3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrivals to Australia, Preliminary, Oct 2003  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/11/2003   
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SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS TO AUSTRALIA, OCTOBER 2003 PRELIMINARY

The data presented in this release are statistically modelled from passport movements for the reference month and past arrival trends from incoming passenger cards. The data are subject to revision and will be replaced by passenger card data for the reference month. The ABS encourages users of this data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final estimates.

The ABS has recently been advised of continuing and emerging requirements for these data as early indicators of short term visitor arrivals. Pending clarification of these requirements, these data will continue to be released beyond the date previously advised. For further information, contact Olivia Agius at olivia.agius@abs.gov.au or telephone (02) 6252 5640.

Trend estimate

Trend estimates have been revised to take into account the impact of recent world events. See paragraph 18 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.

The preliminary trend estimate for October 2003 (426,000 movements) is continuing the steady monthly increase in the series since April 2003.

Seasonally adjusted

The preliminary seasonally adjusted estimate of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for October 2003 (423,800 movements) represents a decrease of 2% compared to the previous month. This decline follows a large monthly increase for September.

Original

The preliminary estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for October 2003 was 432,300. This represents an increase of 0.8% compared to October 2002 (428,900). Preliminary estimates suggest that large numbers of short-term visitors came from New Zealand (82,200 movements), the United Kingdom (62,300 movements), Japan (55,100 movements), the United States (31,500 movements) and Singapore (23,200 movements). Compared to October 2002, there was an increase in visitors from the United Kingdom (up 14%), Singapore (up 8%) and New Zealand (up 4%). There was a decline in visitors from the United States (down 16%) and Japan (down 11%).

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - OCTOBER 2003 PRELIMINARY

Change
between
Sep 2003 and
Oct 2003
Oct 2003


'000
%

Short-term Visitor Arrivals -
    Trend
426.0
0.5
    Seasonally Adjusted
423.8
-2.0
    Original
432.3
. .

TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE



Calendar year

Financial year

Quarter ended Sep

October

2001
2002
2001-02
2002-03
2002
2003
2002
2003p
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARTICA -
New Zealand
814.9
790.1
787.7
793.1
226.0
241.8
78.8
82.2
Total
940.3
905.0
907.5
904.7
252.1
269.9
88.1
91.4
EUROPE & THE FORMER USSR -
Germany
147.6
134.8
136.8
134.0
31.5
35.8
16.2
13.5
Italy
43.3
43.3
41.1
42.5
13.1
12.9
4.5
3.7
Netherlands
56.5
53.0
54.6
52.1
11.2
12.1
6.4
5.1
Sweden
31.7
30.9
30.2
31.8
5.3
5.6
3.2
2.7
Switzerland
46.2
41.5
43.4
41.2
8.4
8.8
4.0
3.5
United Kingdom
617.2
642.7
627.1
644.2
116.0
125.1
54.5
62.3
Total
1,179.0
1,180.5
1,172.2
1,170.4
239.8
257.6
110.4
115.7
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA -
Total
56.2
51.5
56.3
50.2
17.5
18.2
3.4
3.5
SOUTHEAST ASIA -
Indonesia
97.9
89.4
94.7
86.9
22.1
21.9
7.5
6.8
Malaysia
149.4
159.0
154.3
142.4
37.4
44.4
12.2
14.2
Philippines
30.4
28.5
29.9
25.4
6.3
6.3
2.3
2.8
Singapore
296.0
286.9
295.8
261.6
54.3
53.2
21.6
23.2
Thailand
79.9
82.7
80.0
75.5
20.0
19.0
8.6
8.7
Total
679.0
673.8
682.7
617.7
146.5
150.9
54.8
58.6
NORTHEAST ASIA -
China
158.0
190.0
172.3
177.1
47.2
38.4
14.7
16.0
Japan
673.6
715.5
659.2
658.6
183.8
156.4
61.7
55.1
Korea
175.6
189.7
181.1
195.8
42.0
50.9
18.3
18.8
Taiwan
110.1
97.4
99.1
80.8
26.1
30.3
6.5
8.1
Total
1,274.3
1,345.5
1,262.4
1,254.8
340.7
310.3
113.9
109.5
THE AMERICAS -
Canada
93.1
90.9
93.0
86.5
16.3
17.0
8.2
7.5
USA
446.4
434.5
424.4
423.5
102.3
103.0
37.4
31.5
Total
577.5
556.2
551.1
537.1
125.6
126.5
48.0
41.5
AFRICA (excluding North Africa) -
South Africa
54.9
51.0
55.7
47.5
11.1
10.8
4.2
5.9
Total
71.5
67.3
72.7
62.7
14.5
14.8
5.2
6.9
Total(a)
4,855.7
4,841.2
4,768.3
4,655.8
1,148.7
1,163.4
428.9
432.3

(a) Includes Southern Asia and not stated/inadequately described.