SMALL AREA HOUSEHOLD AND FAMILY PROJECTIONS
A set of 1999-2019 statistical local area household and family projections using ASGC 1996 boundaries is now available. Output from the projections includes the projected population by living arrangement, projected number of families by family type and projected number of households, for each statistical local area. The cost of the projections, for all statistical local areas in a State/Territory, ranges from $1,120 in NT to $1,680 in NSW. For Australia the cost is $2,800.
The method used for these projections is similar to that used in Household and Family Projections, Australia, 1996 to 2021 (Cat. No. 3236.0). Living arrangement propensities of the population are applied to the projected population to produce the projected population by living arrangement. The projected number of families and households are then calculated.
For these projections, the living arrangement propensities are assumed to remain the same as those observed in the 1996 Census of Population and Housing. The population projections used are consistent with Series II outlined in Population Projections, Australia, 1999 to 2101 (Cat. No. 3222.0) and take account of the latest demographic trends and land use indicators available to the ABS. While the ABS takes responsibility for the method employed, the assumptions used are the responsibility of the client and the projections are not official ABS statistics.
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