ESTIMATED RESIDENT POPULATION

Victoria's estimated resident population (ERP) at the end of any given period is the estimated population at the beginning of the period plus the sum of three components: natural increase, net overseas migration and net interstate migration.

At the end of June quarter 2010, Victoria's ERP was 5,547,500 people, an increase of 18,100 (0.3%) since the end of March quarter 2010. Over the same period, Australia's ERP grew by 70,500 (0.3%).

Over the 12 months since the end of June quarter 2009, Victoria's ERP increased by 99,300 (1.8%).

Natural increase (births minus deaths) accounted for an increase of 8,600 people in June quarter 2010. Net overseas migration contributed a similar increase (8,800) in the same quarter, and has consistently been the largest component of population growth since December quarter 2006.

Net interstate migration has historically meant loss of population from Victoria to other states and territories. However, following eleven consecutive quarters of loss, net interstate migration made a positive contribution to the state's population during the latest six quarters. The largest contribution of net interstate migration (900 people) was in March quarter 2010.

View underlying table as an Excel spreadsheet: Download Estimated resident population and Components of population change, Victoria from the Downloads Page.


Summary commmentary on Victorian population growth and distribution at state and sub-state levels can be found in Regional Population Growth, Australia (cat. no. 3218.0).

The most current estimates of the resident population of Victoria by single year of age and sex at 30 June 2010 can be found in Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0). Further details on Victorian population by age and sex for 30 June 2009 by various Geographic classifications are available in Population by Age and Sex, Regions of Australia (cat. no. 3235.0).

Accessible via the Summary page of Population by Age and Sex, Australian States and Territories, Jun 2009 (cat. no. 3201.0) are the ABS animated population pyramids, which show the change in the age and sex distribution of the population of Australia and each state and territory over time and projected into the future.

More detailed animated populations pyramids are available for Victoria in Population Pyramids for Victorian Local Government Areas. These pyramids show the change each year from 1986 to 2009 in the age and sex distribution of the population of each Victorian local government area (LGA) in five year age groups.

The feature article Measuring Victoria's Population explains how the ABS derives ERP, and the role of the Victorian regional office in producing these estimates (published in the March quarter 2009 issue of State and Regional Indicators, Victoria).

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