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SEPTEMBER KEY FIGURES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
ORIGINAL ESTIMATES
VOLUME MEASURES
NOTES CHAIN VOLUME MEASURES Quarterly chain volume data are shown in tables 14 and 15 of this issue.
FOOD RETAILING There was weak trend growth in August and September 2004 after 18 months of moderate growth. Growth in New South Wales and Victoria has weakened since the start of 2004 with Victoria flat for the past four months. Western Australia and the Northern Territory have had the strongest rates of growth in recent months. DEPARTMENT STORES There has been strong trend growth for the last seven months. Over the last six months Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia have had strong trend growth with Queensland and Western Australia the strongest. The trend in New South Wales has moderated in the last two months. CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING There has been strong growth in the trend estimate in each of the last six months. Victoria, South Australia and the Northern Territory have had strong trend growth for six or more months, Tasmania for four months and Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory for three months. New South Wales has had weak trend growth in the last two months. HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING The rate of trend growth decreased from June 2003 to March 2004 but has been slightly stronger in recent months. Western Australia is the only state showing sustained strong trend growth. Over the last three months, New south Wales and Victoria have had moderate growth and Queensland has been flat. RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING Trend growth was in decline in September and August 2004 after no growth in July. New South Wales has been in decline for 11 months, Queensland for three months and South Australia for two months after a period of strong growth. Northern Territory has been mostly flat or in decline since August 2003. Tasmania has had six months of strong trend growth. The other states have had moderate growth over the last three months. OTHER RETAILING There has been moderate trend growth for the last five months, driven by strong growth in Queensland and Western Australia. South Australia was flat in September 2004 after three months of weak growth and six months of decline. New South Wales has been in decline for 11 months and the Australian Capital Territory for six months. Victoria has had nine months of being flat or in decline. TOTAL RETAIL (excluding Hospitality and Services) Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has had moderate growth for the last six months. Over this period, the rate of trend growth has been slightly stronger or the same as that of Total industries (including Hospitality and services). HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES After weak trend growth for five months, the industry has been in decline for the last four months. New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and Tasmania have been in decline for at least the last three months. Northern Territory has had strong trend growth for the last six months. Victoria has had weak growth for the last three months. STATE TRENDS MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES NEW SOUTH WALES After 11 months of weak to moderate trend growth, September 2004 was flat. Over the last six months Department stores has had strong growth. Food, Clothing and soft good and Household good retailing have had moderate trend growth. Recreational good and Other retailing have been in decline over this period. Hospitality and services has been in decline for the last three months. VICTORIA After five months of weak trend growth, August and September had moderate trend growth. Over the last six months Department stores and Clothing and soft good retailing have had strong growth. After being in decline, Household good retailing and Recreational good retailing have shown moderate growth in the last three months. The other industries have had weak trend growth or were flat in this period. QUEENSLAND Trend growth has been moderate over the last 10 months. Over the last seven months Department stores, Clothing and soft good retailing and Other retailing have had strong trend growth, Food retailing has had moderate growth, and Hospitality and services has been in decline. Recreational good retailing has been in decline for three months. SOUTH AUSTRALIA In September 2004, the trend continued its fifth month of weak growth. Over the last six months there was strong growth in Clothing and soft good retailing and Department stores. Recreational good retailing was in decline in August and September after 10 months of strong growth. Hospitality and services continued to be in decline and the other industries had weak growth or were flat in September 2004. WESTERN AUSTRALIA Trend growth has been strong for eight months. Department stores and Household good retailing have had strong growth for the last six months. In September 2004, Food and Other retailing had moderate growth after a period of strong growth, and Clothing and soft good and Recreational good retailing had strong growth after being in decline. TASMANIA The trend growth was weak in the last two months after five months of moderate growth. Over the last four months Clothing and soft good retailing and Recreational good retailing have had strong trend growth, Household good retailing has had moderate growth, Food retailing has had weak growth and Hospitality and services has been in decline. Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.
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