ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to September 2011.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in September 2011 following a rise of 0.3% in August 2011 and a rise of 0.3% in July 2011.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.4% in September 2011 following a rise of 0.6% in August 2011 and a rise of 0.8% in July 2011.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.4% in September 2011. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 0.7% in September 2011. The original estimate for smaller retailers was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in September 2011.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the September quarter 2011 rose 0.6% following a rise of 0.2% in the June quarter 2011 and a rise of 0.3% in the March quarter 2011.

In the September quarter 2011, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Food retailing (1.4%), Other retailing (2.5%), Household goods retailing (1.5%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (1.2%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell in volume terms for Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (-8.0%) and Department stores (-2.3%) in the September quarter 2011.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover rose 0.4% in seasonally adjusted terms in the September quarter 2011.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

All states and territories rose in trend terms in September 2011: New South Wales (0.4%), Western Australia (0.7%), Queensland (0.2%), South Australia (0.3%), Victoria (0.1%), Tasmania (0.7%), the Northern Territory (0.5%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.3%).

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in September 2011: New South Wales (0.6%), Queensland (0.5%), South Australia (1.0%), the Australian Capital Territory (1.7%), Tasmania (0.8%), Western Australia (0.1%) and the Northern Territory (1.0%). Victoria (0.0%) was relatively unchanged.

In the September quarter 2011, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for New South Wales (0.9%), Western Australia (2.0%), Queensland (0.4%), South Australia (0.7%),Tasmania (1.6%), the Northern Territory (1.1%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.1%). The seasonally adjusted estimate fell in volume terms for Victoria (-0.4%).