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February Key Figures
February Key Points TREND ESTIMATES
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
ORIGINAL ESTIMATES
Notes CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE An appendix 'Contribution of Gambling to Retail Estimates' has been included in this issue with data updated to December quarter 2003.
Estimates for sampled businesses in the first month of each quarter can be influenced by the quarterly rotation of sampled businesses. This rotation is done to spread the reporting load across retailers and to ensure the sample remains representative of the population. At times, the businesses rotated into the sample can perform differently from the businesses they replace or those already in the sample. The potential impact of the quarterly rotation is reflected in the sampling errors for the relevant months.
FOOD RETAILING There has been moderate trend growth for the last 13 months. New South Wales has had moderate trend growth for the last nine months. Victoria had strong trend growth in January and February 2004, while Queensland has had moderate trend growth in the last two months after nine months of strong growth. Tasmania has had four months of weak or moderate trend growth and Western Australia has been flat for three months. DEPARTMENT STORES The rate of trend growth increased from October 2003 to January 2004, but the trend was flat in February 2004. Victoria, Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory were in decline in February and New South Wales was flat after four months of moderate trend growth. CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING There has been moderate to strong trend growth over the last eight months, but the rate of growth has been slowing since October 2003. New South Wales and South Australia had moderate trend growth in February 2004 after five months of strong growth, while Victoria had strong growth over the last five months. Queensland and the Australian Capital Territory have been flat or in decline in the last four months. HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING The trend growth rate has been slowing since June 2003 with weak trend growth in the last four months. South Australia has had strong growth over the last six months and Victoria in the last two months. All other states and territories were flat or in decline in February 2004. RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING The trend growth rate has been slowing from strong trend growth in August 2003 to being in decline in February 2004. South Australia and Western Australia have had strong trend growth in the last six and nine months respectively. Victoria had moderate trend growth in February 2004. The Northern Territory has had no growth for two months and all other states have been in decline for between two and five months. OTHER RETAILING Trend growth was strong for the 10 months to October 2003, but has been in decline over the last three months. Western Australia has had strong growth over the last four months and the Australian Capital Territory over the last six months. New South Wales and Queensland have been in decline for the last four months and Victoria and South Australia have been in decline in the last two months. TOTAL RETAIL (excluding Hospitality and Services) The rate of trend growth for Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has been the same or below that of Total industries (including Hospitality and services) for the last seven months. HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES After six months of strong trend growth, this industry has had weak to moderate growth in the last three months. After 12 months of strong growth, Queensland had moderate trend growth in February 2004. Victoria had moderate trend growth in February after eight months of strong growth. Western Australia also had moderate trend growth in February 2004 and all other states and territories were flat or in decline. STATE TRENDS MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES NEW SOUTH WALES The trend was in decline in February after four months of weak to moderate growth. Food retailing has had moderate trend growth for the last nine months, and Clothing and soft good retailing had moderate growth in February after five months of strong growth. Department stores was flat and all other industries were in decline in February 2004. VICTORIA Trend growth has moderated in the last two months after six months of strong growth. The rate of trend growth for Food retailing and Household good retailing has increased in recent months. The rate of growth has slowed in all other industries, particularly Hospitality and services and Other retailing. QUEENSLAND After moderate to strong trend growth for 12 months, there was weak trend growth in February 2004. Food retailing had moderate trend growth in the last two months after nine months of strong growth. Hospitality and services had moderate growth in February 2004 after 12 months of strong growth. Clothing and soft good retailing, Household good retailing and Other retailing have been in decline over the last four months. SOUTH AUSTRALIA The trend has shown moderate growth in the last three months. Clothing and soft good retailing, Household good retailing and Recreational good retailing have shown strong growth over the last six months. Food retailing and Department stores have had moderate trend growth in the last four months. The trend growth rate for Hospitality and services has been falling since October 2003 and was in decline in February 2004. WESTERN AUSTRALIA For the last four months there has been weak trend growth. The trend growth for Household good retailing had been strong since October 2002, although the rate of growth has been slowing since July 2003 and was in decline for the last two months. Recreational good retailing has had strong growth for the last nine months. Department stores has been in decline for six months. Food retailing has been flat for three months. TASMANIA The trend growth has been weak to moderate for the last four months after seven months of strong growth. Food retailing has had weak to moderate growth in the last four months. Clothing and soft good retailing has had strong growth in the last two months. Hospitality and services has been in decline for five months. Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.
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