Survey of Motor Vehicle Use, Australia methodology

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Reference period
12 months ended 30 June 2018
Released
20/03/2019

Explanatory notes

Introduction

1 This publication presents estimates of motor vehicle use in Australia between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018. Estimates are compiled from the ABS' Survey of Motor Vehicle Use (SMVU). This survey included a sample of vehicles registered in Australia during this period.

Scope and frame

2 The scope of the survey comprised all vehicles registered with a motor vehicle authority for road use during the 12 months ended 30 June 2018. Not included were caravans, trailers, tractors, plant and equipment, vehicles belonging to the defence services and vehicles with diplomatic or consular plates. Where they were registered as such, vintage and veteran cars were also excluded from the survey. Unregistered vehicles were out of scope.

3 Vehicles were identified using information obtained from state and territory motor vehicle registration authorities as part of the annual ABS Motor Vehicle Census (see Motor Vehicle Census, Australia (cat. no. 9309.0)). The Motor Vehicle Census (MVC) provides a snapshot of registered vehicles at 31 January each year. There were 19 million vehicles identified from the MVC at 31 January 2017. These vehicles provided the population of vehicles, or survey frame, for the 2018 SMVU.

Methodology

4 For the 2018 SMVU, a sample of 16,000 vehicles was selected for inclusion in the survey. The survey sample consisted of passenger vehicles (17.42%), motor cycles (5.27%), freight vehicles (65.73%), buses (8.34%) and non-freight carrying vehicles (3.24%). The sample size was chosen to give a suitable level of reliability for estimates of total distance travelled and tonne-kilometres travelled for each state/territory of registration by type of vehicle category over the survey period.

5 Vehicles were selected for one of three data collection periods, each 4 months in duration.

6 Owners of vehicles selected in the survey were asked to complete two questionnaires, either paper or web, tailored to their vehicle type. The first, at the beginning of the survey period, asked for selected vehicle characteristics and the vehicle odometer reading. Owners were also advised they would receive a follow up questionnaire at the end of the period, with examples of the main items included. The second questionnaire requested details about the use of the vehicle over the four month period and a second odometer reading.

7 When questionnaires were returned to the ABS they were checked for completeness and accuracy and, where possible, follow-up contact was made with owners to resolve reporting problems. Where contact with owners could not be made, missing items on incomplete questionnaires were filled by using data from like vehicles for which data were obtained.

8 Where the selected vehicle owner had not owned the vehicle for the whole four month survey period, the usage details provided for the period of ownership were adjusted to give a four-month equivalent. Where the vehicle was deregistered during the four month survey period, only usage up to the date of deregistration was included.

9 In addition, adjustments were made in the estimation process to account for the use of new motor vehicles registered after the survey population was identified, as well as the re-registration of other vehicles during this time. More information about these adjustments is provided in paragraph 27 of the Technical Note.

10 Estimates from information reported in each four month collection period were produced and these were then aggregated into annual estimates relating to the use of vehicles during the period 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018.

Reliability of estimates

11 When interpreting the results of a survey it is important to take into account factors that may affect the reliability of estimates. Such factors can be classified as either survey methodology, sampling error or non-sampling error. Information on these factors is provided in the Technical Note.

Fuel consumption question

12 The 2018 survey instrument included a change to the question design and wording relating to fuel consumption over the four month collection period. The question related to fuel consumption has historically been difficult for respondents to answer. 

13 The change removed the burden of multiple reporting options. The previous question asked respondents to report, or calculate and record their average rate of fuel consumption (litres per 100 kilometres) over the four month reporting period. This was replaced with a simpler question asking for the total amount of fuel used over the four month collection period. To assist respondent recall, an optional log sheet was also provided to record the amount of fuel purchased over the collection period. 

14 As a result of the change to the fuel consumption question, care should be taken when interpreting the estimates for total fuel consumption and average rate of fuel consumption.

Comparison with motor vehicle census data

15 Survey estimates of the numbers of vehicles, by vehicle type for SMVU are not fully comparable with ABS Motor Vehicle Census data (see Motor Vehicle Census, Australia (cat. no. 9309.0)). The main differences are:

  • Survey estimates of the numbers of vehicles relate to the average number of vehicles registered for road use during the period 1 July 2017 to 30 June 2018, not to the number of vehicles registered at a specific date, as is the case for the Motor Vehicle Census.
  • Characteristics of the vehicle reported in the survey information may differ from those recorded by the motor vehicle registries.
     

Concepts of averages

16 Most tables in this publication include statistics presented as averages. The denominator used in calculating these averages varies depending on the characteristics of interest. The method of calculating each average is noted in the table where it is presented. As the denominators used to calculate each average are different it should be noted that the averages along a table row cannot be used to derive the total column entry for that row.

Historical comparisons

17 This publication includes estimates of vehicle use for earlier years. However, it should be noted the survey was designed to produce reliable estimates of key data items for a point in time, not for year-to-year changes. Estimates of movement over time are subject to high sampling error and care should be taken in drawing inferences from these comparisons. See paragraphs 9-13 of the Technical Note for further information.

Related publications and products

18 Users may also wish to refer to the following publications and products which contain information relating to motor vehicles in Australia:

Microdata: Motor Vehicle Use, Australia, 2018 (cat. no. 9208.0.55.008)
Motor Vehicle Census, Australia (cat. no. 9309.0)
Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia (cat. no. 9314.0)
Road Freight Movements, Australia (cat. no. 9223.0)

ABS data available on request

19 As well as the statistics included in this publication, the ABS has other relevant data available on request. Inquiries should be made to the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070.

Technical note - data quality indicators

Data quality

1 When interpreting the results of a survey it is important to take into account factors that may affect the reliability of estimates. The survey procedures as well as sampling and non-sampling errors should be considered. Examination of the following quality indicators will assist users in determining fitness for purpose of estimates produced from the Survey of Motor Vehicle Use (SMVU).

Sampling error

2 Estimates from the SMVU are based on information collected for a sample of registered motor vehicles, rather than all registered vehicles. The estimates may differ from those that would have been produced if all registered motor vehicles had been included in the survey. This difference is referred to as sampling error.

3 One measure of sampling error is the Relative Standard Error (RSE), which indicates the extent to which a survey estimate is likely to deviate from the true population, expressed as a percentage of the estimate. Estimates with a RSE of 25% or greater are subject to high sampling error and should be used with caution.

4 In the datacube associated with this release, estimates are presented side by side with their RSE. It is important to consider the RSEs when using estimates produced from the SMVU as it affects the reliability of the estimates, and therefore the importance that can be placed on interpretations drawn from the data.

5 Another measure of sampling variability is the Standard Error (SE), which is an indication of the sampling error expressed in numeric terms.

6 The reliability of estimates can also be assessed in terms of a confidence interval. Confidence intervals represent the range in which the population value is likely to lie. They are constructed using the estimate of the population value and its associated standard error. For example, there is approximately a 95% chance (i.e. 19 chances in 20) that the population value lies within two standard errors of the estimates, so the 95% confidence interval is equal to the estimate plus or minus two standard errors. 

7 The example below demonstrates how each of the reliability measures described above can be calculated and interpreted:

Relative Standard Error (RSE)
From Table 4 of the datacube:
Total kilometres travelled by passenger vehicles, Australia, 2018
Estimate = 179,761 million kilometres
RSE = 2.44%

Since the RSE on the estimate is less than 25%, the estimate would be considered reliable enough for general use.

Standard Error (SE)
SE = RSE x estimate / 100
SE (Total kilometres travelled by passenger vehicles, Australia, 2018) = 2.44 x 179,761 / 100 = 4,386 million kilometres

95% Confidence Interval
95% confidence interval = Estimate plus or minus 2 x SE
Lower limit of the interval = 179,761 - (2 x 4,386 ) = 170,989 million kilometres
Upper limit of the interval = 179,761 + (2 x 4,386 ) = 188,533 million kilometres
95% Confidence Interval = 170,989 to 188,533 million kilometres

It can, therefore, be considered with 95% reliability that the true distance travelled by registered passenger vehicles in Australia is between 170,989 and 188,533 million kilometres.

8 It is important to note that estimates at more detailed levels than the above are subject to higher RSEs and therefore are less reliable.

9 The movement estimated by comparing SMVU data from different time periods is also subject to sampling error.

10 The standard error for the movement between two years can be approximated for the SMVU using the following formula

\(S E(M_t)={\sqrt{(RSE(Y_x) \times Y_x/100)^2+(RSE(Y_u) \times Y_u/100)^2}}\)

where \(Y_u\) is an estimate of total of the variable of interest, obtained from the 1st time point \(Y_x\) is an estimate of total of the same variable of interest, obtained from the 2nd time point \(M_t\) is an estimate of movement of the total of the variable of interest from the 1st time point to the 2nd time point, ie \(M_t=Y_x-Y_u\)

11 Estimates of movement produced from the SMVU are subject to significant sampling error, and particular caution should be used when making inferences about differences between estimates over time.

12 The example below demonstrates how the reliability of movement in the SMVU estimates can be calculated and interpreted:

Standard Error (SE) of movement
Total kilometres travelled by passenger vehicles, Australia, 2016 = 175,899 million kilometres (RSE = 2.74%), SE = 4,820 million kilometres
Total kilometres travelled by passenger vehicles, Australia, 2018 = 179,761 million kilometres (RSE = 2.44%), SE = 4,386 million kilometres
Movement between estimates (2018 estimate - 2016 estimate) = 3,862 million kilometres
SE Movement = sqrt(SE(x)²+SE(y)²)
SE Movement (Total kilometres travelled by passenger vehicles, Australia, 2018) = sqrt((4820)² + (4386)²) = 6,517 million kilometres

95% Confidence Interval of movement
95% confidence interval = Estimate plus or minus 2 x SE
Lower limit of the interval = 3,862 - (2 x 6,517) = -9,172 million kilometres
Upper limit of the interval = 3,862 + (2 x 6,517) = 16,896 million kilometres

It can, therefore, be considered with 95% reliability that the true movement in distance travelled by registered passenger vehicles in Australia from 2016 to 2018 is between a decrease of 9,172 million kilometres and an increase of 16,896 million kilometres.

13 The table below presents the standard error and 95% confidence intervals for the estimated movement in total kilometres travelled by type of vehicle from the 2016 SMVU to the 2018 SMVU using unrounded estimates and RSEs.

SE of the movement of total kilometres travelled - 2016 and 2018(a)

 LEVEL ESTIMATES (b)MOVEMENT ESTIMATES (b)
 2016RSE (2016)2018RSE (2018)MovementSE (Movement)95% Confidence Interval of movement
       Lower LimitUpper Limit
 mill.%mill.%mill.mill.mill.mill.
Type of vehicle        
Passenger vehicles175 8992.74179 7612.443 8636 515-9 16716 893
Motor cycles2 1769.712 19313.2617359-701735
Light commercial vehicles50 7783.1452 3073.341 5292 362-3 1956 253
Rigid trucks10 3012.910 2742.49-27393-813759
Articulated trucks7 6131.847 9171.74304196-88696
Non-freight trucks29015.6331311.782358-93139
Buses2 4564.412 2664.66-190151-492112
Total249 5122.09255 0311.835 5186 997-8 47619 512

a. Data for 2016 and 2018 are for 12 months ended 30 June.
b. Calculated on unrounded estimates and RSEs.
 

Non-sampling error

14 Non-sampling error covers the range of errors that are not caused by sampling and can occur in any statistical collection whether it is based on full enumeration or a sample. For example, non-sampling error can occur because of non-response to the statistical collection, errors or omissions in reporting, definition or classification difficulties, errors in transcribing and processing data and under-coverage of the frame from which the sample was selected. If these errors are systematic (not random) then the survey results will be distorted in one direction and therefore will be unrepresentative of the target population. Systematic errors result in bias.

15 A number of indicators of possible non-sampling error are outlined below.

Imputation

16 Imputation is the process whereby a value is generated for missing data. Data may be missing for a particular data item (partial imputation), or for a unit which has not responded to the questionnaire (full imputation). For the SMVU, imputed values are based on responses for similar vehicles which were operating for the reference period.

17 Imputation introduces non-sampling error, and the contribution to estimates from imputed data provides one measure of the reliability of the estimates. As for previous surveys, the need for imputation of unanswered items on the returned questionnaires remained quite high. The tables below show the percentage contribution to the estimates from both partial and full imputation.

Contribution to estimates from imputation (a), state/territory of registration

 Percentage of total kilometres travelledPercentage of total tonne-kilometres travelledPercentage of fuel consumption
 %%%
New South Wales222749
Victoria202849
Queensland222644
South Australia191841
Western Australia222644
Tasmania222347
Northern Territory273553
Australian Capital Territory212239
Australia212647

a. Includes both partial and full imputation
 

Contribution to estimates from imputation (a), type of vehicle

 Percentage of total kilometres travelledPercentage of total tonne-kilometres travelledPercentage of fuel consumption
 %%%
Passenger vehicles21. .48
Motor cycles24. .52
Light commercial vehicles194643
Rigid trucks202440
Articulated trucks152649
Non-freight carrying vehicles12. .16
Buses23. .36
Total212647

. . not applicable
a. Includes both partial and full imputation
 

Response and non-response

18 An important factor that affects non-sampling error is the response rate. The ABS makes all reasonable efforts to maximise response rates. For the SMVU, mail reminders and telephone follow-up were used to attempt to contact non-responding vehicle owners. Usable responses were received from 79% of all of the selections for 2018, comprised of 77% from registered vehicles and 3% from unregistered vehicles, out of scope and duplicates.

Response and non-response by category

  Percentage of selections 2018
  %
Response received 
 Registered vehicle77
 Unregistered vehicle(a)3
Non-response 
 Untraceable - mailing address unknown4
 Other(b)16
Total selections100

a. Includes deregistration, out of scope and duplicates.
b. Includes: responses that were unusable because of unresolved queries or where the vehicle was sold during the reference third and the reported data covered less than 14 days; non-response where no listing could be found to enable contact by telephone; and owner contacted by telephone but response still not secured.
 

19 After removing those vehicles that had been found to be deregistered or out of scope, the response rate for the 2018 SMVU was 79%.

20 Response rates for each State and Territory, and for each vehicle type, are shown in the following tables:

Response rates, state/territory

 Response rate
 %
New South Wales80
Victoria79
Queensland80
South Australia82
Western Australia79
Tasmania80
Northern Territory76
Australian Capital Territory80
Australia79

Response rates, type of vehicle

 Response rate
 %
Passenger vehicle77
Motor cycles77
Light commercial vehicles76
Rigid trucks80
Articulated trucks81
Non-freight carrying trucks84
Buses84
Total79

21 For the SMVU, it is assumed that the characteristics of non-responding vehicles are the same as for like responding vehicles. Non-response has the potential to cause non-response bias, which occurs if the usage patterns of the non-responding vehicles differ from those of the responding vehicles. For example, the lowest response rate achieved by vehicle type was for light commercial vehicles (76%). This could result in the estimates for light commercial vehicles being of a lower quality than other vehicle types.

Frame quality

22 A population or survey frame of 19 million vehicles was identified on 31 January 2017 using information obtained from the state and territory motor vehicle registration authorities, as part of the annual ABS Motor Vehicle Census (MVC) (cat. no. 9309.0).

23 The reliability of this frame in providing an accurate number of vehicles in scope of the survey is indicated by the number of duplicate vehicle registrations, vehicle de-registrations prior to frame extract, and out-of-scope vehicles identified. For 2018, approximately 0.5% of the total frame were identified as such. This indicates the frame was reliable in terms of providing an accurate number of registered vehicles in Australia.

24 Another indicator of frame quality is the number of units identified as in scope with different characteristics compared to what was recorded on the frame. For the SMVU, this can arise when respondents indicate an alteration has been made to the vehicle body, resulting in a different body type to that recorded on the frame. These changes can happen during the time-lag between finalising the frame and collection of SMVU data (between 5 and 17 months). Vehicle classification anomalies can also result from data supplied by state and territory vehicle registration authorities.

25 An assessment of vehicle classification anomalies from 2018 data shows that while there was no bias towards specific states or territories, there were marked discrepancies for some vehicle types. For vehicles on the frame that were listed as non-freight carrying trucks, 17.2% were found to be other vehicle types and 14.2% of vehicles listed as buses were found to be other vehicle types. This issue was not significant for other vehicle types on the frame.

Survey procedures

26 The survey is comprised of three independent samples, with a different sample used for each four month period in the overall 12 month survey period. Estimates from each of these samples are aggregated and adjusted for new motor vehicles and re-registrations of vehicles to produce an annual estimate.

Adjustments

27 The SMVU aims to measure the use of all vehicles registered during the reference year. Because selections are taken from vehicles registered some time before the beginning of each collection period, adjustments are made to account for the change in size of the registered motor vehicle fleet since the population frame was created. For the 2018 SMVU, the frame was created on 31 January 2017. These adjustments involved two categories:

  • re-registrations - older vehicles that are returning to the registered vehicle fleet after a period of de-registration, and
  • new motor vehicles - vehicles which have not been previously registered.
     

Contribution of adjustments for re-registrations (a), Australia - 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016 and 2018(b)

 PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL KILOMETRES TRAVELLED
 20102012201420162018
 %%%%%
Type of Vehicle     
Passenger vehicles21--0
Motor cycles87133
Light commercial vehicles22-11
Rigid trucks33-22
Articulated trucks44-121
Non-freight carrying vehicles61125
Buses65224
Total21--1

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)
a. Estimates for 2014 were produced using a different method than in 2010, 2012, 2016 and 2018. The contribution of adjustments for re-registrations in 2014 is not comparable with other years.
b. Data for 2010 and 2014 are for 12 months ended 31 October. Data for 2012, 2016 and 2018 are for 12 months ended 30 June.
 

28 These activities occur continuously and the adjustments are made to account for the registrations that are estimated to have been added to or removed from the registered vehicle fleet between the population frame date and the end of the reference period. The adjustment process also accounts for de-registrations. This means it is possible for the re-registration factor to be negative.

Contribution of new vehicles registered after frame creation - 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016 and 2018(a)

 PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL KILOMETRES TRAVELLED
 20102012201420162018
 %%%%%
Type of Vehicle Passenger vehicles971077
Motor cycles1191188
Light commercial vehicles1081178
Rigid trucks866611
Articulated trucks1191687
Non-freight carrying trucks81313113
Buses55346
Total971077

a. Data for 2010 and 2014 are for 12 months ended 31 October. Data for 2012, 2016 and 2018 are for 12 months ended 30 June.
 

Nil use

29 Some providers may report nil use for the 4 month reference period in which they were selected. Nil use vehicles are registered vehicles that report no travel during that specific reference period. Nil use vehicles are included in the survey as their reported nil use is representative of other vehicles in the population. Vehicles may have nil use due to factors such as seasonal usage, mechanical faults or economic conditions. Where a provider gives a nil use response, a follow-up phone call is used to check the veracity of the response.

Nil use, vehicle type - 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016 and 2018(a)

 20102012201420162018
NUMBER OF REGISTERED VEHICLES WITH NIL USE
Passenger vehicles561 613479 179476 348315 089482 959
Motor cycles148 217182 308196 887231 039246 877
Light commercial vehicles122 22771 292103 72799 456140 684
Rigid trucks34 64736 54938 54139 46136 788
Articulated trucks5 1656 1626 6525 0922 191
Non-freight carrying trucks2 4243 1572 5661 5322 498
Buses2 8311 8092 0062 644246 877
Total877 123780 455826 725694 315918 362
PROPORTION OF REGISTERED VEHICLES WITH NIL USE (%)
Light commercial vehicles55334
Rigid trucks98887
Articulated trucks56756
Non-freight carrying trucks7111579
Buses24233
Total56545

a. Data for 2010 and 2014 are for 12 months ended 31 October. Data for 2012, 2016 and 2018 are for 12 months ended 30 June.

Glossary

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Quality declaration - summary

Institutional environment

Relevance

Timeliness

Accuracy

Coherence

Interpretability

Accessibility

Abbreviations

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