ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to June 2015.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in June 2015 following a rise of 0.3% in May 2015 and a rise of 0.3% in April 2015.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.7% in June 2015 following a rise of 0.4% in May 2015 and a relatively unchanged April 2015 (0.0%).

The original estimate for Australian turnover fell 1.0% in June 2015. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers fell 1.5% in June 2015. The original estimate for smaller retailers fell 0.2% in June 2015.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the June quarter 2015 rose 0.8% following a rise of 0.6% in the March quarter 2015 and a rise of 1.2% in the December quarter 2014.

In the June quarter 2015, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Food retailing (0.6%), Household goods retailing (1.1%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (1.9%), Other retailing (0.9%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (0.2%). Department stores (-0.5%) fell in volume terms in the June quarter 2015.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in seasonally adjusted terms in the June quarter 2015.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in June 2015: New South Wales (0.5%), Victoria (0.3%), South Australia (0.4%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.5%), Western Australia (0.1%), Tasmania (0.2%) and the Northern Territory (0.2%). Queensland (0.0%) was relatively unchanged.

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in June 2015: New South Wales (1.0%), Victoria (0.8%), South Australia (0.8%), Queensland (0.2%), Western Australia (0.2%), the Northern Territory (0.8%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.2%). Tasmania (0.0%) was relatively unchanged.

In the June quarter 2015, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states: New South Wales (1.3%), Victoria (1.0%), South Australia (1.0%), the Australian Capital Territory (2.1%), the Northern Territory (1.0%) and Tasmania (0.3%). Western Australia (0.0%) was relatively unchanged. Queensland (-0.1%) fell in volume terms in the June quarter 2015.