3238.0 - Estimates and Projections, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, 2001 to 2026 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/04/2014   
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STATES AND TERRITORIES

At 30 June 2011, New South Wales had the largest Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population of the states and territories (208,500 people), followed by Queensland (189,000), Western Australia (88,300), the Northern Territory (68,900), Victoria (47,300), South Australia (37,400), Tasmania (24,200) and the Australian Capital Territory (6,200) (table 1.3).

The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population of the Australian Capital Territory is projected to be the fastest growing of the states and territories, with an average growth rate over the projection period of between 2.8% and 3.1% per year, followed by Victoria (between 2.5% and 2.8%), Queensland (between 2.3% and 2.6%) and Tasmania (between 2.2% and 2.4%). The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population of the Northern Territory is projected to have the lowest growth rate of between 1.4% and 1.6% per year over the projection period.

In Series A, B and C, Queensland is projected to approach New South Wales as the state or territory with the largest Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population in 2026. Queensland's share of Australia's Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population is projected to increase from 28% in 2011 to 29% in 2026, while New South Wales is projected to remain stable at 31% in 2011 and 2026. The Northern Territory's proportion of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population is projected to decrease from 10.3% in 2011 to between 9.3% and 9.4% in 2026. The distribution amongst the remaining states and territories is projected to remain largely unchanged.

1.3 ESTIMATED AND PROJECTED ABORIGINAL AND TORRES STRAIT ISLANDER POPULATION, States and territories - 2001-2026
2001
2011
2026 (SERIES A)
2026 (SERIES B)
2026 (SERIES C)
no.
no.
no.
Growth rate (%)(a)
no.
Growth rate (%)(a)
no.
Growth rate (%)(a)
NSW
170 827
208 476
289 808
2.2
282 962
2.1
277 233
1.9
Vic.
35 816
47 333
71 379
2.8
69 637
2.6
68 198
2.5
Qld
143 545
188 954
278 019
2.6
271 860
2.5
266 755
2.3
SA
29 068
37 408
52 321
2.3
51 233
2.1
50 312
2.0
WA
71 994
88 270
121 836
2.2
119 431
2.0
117 440
1.9
Tas.
19 292
24 165
34 724
2.4
33 965
2.3
33 305
2.2
NT
59 702
68 850
87 486
1.6
86 060
1.5
84 922
1.4
ACT
4 256
6 160
9 674
3.1
9 463
2.9
9 286
2.8
Aust.(b)
534 718
669 881
945 594
2.3
924 953
2.2
907 789
2.0
(a) Average annual growth rate for the period 2011 to 2026.
(b) Includes Other Territories.





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