ARE YOU BEING MISLED BY THE SEASONS?

HAVE YOU EVER WONDERED...

How can I be confident my interpretation of statistics is not misleading?

Am I using the right estimates in making important decisions?

What does seasonal adjustment mean for me?


CONTENTS

		Why seasonally adjust? Includes: Seasonal patterns; Trend; Residual noise; Irregular events
		Which indicator should I use? Includes: Original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates; Month-to-month or quarter-to-quarter percentage changes; Year apart changes
		Revisions to time series estimates Includes: What revisions are; When original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates will be revised
		Example of a seasonal adjustment Includes: Original series; Seasonal factors; Seasonally adjusted series; Trend series
		Further questions Includes: Other questions on seasonal adjustment; Further resources; Contacting the Time Series Analysis section