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3222.0 Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101 — Data cubes
These files contain population projections, by age and sex, for all projection series for the period 30 June 2008 to 2101 for Australia, and 30 June 2008 to 2056 for the states and territories and capital cities/balance of state. For more information on the relevant data cube see the corresponding section below.
These files are in SuperTABLE format. To use them, you need SuperTABLE on your PC. You can download it free from Space-Time Research at http://www.str.com.au/download/supertable_download.htm (then run the file to install it), or contact your organisation's Information Technology support area. For more information, please see SuperTABLE Help.
Each file contains 72 alternative projection series (with the main Series A, B and C included), based on different combinations of assumptions on fertility, mortality, net overseas migration and net interstate migration. The assumptions used are detailed below:
PROJECTION SERIES, Assumptions used |
|
 | HIGH LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH | | MEDIUM LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH |
|
| |
|
| Net
interstate
migration(a)
(large flows) | Net
interstate
migration
(medium flows) | Net
interstate
migration(a)
(small flows) | | Net
interstate
migration(a)
(large flows) | Net
interstate
migration
(medium flows) | Net
interstate
migration(a)
(small flows) |
|
HIGH FERTILITY (TFR = 2.0)
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| Net overseas migration (per year) | | | | | | | |
| 220 000 | 1(A) | 2 | 3 | | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 180 000 | 19 | 20 | 21 | | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 140 000 | 37 | 38 | 39 | | 40 | 41 | 42 |
| 0 | 55 | 56 | 57 | | 58 | 59 | 60 |
|
MEDIUM FERTILITY (TFR = 1.8)
|
| Net overseas migration (per year) | | | | | | | |
| 220 000 | 7 | 8 | 9 | | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 180 000 | 25 | 26 | 27 | | 28 | 29(B) | 30 |
| 140 000 | 43 | 44 | 45 | | 46 | 47 | 48 |
| 0 | 61 | 62 | 63 | | 64 | 65 | 66 |
|
LOW FERTILITY (TFR = 1.6)
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| Net overseas migration (per year) | | | | | | | |
| 220 000 | 13 | 14 | 15 | | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 180 000 | 31 | 32 | 33 | | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 140 000 | 49 | 50 | 51 | | 52 | 53 | 54(C) |
| 0 | 67 | 68 | 69 | | 70 | 71 | 72 |
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| (a) The large interstate flows assumption corresponds to large net interstate losses for New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia. For these states, the small interstate flows assumption yields greater population growth. |
Projected population, Australia, 2006–2101
ABOUT THIS DATASET
This dataset contains population projections for Australia by single year of age (up to 100 years and over) and sex, for the period 2008–2101. Figures for 30 June 2006 are final estimated resident population based on results of the 2006 Census of Population and Housing while figures for 30 June 2007 are preliminary estimates.
USING THIS DATASET WITH SUPERTABLE
When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must select at least one value from each of the following fields:
- At 30 June; and
- Projection series.
Failure to do so will result in incorrect data in your table.
CLASSIFICATIONS
| At 30 June | 2006 to 2101 |
| Sex | Male, Female |
| Age | Single year of age (0 to 100 years and over) |
| Projection series | Series 1 to 72, where Series 1 is also known as Series A, Series 29 as Series B, and Series 54 as Series C. Note that as interstate migration is not applicable for Australia, Series 1 to 3 are identical, Series 4 to 6 are identical, and so on. |
TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES
PROJECTED POPULATION FOR AUSTRALIA, Series B |
|
| 30 June 2006(a) | 30 June 2007(b) | 30 June 2101 |
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| Australia | 20,697,880 | 21,015,042 | 44,744,809 |
(a) Final estimated resident population.
(b) Preliminary estimated resident population, base population. |
| | | |
Projected population, state/territory, capital city/balance of state, 2006–2056
ABOUT THESE DATASETS
These datasets contain population projections for each state/territory, by capital city/balance of state, single year of age (up to 85 years and over) and sex, for the period 2008 to 2056. Figures for 30 June 2006 are final estimated resident population based on results of the 2006 Census of Population and Housing while figures for 30 June 2007 are preliminary estimates.
USING THIS DATASET WITH SUPERTABLE
When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must select at least one value from each of the following fields:
- At 30 June;
- Part of state; and
- Projection series.
Failure to do so will result in incorrect data in your table.
CLASSIFICATIONS
| At 30 June | 2006 to 2056 |
| Sex | Male, Female |
| Part of State | Capital city/balance of state |
| Projection series | Series 1 to 72, where Series 1 is also known as Series A, Series 29 as Series B, and Series 54 as Series C |
| Age | Single year of age (0,1,2....,84,85 years and over) |
TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES
PROJECTED POPULATION, CAPITAL CITY/BALANCE OF STATE, Series B |
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| 30 June 2006(a) | 30 June 2007(b) | 30 June 2056 |
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| Sydney | 4,281,988 | 4,334,020 | 6,976,827 |
| Balance of New South Wales | 2,534,099 | 2,553,994 | 3,233,387 |
| Melbourne | 3,743,015 | 3,805,755 | 6,789,215 |
| Balance of Victoria | 1,383,525 | 1,399,071 | 1,749,062 |
| Brisbane | 1,819,762 | 1,856,966 | 3,979,293 |
| Balance of Queensland | 2,271,146 | 2,324,465 | 4,759,597 |
| Adelaide | 1,145,812 | 1,157,961 | 1,651,836 |
| Balance of South Australia | 422,076 | 426,236 | 552,700 |
| Perth | 1,518,748 | 1,554,125 | 3,358,367 |
| Balance of Western Australia | 540,633 | 551,994 | 935,014 |
| Hobart | 205,481 | 207,399 | 279,747 |
| Balance of Tasmania | 284,470 | 285,972 | 291,215 |
| Darwin | 114,362 | 117,399 | 242,963 |
| Balance of Northern Territory | 96,265 | 97,530 | 158,600 |
| ACT(c) | 334,119 | 339,761 | 509,272 |
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(a) Final estimated resident population.
(b) Preliminary estimated resident population, base population.
(c) Capital city/balance of state projections not generated for the Australian Capital Territory.
For further information on these statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070. |
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