9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Aug 2003

ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 17/09/2003

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Main Features
About this Release
Sales of new motor vehicles on the increase (Media Release)

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

AUGUST 2003 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles rose for the tenth consecutive month in August 2003 to reach a new record high of 79,278. This is 13.7% higher than the August 2002 estimate.

The trend increase in total new motor vehicle sales was 1,117 or 1.4% in August 2003 compared with July 2003. New passenger vehicle sales and new other vehicle sales accounted for 0.8% and 0.6% respectively of this increase.

Only the Northern Territory recorded a fall from July 2003 to August 2003 (3.1%) while all of the other states and the Australian Capital Territory recorded increases in total new motor vehicle sales. Tasmania (2.5%), Queensland (2.2%), Western Australia (2.0%) and New South Wales (1.5%) recorded trend growth above the national average.

Seasonally adjusted

Seasonally adjusted estimates rose slightly with 79,316 total new motor vehicle sales in August 2003 compared with 78,316 in July 2003.

NOTES

DATA QUALITY

Due to a processing problem with the data supplier for heavy truck sales, other vehicles were understated by 367 units in July 2002. These missing units have been included in the August 2002 sales data for other vehicles. The impact on the original series is as follows: New South Wales (119 units), Victoria (63 units), Queensland (84 units), South Australia (18 units), Western Australia (65 units), Tasmania (14 units) and the Northern Territory (4 units).

TREND REVISIONS

The most recent trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1	The September 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.2%.
2	The September 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.2%.

The percentage change of 4.2% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 8 years has been 4.2%.

The next annual re-estimation of the seasonal factors will be undertaken after data for reference month October 2003 have been released.

SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph - New motor vehicle sales, Total vehicles, Long term

New motor vehicle sales, Total vehicles, Short term

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales


		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (a) (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change Passenger vehicles (%)	Change Other vehicles (%)	Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2002	June	49101	29680	78781	5.7	11.3	7.7
	July	45923	23859	69782	-6.5	-19.6	-11.4
	August	45122	24525	69647	-1.7	2.8	-0.2
	September	43396	22638	66034	-3.8	-7.7	-5.2
	October	48269	24063	72332	11.2	6.3	9.5
	November	47229	24346	71575	-2.2	1.2	-1.0
	December	45317	22656	67973	-4.0	-6.9	-5.0

2003	January	40015	21155	61170	-11.7	-6.6	-10.0
	February	43677	23058	66735	9.2	9.0	9.1
	March	49921	26192	76113	14.3	13.6	14.1
	April	44602	24263	68865	-10.7	-7.4	-9.5
	May	49646	28616	78262	11.3	17.9	13.6
	June	57086	34972	92058	15.0	22.2	17.6
	July	51450	28071	79521	-9.9	-19.7	-13.6
	August	49869	26304	76173	-3.1	-6.3	-4.2

Seasonally Adjusted

2002	June	44705	23749	68454	-1.5	-2.3	-1.8
	July	44390	24048	68438	-0.7	1.3	0.0
	August	45301	25217	70518	2.1	4.9	3.0
	September	45947	25194	71141	1.4	-0.1	0.9
	October	45791	24955	70746	-0.3	-0.9	-0.6
	November	45464	23406	68870	-0.7	-6.2	-2.7
	December	41865	20783	62648	-7.9	-11.2	-9.0

2003	January	49584	28103	77687	18.4	35.2	24.0
	February	46685	24775	71460	-5.8	-11.8	-8.0
	March	47875	25032	72907	2.5	1.0	2.0
	April	48507	26090	74597	1.3	4.2	2.3
	May	50185	27164	77349	3.5	4.1	3.7
	June	50132	27198	77330	-0.1	0.1	0.0
	July	49687	28629	78316	-0.9	5.3	1.3
	August	51866	27450	79316	4.4	-4.1	1.3

Trend

2002	June	44971	24216	69187	0.0	1.6	0.5
	July	45060	24484	69544	0.2	1.1	0.5
	August	45126	24581	69707	0.1	0.4	0.2
	September	45113	24454	69567	0.0	-0.5	-0.2
	October	45163	24265	69428	0.1	-0.8	-0.2
	November	45355	24165	69520	0.4	-0.4	0.1
	December	45724	24235	69959	0.8	0.3	0.6

2003	January	46332	24512	70844	1.3	1.1	1.3
	February	47132	25035	72167	1.7	2.1	1.9
	March	48016	25706	73722	1.9	2.7	2.2
	April	48823	26339	75162	1.7	2.5	2.0
	May	49474	26850	76324	1.3	1.9	1.5
	June	50044	27298	77342	1.2	1.7	1.3
	July	50517	27644	78161	0.9	1.3	1.1
	August	51138	28140	79278	1.2	1.8	1.4

(a) Other vehicle figures for July 2002 and August 2002 have been affected by reporting problems. See Notes.

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration (a)


		NSW (No.)	Vic. (No.)	Qld (No.)	SA (No.)	WA (No.)	Tas. (No.)	NT (No.)	ACT (No.)	Aust. (No.)

Original

2002	June	27496	20296	15035	5143	7348	1294	813	1356	78781
	July	24643	18721	13462	4457	5562	1174	579	1184	69782
	August	23456	18942	13516	4537	6102	1311	597	1186	69647
	September	22236	18765	12497	4187	5493	1239	507	1110	66034
	October	24618	20185	13456	4499	6627	1203	580	1164	72332
	November	24349	19829	13224	4641	6320	1398	628	1186	71575
	December	21741	19706	12672	4531	5989	1584	585	1165	67973

2003	January	20648	16490	11632	3988	5762	1025	534	1091	61170
	February	21965	18152	12956	4754	6164	1069	582	1093	66735
	March	25541	20408	14843	5147	6917	1218	769	1270	76113
	April	23588	18368	13386	4507	5948	1177	728	1163	68865
	May	26259	21053	14967	5273	7127	1454	789	1340	78262
	June	31168	24132	18084	6089	8662	1549	866	1508	92058
	July	26983	21248	15716	5298	6973	1407	635	1261	79521
	August	25391	19799	15248	5263	7048	1589	555	1280	76173

Seasonally Adjusted

2002	June	23768	18491	12265	4448	6334	1299	634	1215	68454
	July	23332	18419	13518	4360	5904	1210	586	1109	68438
	August	24094	18986	13768	4427	6190	1256	617	1180	70518
	September	23778	19665	13771	4581	6154	1292	596	1304	71141
	October	24025	19026	13887	4434	6434	1225	588	1127	70746
	November	23130	19251	12847	4426	6192	1289	617	1118	68870
	December	20809	17721	11628	4138	5564	1080	611	1097	62648

2003	January	26458	21064	14557	5236	6981	1359	673	1359	77687
	February	23770	19372	13648	5110	6444	1271	674	1171	71460
	March	24007	20083	14169	4952	6459	1308	718	1211	72907
	April	25777	19695	14567	5044	6203	1333	706	1272	74597
	May	25698	21106	15000	5058	7089	1435	697	1266	77349
	June	25969	21134	14169	5062	7468	1520	660	1348	77330
	July	25724	20866	16064	5178	7201	1467	636	1180	78316
	August	26916	20469	15938	5373	7193	1558	592	1277	79316

Trend

2002	June	23956	18618	13039	4401	6111	1265	619	1178	69187
	July	23878	18779	13283	4419	6126	1267	611	1181	69544
	August	23737	18919	13443	4418	6144	1261	604	1181	69707
	September	23535	18998	13439	4417	6155	1248	599	1176	69567
	October	23379	19081	13335	4444	6180	1237	601	1171	69428
	November	23348	19176	13233	4524	6217	1233	613	1176	69520
	December	23468	19289	13246	4649	6254	1236	634	1183	69959

2003	January	23770	19461	13405	4793	6307	1251	659	1198	70844
	February	24219	19733	13711	4923	6400	1279	682	1220	72167
	March	24737	20064	14093	5018	6547	1322	696	1245	73722
	April	25207	20361	14472	5071	6726	1371	695	1259	75162
	May	25578	20579	14798	5099	6904	1420	682	1264	76324
	June	25900	20737	15108	5132	7071	1464	664	1266	77342
	July	26160	20819	15397	5171	7204	1502	643	1265	78161
	August	26562	20961	15735	5235	7350	1540	623	1272	79278

(a) Other vehicle figures for July 2002 and August 2002 have been affected by reporting problems. See Notes.