Mar 2018	26,485	26,422
Apr 2018	26,566	26,565
May 2018	26,647	26,689
Jun 2018	26,728	26,735
Jul 2018	26,808	26,778
Aug 2018	26,875	26,887
Sep 2018	26,930	26,916
Oct 2018	26,979	27,028
Nov 2018	27,029	27,036
Dec 2018	27,083	27,047
Jan 2019	27,141	27,060
Feb 2019	27,202	27,254
Mar 2019	27,261	27,322
Apr 2019	27,315	27,298
May 2019	27,361	27,355
Jun 2019	27,405	27,416
Jul 2019	27,460	27,412
Aug 2019	27,531	27,542
Sep 2019	27,611	27,605
Oct 2019	27,691	27,634
Nov 2019	27,766	27,916
Dec 2019	27,836	27,765

Retail turnover, Australia

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Total retail - quarterly

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the December quarter 2019 rose 0.5%. This follows a fall of 0.1% in the September quarter 2019, and a relatively unchanged result (0.0%) in the June quarter 2019.

In the December quarter 2019 the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Household goods retailing (1.4%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (1.5%), Department stores (2.1%), and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (0.5%). Food retailing (-0.4%) and Other retailing (-0.6%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in the December quarter 2019.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover rose 0.4% in seasonally adjusted terms in the December quarter 2019.

Total retail - by state

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in December 2019: Queensland (0.5%), Victoria (0.3%), Western Australia (0.3%), New South Wales (0.1%), Tasmania (0.9%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.4%), South Australia (0.1%) and the Northern Territory (0.4%).

The following states and territories fell in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2019: New South Wales (-1.2%), Queensland (-0.5%), South Australia (-1.3%), the Northern Territory (-0.4%), and the Australian Capital Territory (-0.1%). Victoria (0.0%) and Western Australia (0.0%) were relatively unchanged, while Tasmania (1.1%) rose in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2019.

Retail turnover, states and territories
	Seasonally Adusted (%)	Trend (%)
NSW	-1.2	0.1
VIC	0.0	0.3
QLD	-0.5	0.5
SA	-1.3	0.1
WA	0.0	0.3
TAS	1.1	0.9
NT	-0.4	0.4
ACT	-0.1	0.4
Total	-0.5	0.3

Retail turnover, states and territories

["","Seasonally Adusted","Trend"]

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In the December quarter 2019, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states and territories: Queensland (1.4%), Western Australia (0.9%), Victoria (0.2%), Tasmania (2.7%), the Australian Capital Territory (1.4%), and the Northern Territory (1.4%). New South Wales (-0.1%) and South Australia (-0.3%) fell in seasonally adjusted volume terms in the December quarter 2019.

Analysis by industry

Food retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Food retailing rose 0.2% in December 2019. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.3%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Supermarkets and grocery stores (0.1%), Liquor retailing (0.4%), and Other specialised food retailing (0.5%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Supermarkets and grocery stores (-0.1%), Liquor retailing (-1.2%), and Other specialised food retailing (-0.8%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	10,635	10,674
Jan 2018	10,673	10,667
Feb 2018	10,713	10,676
Mar 2018	10,756	10,761
Apr 2018	10,801	10,815
May 2018	10,845	10,843
Jun 2018	10,883	10,894
Jul 2018	10,916	10,918
Aug 2018	10,944	10,942
Sep 2018	10,971	10,974
Oct 2018	11,003	10,993
Nov 2018	11,043	11,026
Dec 2018	11,090	11,096
Jan 2019	11,138	11,120
Feb 2019	11,179	11,196
Mar 2019	11,208	11,238
Apr 2019	11,227	11,244
May 2019	11,239	11,223
Jun 2019	11,252	11,215
Jul 2019	11,271	11,270
Aug 2019	11,299	11,312
Sep 2019	11,332	11,331
Oct 2019	11,363	11,351
Nov 2019	11,393	11,430
Dec 2019	11,420	11,397

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Household goods retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Household goods retailing rose 0.4% in December 2019. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.3%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Furniture, floor coverings, houseware and textile goods retailing (0.7%) and Electrical and electronic goods retailing (0.4%), and fell for Hardware, building and garden supplies retailing (-0.1%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Hardware, building and garden supplies retailing (-1.3%), and Electrical and electronic goods retailing (-0.3%), and rose for Furniture, floor coverings, houseware and textile goods retailing (1.1%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	4,521	4,573
Jan 2018	4,553	4,554
Feb 2018	4,580	4,590
Mar 2018	4,598	4,570
Apr 2018	4,603	4,623
May 2018	4,601	4,616
Jun 2018	4,598	4,605
Jul 2018	4,598	4,567
Aug 2018	4,597	4,582
Sep 2018	4,596	4,591
Oct 2018	4,594	4,632
Nov 2018	4,590	4,613
Dec 2018	4,583	4,552
Jan 2019	4,574	4,548
Feb 2019	4,567	4,585
Mar 2019	4,565	4,587
Apr 2019	4,568	4,544
May 2019	4,574	4,575
Jun 2019	4,582	4,587
Jul 2019	4,593	4,590
Aug 2019	4,609	4,612
Sep 2019	4,627	4,623
Oct 2019	4,645	4,630
Nov 2019	4,662	4,688
Dec 2019	4,679	4,675

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing rose 0.4% in December 2019. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 1.5%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Clothing retailing (0.6%), and fell for Footwear and other personal accessory retailing (-0.2%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Footwear and other personal accessory retailing (-3.7%), and Clothing retailing (-0.4%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	2,042	2,057
Jan 2018	2,049	2,049
Feb 2018	2,055	2,062
Mar 2018	2,062	2,040
Apr 2018	2,069	2,054
May 2018	2,076	2,104
Jun 2018	2,084	2,096
Jul 2018	2,092	2,080
Aug 2018	2,099	2,094
Sep 2018	2,105	2,079
Oct 2018	2,111	2,138
Nov 2018	2,117	2,139
Dec 2018	2,122	2,109
Jan 2019	2,126	2,104
Feb 2019	2,129	2,134
Mar 2019	2,133	2,157
Apr 2019	2,140	2,128
May 2019	2,148	2,136
Jun 2019	2,156	2,170
Jul 2019	2,165	2,153
Aug 2019	2,175	2,190
Sep 2019	2,187	2,183
Oct 2019	2,198	2,173
Nov 2019	2,209	2,243
Dec 2019	2,218	2,210

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Department stores

In current prices, the trend estimate for Department stores rose 0.6% in December 2019. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 5.6%.

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	1,546	1,547
Jan 2018	1,544	1,528
Feb 2018	1,545	1,549
Mar 2018	1,550	1,548
Apr 2018	1,557	1,535
May 2018	1,563	1,600
Jun 2018	1,565	1,570
Jul 2018	1,566	1,551
Aug 2018	1,564	1,554
Sep 2018	1,561	1,566
Oct 2018	1,556	1,565
Nov 2018	1,552	1,558
Dec 2018	1,550	1,553
Jan 2019	1,549	1,515
Feb 2019	1,551	1,570
Mar 2019	1,555	1,547
Apr 2019	1,560	1,570
May 2019	1,564	1,572
Jun 2019	1,566	1,563
Jul 2019	1,569	1,558
Aug 2019	1,573	1,579
Sep 2019	1,579	1,578
Oct 2019	1,586	1,568
Nov 2019	1,591	1,626
Dec 2019	1,597	1,581

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

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Other retailing

In current prices, the trend estimate for Other retailing was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in December 2019. The seasonally adjusted estimate rose 0.2%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Pharmaceutical, cosmetic and toiletry goods retailing (0.3%) and Other recreational goods retailing (0.4%), and fell for Other retailing n.e.c (-0.2%) and Newspaper and book retailing (-1.3%). The seasonally adjusted estimate rose for Pharmaceutical, cosmetic and toiletry goods retailing (0.8%) and Other recreational goods retailing (2.0%), and fell for Other retailing n.e.c (-0.6%) and Newspaper and book retailing (-1.4%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	3,730	3,733
Jan 2018	3,743	3,763
Feb 2018	3,755	3,769
Mar 2018	3,764	3,762
Apr 2018	3,773	3,764
May 2018	3,787	3,774
Jun 2018	3,807	3,786
Jul 2018	3,830	3,850
Aug 2018	3,853	3,875
Sep 2018	3,871	3,858
Oct 2018	3,883	3,886
Nov 2018	3,889	3,893
Dec 2018	3,892	3,883
Jan 2019	3,896	3,904
Feb 2019	3,903	3,908
Mar 2019	3,912	3,887
Apr 2019	3,925	3,928
May 2019	3,939	3,946
Jun 2019	3,954	3,968
Jul 2019	3,966	3,953
Aug 2019	3,974	3,974
Sep 2019	3,979	3,990
Oct 2019	3,982	3,990
Nov 2019	3,984	3,973
Dec 2019	3,985	3,981

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

[["Dec 2017","Jan 2018","Feb 2018","Mar 2018","Apr 2018","May 2018","Jun 2018","Jul 2018","Aug 2018","Sep 2018","Oct 2018","Nov 2018","Dec 2018","Jan 2019","Feb 2019","Mar 2019","Apr 2019","May 2019","Jun 2019","Jul 2019","Aug 2019","Sep 2019","Oct 2019","Nov 2019","Dec 2019"],[[3730.1999999999998],[3743.4000000000001],[3754.6999999999998],[3763.6999999999998],[3773.1999999999998],[3787],[3807],[3830.4000000000001],[3853],[3871.1999999999998],[3883],[3888.9000000000001],[3891.6999999999998],[3895.5],[3902.5],[3912.3000000000002],[3924.5999999999999],[3939.3000000000002],[3954.0999999999999],[3966.1999999999998],[3974.4000000000001],[3978.8000000000002],[3981.9000000000001],[3984],[3984.6999999999998]],[[3733.3000000000002],[3762.5],[3768.6999999999998],[3761.5],[3764.0999999999999],[3774.1999999999998],[3786],[3849.9000000000001],[3875.0999999999999],[3858.1999999999998],[3886.0999999999999],[3893.3000000000002],[3882.8000000000002],[3903.5999999999999],[3907.5],[3886.5],[3927.5],[3946.1999999999998],[3967.9000000000001],[3952.8000000000002],[3973.8000000000002],[3990.1999999999998],[3989.5],[3972.9000000000001],[3980.5]]]

[]

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Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services

In current prices, the trend estimate for Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services rose 0.2% in December 2019. The seasonally adjusted estimate fell 0.9%. By industry subgroup, the trend estimate rose for Cafes, restaurants and catering services (0.2%) and Takeaway food services (0.2%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Cafes, restaurants and catering services (-1.5%), and rose for Takeaway food services (0.1%).

	Trend ($m)	Seasonally Adjusted ($m)
Dec 2017	3,745	3,745
Jan 2018	3,753	3,740
Feb 2018	3,754	3,770
Mar 2018	3,756	3,742
Apr 2018	3,762	3,774
May 2018	3,775	3,751
Jun 2018	3,791	3,783
Jul 2018	3,806	3,812
Aug 2018	3,818	3,840
Sep 2018	3,827	3,847
Oct 2018	3,832	3,815
Nov 2018	3,838	3,807
Dec 2018	3,846	3,854
Jan 2019	3,859	3,870
Feb 2019	3,874	3,861
Mar 2019	3,888	3,907
Apr 2019	3,896	3,884
May 2019	3,897	3,903
Jun 2019	3,896	3,913
Jul 2019	3,896	3,890
Aug 2019	3,900	3,876
Sep 2019	3,907	3,899
Oct 2019	3,917	3,923
Nov 2019	3,926	3,957
Dec 2019	3,936	3,922

["","Trend","Seasonally Adjusted"]

[["Dec 2017","Jan 2018","Feb 2018","Mar 2018","Apr 2018","May 2018","Jun 2018","Jul 2018","Aug 2018","Sep 2018","Oct 2018","Nov 2018","Dec 2018","Jan 2019","Feb 2019","Mar 2019","Apr 2019","May 2019","Jun 2019","Jul 2019","Aug 2019","Sep 2019","Oct 2019","Nov 2019","Dec 2019"],[[3745.3000000000002],[3752.5999999999999],[3754.4000000000001],[3755.5],[3761.8000000000002],[3774.8000000000002],[3790.8000000000002],[3806],[3818.4000000000001],[3826.5],[3831.8000000000002],[3837.5],[3845.6999999999998],[3858.5],[3874],[3887.8000000000002],[3895.5999999999999],[3896.8000000000002],[3895.6999999999998],[3896.1999999999998],[3899.8000000000002],[3907.3000000000002],[3916.6999999999998],[3926.3000000000002],[3935.8000000000002]],[[3745.4000000000001],[3740.3000000000002],[3770.4000000000001],[3742],[3774.1999999999998],[3750.8000000000002],[3783.1999999999998],[3811.8000000000002],[3840.1999999999998],[3847.3000000000002],[3815.0999999999999],[3807.0999999999999],[3854.4000000000001],[3869.5999999999999],[3860.5999999999999],[3907.3000000000002],[3884.3000000000002],[3902.5],[3913.0999999999999],[3889.5],[3875.8000000000002],[3899.4000000000001],[3922.5999999999999],[3956.5],[3922.4000000000001]]]

[]

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