3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Oct 2016 Quality Declaration
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 12/12/2016
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MAIN FEATURES The following table presents the top ten source countries (based on original estimates) for short-term visitor arrivals during October 2016. When trend estimates for short-term visitor arrivals for October 2015 and October 2016 were compared, the highest percentage increase was recorded for Malaysia (26.9%), followed by South Korea (23.5%), and United States of America and India (both 19.2%).
'What if'....? Future scenarios The most recent trend estimates for short-term visitor arrivals are likely to be revised when the next month's seasonally adjusted estimates become available. To assist in analysing these movement trends, the approximate effects of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimate of short-term visitor arrivals are presented:
2 The November 2016 seasonally adjusted estimate of visitor arrivals is 2.2% lower than October 2016. The figure of 2.2% for visitor arrivals represents the average absolute monthly percentage change for visitor arrivals over the last ten years. For further information on the effect of new seasonally adjusted estimates on short-term visitor arrival trend estimates, see paragraph 30 of the Explanatory Notes. SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES In trend terms, short-term resident departures from Australia during October 2016 (837,600 movements) increased 0.4% when compared with September 2016 (834,100 movements). Currently, short-term resident departures are 4.6% higher than in October 2015. The following table presents the top ten destination countries (based on original estimates) for short-term resident departures in October 2016. When trend estimates for short-term resident departures for October 2015 and October 2016 were compared, the highest percentage increase was recorded for India (14.9%), followed by Japan (10.1%), and Indonesia (8.3%).The highest percentage decrease was recorded for UK, CIs & IOM (-10.0%).
'What if'....? Future scenarios The most recent trend estimates for short-term resident departures are likely to be revised when the next month's seasonally adjusted estimates become available. To assist in analysing these movement trends, the approximate effects of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimate of short-term resident departures are presented:
2 The November 2016 seasonally adjusted estimate of resident departures is 2.4% lower than October 2016. The figure of 2.4% for resident departures represents the average absolute monthly percentage change for resident departures over the last ten years. For further information on the effect of new seasonally adjusted estimates on short-term resident departure trend estimates, see paragraph 30 of the Explanatory Notes. STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE The above presentation of numeric and/or percentage changes between two estimates does not take into account whether the change is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage changes by taking into consideration the size of the standard error of these estimates changes. Please see the Standard Errors section (under the Explanatory Notes tab) of this issue for more detail. Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.
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