This electronic release contains modelled estimates of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia based on passport transactions for the current month and passenger card disaggregations from earlier months. There is no printed publication available for this release, however, it is closely related to the monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0).
NOTES
DATA NOTES
The estimates presented in this publication provide an early indication of short-term visitor arrival movements prior to final data becoming available for the reference month. Monthly data prior to the reference month are final estimates. The ABS encourages users of these data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final ABS estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for the reference period. Final estimates for June 2004 will be released on 13 August 2004.
This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See paragraph 6 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See paragraph 10 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
INQUIRIES
For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Chrissy Beruldsen at c.beruldsen@abs.gov.au or telephone (02) 6252 5640.
MAIN FEATURES
TREND ESTIMATES
Trend estimates have been revised to take into account the impact of recent world events. See paragraph 18 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
The trend estimate of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for June 2004 (423,400 movements) increased by 0.1% compared with May 2004 (422,800 movements). This small increase followed a decrease of 0.2% for April and little change for May 2004. The trend estimate for June 2004 was 2.0% lower than when the series last peaked in November 2003 (431,800 movements).
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
According to seasonally adjusted estimates, there were 426,100 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during June 2004, representing an increase of 0.4% compared with May 2004 (424,400 movements). This followed revised increases of 0.8% for April and 0.1% for May 2004.
ORIGINAL ESTIMATES
There were an estimated 364,400 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during June 2004. This represents an increase of 18.2% compared with June 2003 (308,300 movements). However, the original time series is affected by such events as the outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the anticipation and commencement of military action in Iraq, which resulted in fewer than usual visitor arrivals for the first half of 2003.
During June 2004, large numbers of short-term visitor arrivals came from New Zealand (89,100 movements), Japan (45,800 movements), the United States of America (40,600 movements), the United Kingdom (29,400 movements) and Singapore (26,100 movements). Compared with June 2003, there were large increases in the number of short-term visitor arrivals from New Zealand (up 21,200 movements or 31%), Japan (up 16,200 movements or 55%), China (up 7,700 movements or 169%) and Taiwan (up 6,500 movements or 174%). The large increases in visitor arrivals from countries in Northeast Asia reflect the significant impact that world events had on travel to Australia from those destinations during 2003.
During the 2003–04 financial year there were an estimated 5,054,300 short-term visitor arrival movements to Australia, representing an increase of 9% compared with the 2002–03 financial year. Large numbers of short-term visitor arrivals came from New Zealand (925,800 movements), Japan (687,200 movements), the United Kingdom (685,400 movements) and the United States of America (430,300 movements). Compared with the 2002–03 financial year, there were large increases in the number of visitor arrivals from New Zealand (up 132,700 movements or 17%), the United Kingdom (up 41,200 movements or 6%), China (up 38,000 or 21%), and Malaysia (32,500 movements or 23%).
TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - JUNE 2004
|
 | | May 04 | June 03 |
| June | to June | to June |
| 04 | 04 | 04 |
| | % | % |
| '000 | change | change |
| Short-term visitor arrivals |
|
| Trend(a) | 423.4 | 0.1 | .. |
| Seasonally adjusted(a) | 426.1 | 0.4 | .. |
| Original | 364.4 | .. | 18.2 |
|
(a) Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See paragraphs 14 and 17 of the Explanatory Notes.
TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS(a) - COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE
|
| | Calendar year
| | Financial year
| | Quarter ended June
| | June
|
| | 2002 | 2003 | | 2002-03 | 2003-04 | | 2003 | 2004 | | 2003 | 2004(a) |
| | '000 | '000 | | '000 | '000 | | '000 | '000 | | '000 | '000 |
|
| OCEANIA & ANTARCTICA - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| New Zealand | 790.1 | 839.1 | | 793.1 | 925.8 | | 203.4 | 252.0 | | 67.9 | 89.1 |
| Total | 905.0 | 956.5 | | 904.7 | 1047.5 | | 227.7 | 279.1 | | 76.3 | 98.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| EUROPE & THE FORMER USSR - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Germany | 134.8 | 137.9 | | 134.0 | 140.5 | | 20.4 | 20.9 | | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| Italy | 43.3 | 41.3 | | 42.5 | 43.4 | | 4.5 | 6.6 | | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Netherlands | 53.0 | 51.0 | | 52.1 | 49.4 | | 7.1 | 6.7 | | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Sweden | 30.9 | 31.8 | | 31.8 | 32.6 | | 4.1 | 4.3 | | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Switzerland | 41.5 | 40.9 | | 41.2 | 41.5 | | 5.4 | 6.1 | | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| United Kingdom | 642.7 | 672.8 | | 644.2 | 685.4 | | 107.5 | 110.9 | | 28.9 | 29.4 |
| Total | 1180.5 | 1212.0 | | 1170.4 | 1242.9 | | 185.0 | 197.4 | | 54.6 | 56.9 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total | 51.5 | 52.7 | | 50.2 | 56.7 | | 8.4 | 11.5 | | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| SOUTHEAST ASIA - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Indonesia | 89.4 | 90.3 | | 86.9 | 90.8 | | 19.2 | 18.4 | | 7.9 | 7.5 |
| Malaysia | 159.0 | 155.6 | | 142.4 | 174.9 | | 27.1 | 40.2 | | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| Philippines | 28.5 | 27.0 | | 25.4 | 30.3 | | 7.2 | 8.8 | | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Singapore | 286.9 | 253.4 | | 261.6 | 252.4 | | 57.0 | 62.6 | | 30.3 | 26.1 |
| Thailand | 82.7 | 73.2 | | 75.5 | 79.3 | | 17.2 | 23.1 | | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| Total | 673.8 | 625.3 | | 617.7 | 653.0 | | 133.9 | 159.0 | | 56.0 | 53.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| NORTHEAST ASIA - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| China | 190.0 | 176.1 | | 177.1 | 215.1 | | 17.1 | 46.1 | | 4.5 | 12.2 |
| Japan | 715.5 | 627.7 | | 658.6 | 687.2 | | 102.6 | 153.0 | | 29.5 | 45.8 |
| Korea | 189.7 | 207.3 | | 195.8 | 215.8 | | 36.2 | 44.4 | | 14.1 | 14.2 |
| Taiwan | 97.4 | 87.7 | | 80.8 | 104.2 | | 9.8 | 26.5 | | 3.8 | 10.3 |
| Total | 1345.5 | 1230.0 | | 1254.8 | 1359.5 | | 194.5 | 303.6 | | 65.0 | 94.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| THE AMERICAS - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Canada | 90.9 | 87.9 | | 86.5 | 92.4 | | 13.7 | 16.1 | | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| USA | 434.5 | 422.1 | | 423.5 | 430.3 | | 94.2 | 101.3 | | 38.5 | 40.6 |
| Total | 556.2 | 537.5 | | 537.1 | 551.9 | | 112.9 | 123.3 | | 44.5 | 47.0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| AFRICA (excluding North Africa) - | | | | | | | | | | | |
| South Africa | 51.0 | 52.7 | | 47.5 | 54.5 | | 10.7 | 10.7 | | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Total | 67.3 | 69.2 | | 62.7 | 72.0 | | 13.7 | 14.2 | | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total(b) | 4841.2 | 4745.9 | | 4655.8 | 5054.3 | | 890.7 | 1108.4 | | 308.3 | 364.4 |
|
(a) June 2004 data are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly data prior to June 2004 are final estimates based on passenger card data.
(b) Includes Southern Asia and not stated/inadequately described. |
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