6359.0 - Forms of Employment, Australia, November 2009 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 29/04/2010   
   Page tools: Print Print Page Print all pages in this productPrint All

TECHNICAL NOTE DATA QUALITY


INTRODUCTION

1 Estimates in this publication are based on information obtained from occupants of a sample of dwellings, they are subject to sampling variability. That is, they may differ from those estimates that would have been produced if all dwellings had been included in the survey. One measure of the likely difference is given by the standard error (SE), which indicates the extent to which an estimate might have varied by chance because only a sample of dwellings was included. There are about two chances in three (67%) that a sample estimate will differ by less than one SE from the number that would have been obtained if all dwellings had been included, and about 19 chances in 20 (95%) that the difference will be less than two SEs. Another measure of the likely difference is the relative standard error (RSE), which is obtained by expressing the SE as a percentage of the estimate.

2 Due to space limitations, it is impractical to print the SE of each estimate in the publication. Instead, a table of SEs is provided to enable readers to determine the SE for an estimate from the size of that estimate (see table T1). The SE table is derived from a mathematical model, referred to as the 'SE model', which is created using data from a number of past Labour Force Surveys. It should be noted that the SE model only gives an approximate value for the SE for any particular estimate, since there is some minor variation between SEs for different estimates of the same size.

3 The LFS sample size in November 2009, was approximately 26% higher than the sample size in 2008. This is due to the reinstated sample that was cut from the Labour Force Surveys (LFS) and supplementary surveys from July 2008. In combination, the sample reinstatement is expected to decrease the standard errors for estimates from the supplementary surveys by approximately 11% at the broad aggregate level, relative to estimates from 2008 (standard errors will vary at lower aggregate levels). Detailed information about the sample reduction/reinstatement is provided in Information Paper: Labour Force Survey Sample Design, Nov 2007 (Third edition) (cat. no. 6269.0).


CALCULATION OF STANDARD ERRORS

4 An example of the calculation and the use of SEs in relation to estimates of people is as follows. Table 2 shows that the estimated number of people in Australia who were other business operators was 975,000. Since this estimate is between 500,000 and 1,000,000, table T1 shows the SE for Australia will be between 8,600 and 12,100 and can be approximated by interpolation using the following general formula:

Equation: Calculation of standard errors

5 Therefore, there are about two chances in three that the value that would have been produced if all dwellings had been included in the survey will fall in the range 963,100 to 986,900, and about 19 chances in 20 that the value will fall within the range 951,200 to 998,800. This example is illustrated in the diagram below:

Diagram: Confidence intervals of estimates

6 In general, the size of the SE increases as the size of the estimate increases. Conversely, the RSE decreases as the size of the estimate increases. Very small estimates are thus subject to such high RSEs that their value for most practical purposes is unreliable. In the tables in this publication, only estimates with RSEs of 25% or less are considered reliable for most purposes. Estimates with RSEs greater than 25% but less than or equal to 50% are preceded by an asterisk (e.g.*3.4) to indicate that they are subject to high SEs and should be used with caution. Estimates with RSEs of greater than 50%, preceded by a double asterisk (e.g.**0.3), are considered too unreliable for general use and should only be used to aggregate with other estimates to provide derived estimates with RSEs of 25% or less.


PROPORTIONS AND PERCENTAGES

7 Proportions and percentages formed from the ratio of two estimates are also subject to sampling errors. The size of the error depends on the accuracy of both the numerator and the denominator. A formulae to approximate the RSE of a proportion is given below. This formulae is only valid when x is a subset of y:

Equation: Calculation of relative standard errors of proportions and percentages

8 Considering the example above, of the 975,000 people who were other business operators, 373,500 or 38.3% were women. The SE of 373,500, may be calculated by interpolation as 7,500. To convert this to an RSE we express the SE as a percentage of the estimate, or 7,500/373,500 = 2.0%. The SE for 975,000 was calculated previously as 11,900, which converted to an RSE is 11,900/975,000 = 1.2%. Applying the above formulae, the RSE of the proportion is:

Equation: Example calculation of relative standard errors or proportions

9 Therefore, the SE for the proportion of women who were other business operators, is 0.6 percentage points (=38.3/100)x1.6). Therefore, there are about two chances in three that the proportion of women who were business operators is between 37.7% and 38.9% and 19 chances in 20 that the proportion is within the range 37.1% to 39.5%.

10 All other estimates produced from population estimates smaller than the values in T2 have RSEs larger than 25% and should be used with caution. T2 also indicates the size of the population estimates that would produce all other estimates with RSEs greater than 50% are considered too unreliable for general use.


DIFFERENCES

11 Published estimates may also be used to calculate the difference between two survey estimates (of numbers or percentages). Such an estimate is subject to sampling error. The sampling error of the difference between two estimates depends on their SEs and the relationship (correlation) between them. An appropriate SE of the difference between two estimates (x-y) may be calculated by the following formulae:

Equation: Calculation of differences between estimates

12 While this formulae will only be exact for differences between separate and uncorrelated characteristics or subpopulations, it is expected to provide a good approximation for all differences likely to be of interest in this publication.


STANDARD ERRORS

T1 STANDARD ERRORS OF ESTIMATES
AUST.
NSW
Vic.
Qld.
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
SE
RSE
Size of estimate (persons)
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
%
100
300
290
230
180
220
110
80
100
110
110.0
200
410
390
330
240
300
160
120
170
200
100.0
300
480
460
400
290
350
200
150
220
270
90.0
500
600
560
520
350
430
240
200
280
390
78.0
700
680
640
600
400
490
280
230
310
500
71.4
1,000
790
730
700
460
560
320
270
350
630
63.0
1,500
930
850
830
540
660
370
310
370
800
53.3
2,000
1 040
950
940
600
740
410
350
400
950
47.5
2,500
1 150
1 050
1 000
650
800
450
400
400
1 050
42.0
3,000
1 200
1 100
1 100
700
850
450
400
450
1 200
40.0
3,500
1 300
1 200
1 150
750
900
500
400
450
1 300
37.1
4,000
1 350
1 250
1 200
800
950
500
450
500
1 350
33.8
5,000
1 500
1 350
1 300
850
1 050
550
500
550
1 500
30.0
7,000
1 700
1 550
1 450
950
1 150
600
600
600
1 750
25.0
10,000
1 900
1 750
1 650
1 100
1 350
700
750
700
2 050
20.5
15,000
2 250
2 050
1 850
1 250
1 550
850
1 000
850
2 400
16.0
20,000
2 500
2 250
2 050
1 350
1 700
1 000
1 300
1 000
2 650
13.3
30,000
2 900
2 600
2 300
1 600
1 950
1 300
1 800
1 300
3 000
10.0
40,000
3 200
2 900
2 600
1 850
2 150
1 550
2 250
1 500
3 250
8.1
50,000
3 450
3 150
2 800
2 050
2 400
1 750
2 700
1 700
3 500
7.0
100,000
4 400
4 100
3 850
3 100
3 500
2 500
4 700
2 300
4 400
4.4
150,000
5 200
5 000
4 750
4 000
4 600
2 950
6 500
2 600
5 150
3.4
200,000
5 950
5 800
5 550
4 650
5 550
3 300
8 100
2 750
5 750
2.9
300,000
7 500
7 450
7 050
5 750
6 950
3 800
11 050
2 850
6 850
2.3
500,000
10 500
10 350
9 500
7 200
8 850
4 350
. .
2 900
8 600
1.7
1,000,000
15 550
15 750
13 600
9 200
11 300
5 000
. .
. .
12 100
1.2
2,000,000
20 950
23 250
18 300
10 900
13 100
. .
. .
. .
17 550
0.9
5,000,000
26 700
37 200
24 650
12 300
13 650
. .
. .
. .
29 350
0.6
10,000,000
28 650
51 300
28 850
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
39 150
0.4
15,000,000
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
44 150
0.3
. . not applicable

T2 LEVELS AT WHICH ESTIMATES HAVE A RELATIVE STANDARD ERRORS OF 25% AND 50%(a)
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Aust.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
RSE of 25%
6 600
5 700
5 400
2 700
3 700
1 500
1 100
1 500
7 200
RSE of 50%
2 100
1 900
1 800
900
1 200
500
300
600
1 800
(a) Refers to the number of people contributing to the estimate.