Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, Australia

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Balance of payments on capital and financial transactions plus an international investment statement detailing level of investment and income

Reference period
December 2019
Released
3/03/2020

Key statistics

  • Australia's net IIP liability position decreased $83.4b.
  • Australia's net foreign debt liability position decreased $20.9b.
  • Australia's net foreign equity asset position increased $62.6b.
  • The balance on goods and services surplus rose $531m.

Main features

Balance of payments

  • The current account surplus, seasonally adjusted, fell $5,548m to $955m in the December quarter 2019. The balance on goods and services surplus fell $6,021m to $13,893m. The primary income deficit fell $626m to $12,498m.
  • In seasonally adjusted chain volume terms, the surplus on goods and services rose $531m from $8,418m in the September quarter 2019 to $8,949m in the December quarter 2019. This is expected to contribute 0.1 percentage points to growth in the December quarter 2019 volume measure of GDP.
     

International investment position (IIP)

  • Australia's net IIP liability position was $891.5b at 31 December 2019, a decrease of $83.4b on the revised 30 September 2019 position of $974.9b. Australia's net foreign debt liability position decreased $20.9b to $1,143.5b. Australia's net foreign equity asset position increased $62.6b to $252.1b at 31 December 2019.
     
   Sep Qtr 2019Dec Qtr 2019Sep Qtr 2019 to Dec Qtr 2019
   $m$m% change
BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT   
 Trend estimates4 7854 017-16
 Seasonally adjusted6 503955-85
BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES   
 Trend estimates18 52016 896-9
 Seasonally adjusted19 91413 893-30
NET PRIMARY INCOME   
 Trend estimates-13 488-12 5427
 Seasonally adjusted-13 124-12 4985
LEVELS AT END OF PERIOD   
 International Investment Position974 925891 482-9
  Net foreign equity-189 476-252 064-33
  Net foreign debt1 164 4021 143 546-2
  1. Seasonally adjusted estimates at current prices.

Bushfires in December quarter

Quality assurance undertaken by the ABS confirmed that the bushfires did not result in quality impacts to Balance of Payments and International Investment Position for December quarter 2019. It is expected that the recent bushfires and COVID-19 virus will impact the Australian economy in the March quarter 2020. For more information please see the ABS Chief Economist Series paper Measuring natural disasters in the Australian economy.

Analysis and comments

Balance of payments

In original current price terms, the December quarter 2019 current account surplus was $1,845m, a fall of $1,402m on the September quarter 2019 surplus. In original current price terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $13,969m, primary income was a deficit of $12,095m and secondary income was a deficit of $29m.

In original current price terms, the December quarter 2019 capital and financial account deficit was $1,833m, a fall of $3,869m on the September quarter 2019 deficit. In original current price terms, the capital account was a deficit of $179m and the financial account was a deficit of $1,654m.

The contributors to the current account balances, in original terms at current prices, are shown in the following table.

Balance of payments, summary(a): original

     Dec 2018Mar 2019Jun 2019Sep 2019Dec 2019
     $m$m$m$m$m
CURRENT ACCOUNT-6 569-1 0866 2953 2471 845
 Goods and services8 31316 18519 31018 14513 969
  Credits118 146116 913123 462127 537125 099
  Debits-109 833-100 728-104 152-109 392-111 130
   Goods9 51213 80021 74220 58513 873
    Credits93 48790 366100 444102 53598 494
    Debits-83 975-76 566-78 702-81 950-84 621
   Services-1 1992 385-2 432-2 44096
    Credits24 65926 54723 01825 00226 605
    Debits-25 858-24 162-25 450-27 442-26 509
 Primary income-15 059-16 566-12 843-14 732-12 095
  Credits17 83218 07217 53017 01917 926
  Debits-32 891-34 638-30 373-31 751-30 020
 Secondary income177-705-172-166-29
  Credits2 4422 4062 4972 4472 413
  Debits-2 265-3 111-2 669-2 613-2 442
CAPITAL AND FINANCIAL ACCOUNT8 6262 333-3 659-5 702-1 833
 Capital account-162-200-233-169-179
  Acquisitions/disposals of non-produced non-financial assets3332-41
   Credits6332-2
   Debits-30---4-1
  Capital transfers-195-203-235-165-180
   Credits-----
   Debits-195-203-235-165-180
 Financial account8 7882 533-3 426-5 533-1 654
  Direct investment35 2625 05426 64113 716-1 164
   Assets22 101-7 2521 4825 075-10 379
   Liabilities13 16112 30525 1598 6419 216
  Portfolio investment-8 307-23 572-38 390-6 62519 239
   Assets-24 649-14 055-26 304-25 515-15 903
   Liabilities16 342-9 516-12 08618 89035 142
  Financial derivatives-5 541-658-1 2702 126-3 263
   Assets10 37518 15916 82427 33238 086
   Liabilities-15 916-18 817-18 095-25 206-41 350
  Other investment-13 95023 5556 601-18 287-7 463
   Assets-5 52017 480-5 121-20 4203 494
   Liabilities-8 4306 07411 7222 133-10 958
  Reserve assets1 324-1 8462 9923 538-9 003
NET ERRORS AND OMISSIONS-2 057-1 246-2 6362 455-12

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)
a. For sign conventions, see the Concepts section of the Explanatory notes.
 

 

In seasonally adjusted current price terms, the December quarter 2019 current account surplus was $955m, a fall of $5,548m on the September quarter 2019 surplus.

In trend current price terms, the December quarter 2019 current account surplus was $4,017m, a fall of $768m on the September quarter 2019 surplus.

The contributors to the current account balance, in seasonally adjusted and trend terms at current prices, are shown in the following table.

Balance on current account in current prices - December quarter 2019

    Change in:
   Current pricesCurrent pricesCurrent prices
   $m$m%
 Seasonally Adjusted
Balance on current account955-5 548-85
 Balance on goods and services13 893-6 021-30
  Net goods14 154-6 256-31
  Net services-26123547
 Net primary income-12 4986265
 Net secondary income-440-153-53
 Trend
Balance on current account4 017-768-16
 Balance on goods and services16 896-1 624-9
  Net goods17 217-1 788-9
  Net services-32116534
 Net primary income-12 5429467
 Net secondary income-337-90-36

.. not applicable
 

 

Terms of trade (footnote 1)

Australia's seasonally adjusted terms of trade on net goods and services for the December quarter 2019 fell 5.3% to 103.5, with a decrease of 4.5% in the implicit price deflator (IPD) for goods and services credits and an increase of 0.9% in the IPD for goods and services debits.

In trend terms, the terms of trade for net goods and services fell 2.0% to 105.9.

  1. Seasonally adjusted, reference year 2017-18 = 100.
     

Balance on goods and services

In seasonally adjusted chain volume terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $8,949m, a rise of $531m on the September quarter 2019 surplus of $8,418m.

The surplus on goods rose $102m on the September quarter 2019 surplus of $7,017m. Goods credits rose $1m and goods debits fell $101m. The surplus on services rose $427m on the September quarter 2019 surplus of $1,402m.

The rise in the balance on goods and services surplus, in seasonally adjusted chain volume terms, is expected to contribute 0.1 percentage points to growth in the December quarter 2019 chain volume measure of GDP, assuming no significant revision to the GDP chain volume estimate for the September quarter 2019.

  1. Seasonally adjusted, reference year 2017-18.
     

Goods

The trend estimate of net goods at current prices for the December quarter 2019 was a surplus of $17,217m, a fall of $1,788m on the September quarter 2019 surplus of $19,005m.

In seasonally adjusted terms at current prices, net goods was a surplus of $14,154m, a fall of $6,256m on the September quarter 2019 surplus of $20,410m.

Goods, price and volume analysis: seasonally adjusted - December quarter 2019

  Change in:
 Current pricesCurrent pricesChain volume measures(a)Implicit price deflators(a)(b)
 $m%%%
Exports-5 812-5.8--5.8
Rural goods8057.13.23.8
Non-rural goods-5 128-6.21.3-7.4
Net exports of goods under merchanting-23-59.0-55.7-7.4
Non-monetary gold-1 466-19.4-19.80.5
Imports4430.5-0.10.7
Consumption goods1700.6-0.20.9
Capital goods5122.71.90.8
Intermediate and other merchandise goods1 0493.22.11.1
Non-monetary gold-1 287-49.2-49.60.8

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)
a. Reference year 2017-18.
b. Movements in indexes are based on data to four decimal places.
 

 

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Services

The trend estimate of net services at current prices was a deficit of $321m, a fall of $165m on the September quarter 2019 deficit of $486m.

In seasonally adjusted terms at current prices, net services was a deficit of $261m, a fall of $235m on the September quarter 2019 deficit of $496m.

Services, price and volume analysis: seasonally adjusted - December quarter 2019

  Change in:
 Current pricesCurrent pricesChain volume measures(a)Implicit price deflators(a)(b)
 $m%%%
Exports1270.5-0.5
Manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others----
Maintenance and repair services n.i.e.7116.7116.50.1
Transport301.51.40.1
Travel2901.71.10.6
Other services-200-2.8-3.00.2
Imports-108-0.4-1.81.4
Manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others----
Maintenance and repair services n.i.e.-40-13.1-14.41.6
Transport180.41.6-1.2
Travel1871.4-0.82.3
Other services-273-3.3-4.91.7

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)
a. Reference year 2017-18.
b. Movements in indexes are based on data to four decimal places.
 

 

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Supplementary information

Conditions

According to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) (footnote 2) preliminary growth rates compared to last quarter in seasonally adjusted terms showed quarterly growth for China (1.5%), Indonesia (1.2%), South Korea (1.2%), the USA (0.5%), Spain (0.5%), Belgium (0.4%), Netherlands (0.4%), the EU 28 (0.1%), the UK (0.0%), Germany (0.0%) and Japan (-1.6%).

  • Foreign asset transactions recorded an inflow of $6.3b in the December quarter 2019 compared to an outflow of $10.0b in the September quarter 2019
  • Foreign liability transactions recorded an outflow of $7.9b in the December quarter 2019 compared to an inflow of $4.5b in the September quarter 2019.


The Australian share market, as measured by the MSCI global index (footnote 3), decreased 0.7% in the December quarter 2019, compared to an increase of 1.2% in the September quarter 2019. Increases were recorded in China (13.9%), the USA (8.6%), New Zealand (8.7%), Japan (8.1%), Germany (6.7%), Hong Kong (6.3%), France (5.3%), Switzerland (4.5%), Singapore (3.8%), Canada (2.2%) and the UK (1.4%). A market price change of -$69.3b was recorded for foreign equity assets and -$6.0b for foreign equity liabilities in the December quarter 2019.

According to Thomson Reuters (footnote 4), the composite corporate benchmark yields decreased in the USA from 3.01% to 2.94%, and increased in the UK from 1.83% to 1.99%, Germany from 0.50% to 0.63% and Japan from 0.30% to 0.41% over the December quarter 2019. The long-term 10 year government bond yields increased in the USA from 1.68% to 1.92%, Australia from 1.03% to 1.20%, the UK from 0.49% to 0.82%, Japan from -0.22% to -0.02% and Germany from -0.57% to -0.19% over the December quarter 2019. A market price change of $0.9b was recorded for portfolio investment debt securities assets and -$18.4b for portfolio investment debt securities liabilities in the December quarter 2019.

The Australian dollar appreciated against most major trading currencies in the December quarter 2019. The Australian dollar appreciated 4.70% against the Japanese yen, 4.70% against the Indian rupee, 3.81% against the US dollar, 3.07% against the Hong Kong dollar, 2.35% against the Canadian dollar, 1.64% against the Chinese renminbi, 1.35% against the European euro, 1.21% against the Singapore dollar and 0.21% against the South Korean won. The Trade Weighted Index (TWI)(footnote 5) rose 1.86% to 60.30. The Australian dollar depreciated 2.70% against the UK pound sterling and 3.42% against the New Zealand dollar in the December quarter 2019. These movements were reflected in exchange rate changes for foreign assets of $36.2b and foreign liabilities of -$25.6b in the December quarter 2019.

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Footnotes

Revisions

The following goods component has been revised since the release of the December 2019 issue of International Trade in Goods and Services, Australia (cat. no. 5368.0).

  • capital goods n.e.s. component of goods debits, revised in the December quarter 2019.
     

Summary of revisions since the last issue of this publication

Table 28 summarises revisions, in original current price terms, since the last issue of this publication.

Incorporation of the latest survey and administrative data has resulted in revisions to the balance of payments series back to the September quarter 2018. In original current price terms, these revisions have:

  • increased the 2018-19 current account deficit by $125m
  • decreased the current account surplus for the September quarter 2019 by $1,927m.
     

The International Investment Position (IIP) has been revised back to the September quarter 2018. These revisions have decreased Australia's net IIP liability $1,064m to a net liability position of $974,925m at 30 September 2019. The financial account deficit has been revised down $2,201m to $5,533m at 30 September 2019.

Seasonally adjusted and trend series have been revised due to the incorporation of revised estimates and the incorporation of estimates for the latest quarter.

In seasonally adjusted terms, the revisions decreased the volume surplus on goods and services by $867m for the September quarter 2019.

Data in this issue aligns with the data in the December quarter 2019 issue of Australian National Accounts: National Income, Expenditure and Product (cat. no. 5206.0) to be released on 4 March 2020.

Value adjustments

Goods credits data presented in this publication are based on information provided by exporters to the Department of Home Affairs (Home Affairs). At the time of initial reporting to Home Affairs, the final prices at which transactions take place are not known for some commodities. Final quantity and/or unit price information is updated progressively in international merchandise trade data as exporters revise the information provided to Home Affairs.

For commodities such as iron ore and coal, newly negotiated contract prices are not fully reflected in data first reported to Home Affairs. When additional information on quantity and/or unit price for these commodities is available, the ABS may adjust the data to reflect actual transaction values.

Iron ore adjustments are applied on an international merchandise trade basis at the Australian Harmonized Export Commodity Classification (AHECC) level. Coal, coke and briquettes are adjusted on a balance of payments basis in original current price terms. When actual final transaction prices become available estimates are replaced with these data.

In most instances, transfer of ownership occurs when goods cross the customs frontier. In certain circumstances the ownership of large value capital expenditure items can occur prior to the items crossing the customs frontier. The ABS may adjust the relevant balance of payments series to record the timing when transfer of ownership was effected.

Exports on an international merchandise trade basis

Iron ore (in original terms)

  • adjustments have been applied to iron ore lump in the September quarter (+$70m) and the December quarter (+$425m) 2019. Adjustments have been applied to iron ore fines in the June quarter (+$5m), the September quarter (+$15m) and the December quarter (+$750m) 2019. When actual final transaction prices become available estimates are replaced with these data.
     

Goods credits on a balance of payments basis

Coal (in original terms)

  • adjustments have been applied to coal, coke and briquettes in the balance of payments series for the December quarter (-$535m) 2019. All previous adjustments have been removed.
     

Capital expenditure (in original terms)

  • the balance of payments goods debits component capital goods n.e.s. includes an estimate of expenditure on capital goods that have changed ownership but have not yet crossed the customs frontier.

Related releases

International investment position, Australia: supplementary statistics

The publication International Investment Position, Australia: Supplementary Statistics, 2019 (cat. no. 5352.0) will be released on the ABS website on 7 May 2020.

International trade, Australia: supplementary statistics calendar year

The publication International Trade: Supplementary Information, Calendar Year, 2019 (cat. no. 5368.0.55.004) will be released on the ABS website on 21 May 2020.

Data downloads

All time series spreadsheets

Table 1. Balance of payments, summary: original - quarter

Table 2. International investment position: by net foreign equity and net foreign debt - quarter

Table 3. Foreign assets and liabilities: by equity and debt - quarter

Table 4. Current account transactions: seasonally adjusted and trend estimates - quarter

Table 5. Goods and services: chain volume measures and indexes - quarter

Table 6. Goods credits

Table 7. Goods debits

Table 8. Services credits

Table 9. Services debits

Table 10. Income credits - quarter

Table 11. Income debits - quarter

Table 12. Capital account: original - quarter

Table 13. Financial account - quarter

Table 14. International investment: foreign assets - quarter

Table 15. International investment: foreign liabilities - quarter

Table 16. Foreign debt levels - quarter

Table 17. Gross external debt liabilities: levels - quarter

Table 18. Currency and residual maturity of foreign debt - quarter

Table 19. Exchange rates - quarter

Table 20. Foreign assets and liabilities by industry - quarter

Table 21. Goods and services credit by state on a balance of payments basis - quarter

Table 22. Goods and services debits by state on a balance of payments basis - quarter

Table 23. Selected international accounts ratios: seasonally adjusted - quarter

Table 24. Quarterly combined current price seasonal adjusted factors

Table 25. Exports by SITC division on a balance of payments basis - quarter

Table 26. Imports by broad economic category on a balance of payments basis - quarter

Table 27. International investment: directional principle - quarter

Table 28. Summary of revisions - quarter

Table 29. International investment position: historical summary - quarter

Table 30. Balance of payments, summary: original - financial year

Table 31. Selected services, chain volume measures and implicit price deflators: original - quarter

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