ESTIMATED RESIDENT POPULATION
Victoria's estimated resident population (ERP) at the end of any given period is the estimated population at the beginning of the period plus the sum of three components: natural increase, net overseas migration and net interstate migration.
At the end of June quarter 2009, Victoria's ERP was 5,427,700 people, an increase of 25,100 (0.5%) since the end of March quarter 2009. Over the same period, Australia's ERP grew by 95,800 (0.4%). Victoria's ERP increased by 113,900 (2.1%) over the 12 months since the end of June quarter 2008.
The largest component of Victoria's population growth in June quarter 2009 was net overseas migration (a gain of 16,800 people). Natural increase (births minus deaths) accounted for a further increase of 8,100 people.
Net interstate migration has historically meant loss of population from Victoria to other states and territories. After eleven consecutive quarters of loss, net interstate migration made a positive contribution to the state's population in March quarter 2009 (700 people) and June quarter 2009 (200 people). Since March quarter 2002, the only other quarters with a population gain from this source have been December quarter 2002, March quarter 2003 and March quarter 2006.
View underlying table as an Excel spreadsheet: 1367.2, Estimated resident population and Components of population change, Victoria (file size 24kB).
Quarterly population growth
Components of population growth, Victoria
A spreadsheet containing estimates of the resident population of Victoria by single year of age and sex at 30 June 2009 can be found in
Population by Age and Sex, Australian States and Territories (cat. no. 3201.0) on the Downloads page (Table 2). Also accessible via the Summary page of this publication is the ABS
animated population pyramid, which shows the change in the age and sex distribution over time of the population of Australia and each states and territory.
The most recent estimates of the resident population of areas at sub-state level are with respect to 30 June 2008, and summary commentary on population growth and distribution in Victoria and its regions can be found in
Regional Population Growth, Australia (cat. no. 3218.0) (Contents, Victoria) and
Population by Age and Sex, Regions of Australia (cat. no. 3235.0) (Contents, Victoria). Downloadable data can also be accessed on the Downloads pages of these publications. Estimates for 30 June 2009 are scheduled for release in these publications on 30 March 2010 (cat. no. 3218.0) and 14 July 2010 (cat. no. 3235.0).
A
feature article expaining how the ABS derives ERP, and the role of the Victorian regional office in producing these estimates, was published in the March quarter 2009 issue of
State and Regional Indicators, Victoria.
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