ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to December 2014.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.2% in December 2014 following a rise of 0.3% in November 2014 and a rise of 0.3% in October 2014.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.2% in December 2014 following a rise of 0.1% in November 2014 and a rise of 0.4% in October 2014.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 22.9% in December 2014. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 26.1% in December 2014. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 16.6% in December 2014.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the December quarter 2014 rose 1.5% following a rise of 0.9% in the September quarter 2014 and a fall of 0.1% in the June quarter 2014.

In the December quarter 2014, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Household goods retailing (5.5%), Food retailing (0.9%), Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (1.9%) and Department stores (1.9%). Other retailing (-0.8%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (-0.7%) fell in volume terms in the December quarter 2014.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in seasonally adjusted terms in the December quarter 2014.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in December 2014: New South Wales (0.3%), Western Australia (0.3%), Queensland (0.2%), South Australia (0.5%), Victoria (0.1%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.8%) and the Northern Territory (0.3%). Tasmania (-0.2%) fell in trend terms in December 2014.

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2014: Queensland (0.6%), New South Wales (0.2%), Western Australia (0.5%) and the Australian Capital Territory (0.4%). Victoria (0.0%) was relatively unchanged. South Australia (-0.4%), Tasmania (-1.3%) and the Northern Territory (-0.1%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2014.

In the December quarter 2014, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states: New South Wales (2.0%), Victoria (1.4%), Queensland (0.8%), South Australia (2.3%), Western Australia (1.0%) and the Australian Capital Territory (2.7%). The Northern Territory (0.0%) was relatively unchanged. Tasmania (-0.1%) fell in volume terms in the December quarter 2014.