3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Jun 2009

ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 04/08/2009

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Explanatory Notes Glossary Abbreviations Passenger Cards (Appendix) Data Quality Issues (Appendix) Seasonally Adjusted and Trend Estimates (Appendix) Time Series Spreadsheet (I-Note) Time Series Spreadsheet (I-Note) Time Series Spreadsheet (I-Note) Standard Errors	APPENDIX 3 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES INTRODUCTION Seasonally adjusted and trend estimates add to the understanding of overseas arrivals and departures (OAD) statistics. Seasonally adjusted estimates allow users to analyse short-term movements including irregular impacts on the series, while trend estimates provide a better method to analyse and monitor the underlying direction of the short-term movement series. In most cases the trend series is the best source of information on the long-term direction of these statistics. SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS Selected source countries The graph for the United States of America shows the large increase in the seasonally adjusted series for short-term visitor arrivals in September 2000, during the Olympic Games in Sydney. For Viet Nam the graph shows, for the trend series, strong growth from early 2003 to mid 2008, followed by a short decline which has subsequently reversed. The graph for Japan shows the significant impact of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) on the seasonally adjusted arrivals series in mid-2003. USA, Short-term Visitor Arrivals VIET NAM, Short-term Visitor Arrivals JAPAN, Short-term Visitor Arrivals SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES Selected destinations For residents departing to the United States of America the graph illustrates the effect of the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks in that country on short-term departures of Australian residents to the United States of America. The graph for Germany shows, in the seasonally adjusted series, the effect of Germany hosting the 2006 FIFA World Cup (9 June to 9 July). For Indonesia the graph shows the impact of the 12 October 2002 Bali bombing and the reduced level of travel experienced in the next twelve months. The effect of the 1 October 2005 Bali bombing is also evident and another break in the trend series was introduced. Strong growth resulted in the insertion of a further break in the trend series from December 2006. For the following graphs the trend series has been suspended for April 2009 and onwards. For further information please see the SUSPENSION OF TREND ESTIMATES (SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES) series in the NOTES section of the KEY FIGURES. USA, Short-term Resident Departures GERMANY, Short-term Resident Departures INDONESIA, Short-term Resident Departures Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.