4102.0 - Australian Social Trends, 2014
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 12/06/2014 Final
Page tools: Print Page Print All | ||||||
|
CONTENTS - Introduction - Most household debt is housing debt - Housing debt compared with housing value - What happens at the household level? - Investment debt - Property debt - Home loan debt - Other property loan debt - Investment loan debt - Study loan debt - Consumption debt - Credit card debt - Vehicle loan debt - Other consumption loan debt - Looking ahead EXPLANATORY INFORMATION - Data sources and definitions - Endnotes Related terms household debt, housing debt, credit card debt, study debt, consumption debt, GFC INTRODUCTION There are benefits associated with borrowing funds (accessing credit) to invest or consume. Credit enables a household to acquire wealth by borrowing to buy assets that increase in value over time. By borrowing funds, a household can also enjoy a higher standard of living earlier than would otherwise be possible, and can maintain consumption levels when income is insufficient for immediate use. There are also risks associated with borrowing. If a household is unable to keep up with its debt repayments, the debt can increase and the household may experience debt collection, debt or insolvency agreements, property repossession, or the adverse consequences of bankruptcy. This article looks at various forms of household debt using data from the ABS National Accounts and the ABS Survey of Income and Housing to identify which types of debt are contributing most to the increasing level of household debt in Australia (see companion article Trends in household debt), and which types of debt are more commonly held. For information about the types of households who have debt, see companion article Who has household debt?. MOST HOUSEHOLD DEBT IS HOUSING DEBT Data from Australia's national accounts at the end of 2013 showed that three quarters (75%) of all household debt was housing debt. This hasn't always been the case. In 1990, housing debt accounted for less than half (47%) of all household debt. HOUSING DEBT AND OTHER DEBT AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL HOUSEHOLD DEBT Source: Australian National Accounts: Financial Accounts, December Quarter 2013 (ABS cat. no. 5232.0) The total housing debt of Australian households was $1.38 trillion at the end of 2013, equivalent to $59,200 for every person living in Australia at that time. After making adjustments to remove the effect of general price inflation (giving a 'real' comparison), this was almost as high as it had been at any time in the previous 25 years, and more than six times what it had been in 1988 ($9,300 in 2013 dollars). It was also significantly higher than what it had been in 2007 ($49,100 in 2013 dollars). In contrast, other household debt per person increased at a much slower rate than housing debt between 1988 ($8,600 in 2013 dollars) and 2007 ($20,400 in 2013 dollars). In real terms, other household debt per person has remained below the level reached in mid 2007, just prior to the onset of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). REAL(a) HOUSEHOLD DEBT PER PERSON Housing debt compared with housing value(a) All dollar values have been converted into December quarter 2013 dollars using the All Groups Consumer Price Index. Source: Australian National Accounts: Financial Accounts, December Quarter 2013 (ABS cat. no. 5232.0); Australian Demographic Statistics, September Quarter 2013 (ABS cat. no. 3101.0); Unpublished projected resident population for 31 December 2013; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2014 (ABS cat. no. 6401.0) Debt to asset ratios are commonly used as indicators of financial health. A debt to asset ratio shows the extent to which debt is covered by the value of assets, and whether assets are of sufficient value to repay debt by selling those assets if necessary. The housing debt of Australian households rose from a little over 11% of the value of the residential land and dwellings of Australian households at the end of September 1989 to nearly 31% of the value of the residential land and dwellings of Australian households at the end of September 2012. This housing debt to asset ratio subsequently eased to 29% at the end of 2013 after Australian residential dwelling prices resumed their upward trend in late 2012 (see companion article Trends in household debt). SIZE OF HOUSEHOLD DEBT COMPARED WITH HOUSEHOLD ASSETS (a) Households' housing debt to housing assets ratio (e.g. at the end of December 2013, money owing on housing loans taken out by households was equivalent to 29% of the value of residential land and dwellings owned by households). (b) Households' other debt to other assets ratio (e.g. at the end of December 2013, households' non-housing debts were equivalent to 10% of the value of assets other than residential land and dwellings that were owned by households). Source: Australian National Accounts: Financial Accounts, December Quarter 2013 (ABS cat. no. 5232.0) At 29%, the housing debt to asset ratio of Australian households is well below the equivalent ratio prevailing in the United States when their property prices peaked in 2006. This ratio had increased to around 45% in the United States in the last couple of years of their pre-GFC housing boom, and increased well beyond 45% when their housing prices started to fall.1 WHAT HAPPENS AT THE HOUSEHOLD LEVEL? The overall size of the housing debt of all Australian households compared with their assets is moderated by households with considerable housing assets and little or no housing debt. The housing debt to asset ratios of some individual Australian households may be far greater than the national average, particularly if they borrowed to buy housing with a small deposit and have repaid little of the loan principal. The share of loan approvals with loan-to-valuation ratios of 90% or greater has been fairly steady since 2011, at about 13%.2 Data collected from individual Australian households in the ABS Survey of Income and Housing enables analysis of both the proportion of households with various types of debt, and levels of these types of debt among households who have such debts. This is the focus for the remainder of this article, with a particular focus on trends in investment debt and trends in consumption debt. INVESTMENT DEBT Property debt In 2011-12, 40% of all of Australia's 8.6 million households had some amount of property debt (i.e. home loan debt and/or other property loan debt). More than half of these households owed less than $300,000 in property debt. SHARE OF PROPERTY DEBT AMONG ALL HOUSEHOLDS, 2011-12 Home loan debtSource: ABS Survey of Income and Housing Around a third of Australian households have some amount of home loan debt (i.e. principal outstanding on loans used to purchase, build, alter or make additions to the property where they usually live). Households with home loan debt had a clearly higher average level of this form of debt in 2011-12 ($224,000) than in 2003-04 ($153,000 in 2011-12 dollars). The average value of the homes of households with home loan debt also increased in real terms between 2003-04 ($433,000 in 2011-12 dollars) and 2011-12 ($538,000), resulting in the ratio of home loan debt to home value increasing for these households from 35% in 2003-04 to 42% in 2011-12. Despite the rise in this debt to asset ratio, their average equity in their homes increased in real terms between 2003-04 ($280,000 in 2011-12 dollars) and 2011-12 ($314,000), contributing 19% of the real increase in their overall wealth between 2003-04 ($543,000 in 2011-12 dollars) and 2011-12 ($724,000). HOUSEHOLDS WITH HOME LOAN DEBT: REAL(a) EQUITY IN HOME AND REAL WEALTH Other property loan debt(a) All dollar values have been converted into 2011-12 dollars using the All Groups Consumer Price Index. (b) Value of home was estimated by the home owner. Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2014 (ABS cat. no. 6401.0) Some households borrow to buy real estate other than the home in which they live. Such other property could be a holiday house, residential investment property, vacant land, or a commercial property such as an office, shop, factory or farm. The proportion of households with other property loan debt increased slightly between 2003-04 (10%) and 2011-12 (12%), whereas the average amount of such debt increased considerably between 2003-04 ($239,000 in 2011-12 dollars) and 2011-12 ($357,000). Among households with other property loan debt, the amount owing on this other property as a percentage of its value (i.e. gearing) was 53% in 2011-12 compared with 50% in 2003-04. The average equity of these households in their other property increased in real terms between 2003-04 ($243,000 in 2011-12 dollars) and 2011-12 ($321,000), contributing 27% of the real increase in their overall wealth between 2003-04 ($1,037,000 in 2011-12 dollars) and 2011-12 ($1,327,000). HOUSEHOLDS WITH OTHER PROPERTY(a) LOAN DEBT: REAL(b) EQUITY IN OTHER PROPERTY AND REAL WEALTH Investment loan debt(a) Property other than own home. (b) All dollar values have been converted into 2011-12 dollars using the All Groups Consumer Price Index. (c) Value of other property was estimated by the household who owned that property. Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2014 (ABS cat. no. 6401.0) Between 2003-04 and 2011-12, only 2% to 3% of Australian households had investment loan debt. However, for households who had this type of debt it tended to be sizeable (in 2011-12 dollars), averaging around $127,800 in 2003-04, $203,300 in 2005-06, $234,600 in 2009-10, and $155,400 in 2011-12.Study loan debt Study loan debt can be considered to be investment debt rather than consumption debt. Undertaking further education is an investment in future skills, employment potential and overall earning capacity.3,4,5 It is different to most other forms of debt in that the loan need not be repaid if the person who has incurred the debt dies, emigrates or fails to earn above a specified level of income. Australian households became more likely to have some level of study loan debt between 2003-04 (11%) and 2011-12 (14%). This is consistent with the re-introduction of university student fees in 1989, subsequent fee increases, and greater participation in higher education. The average amount of study loan debt (in 2011-12 dollars) among households with this form of debt was similar in 2003-04 ($13,900) and 2005-06 ($14,900) before increasing to $17,300 in 2009-10. The amount of debt stayed the same in 2011-12 ($17,200). CONSUMPTION DEBT Credit card debt Credit card debt is generally regarded as consumption debt rather than investment debt because this form of debt is often used to purchase goods and services that are either used up immediately or continuously depreciate in value after they've been purchased (e.g. entertainment expenses, travel fares, accommodation costs and perishable food). Credit card debt has been a relatively common type of household debt in 21st century Australia, even though the proportion of Australian households with net credit card debt declined between 2003-04 (57%) and 2011-12 (53%). PERCENTAGE OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH SELECTED TYPES OF DEBT Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing Although credit card interest rates are relatively high (see companion article Trends in household debt), credit card debt can be short term and does not necessarily incur interest charges. An interest free period on the purchase of goods and services is a common feature of credit cards. In addition to deferring payment without interest penalty, there may be other advantages to purchasing goods and services with a credit card (e.g. free travel insurance or 3 months product protection). While credit card debt is relatively common, the amount owed tends to be small in comparison with other forms of household debt. In real terms (i.e. in 2011-12 dollars), the average amount of credit card debt owed by households who had net credit card debt was around $4,300 in 2003-04, $4,900 in 2005-06, and $5,300 in both 2009-10 and 2011-12. AVERAGE REAL(a) LEVEL OF SELECTED TYPE OF DEBT AMONG HOUSEHOLDS WITH THAT TYPE OF DEBT (a) All dollar values have been converted into 2011-12 dollars using the All Groups Consumer Price Index. Source: ABS Survey of Income and Housing; Consumer Price Index, Australia, March Quarter 2014 (ABS cat. no. 6401.0) In March 2013, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reported that net repayments on personal credit and charge cards had been above average in recent years, and that balances on personal credit cards had slightly declined since mid 2012.6Vehicle loan debt Amounts borrowed to purchase motor vehicles for private purposes can also be classed as consumption debt rather than investment debt, as motor vehicles tend to depreciate in value over time. As with net credit card debt, the proportion of Australian households with principal outstanding on a loan used to purchase a motor vehicle for private purposes (i.e. vehicle loan debt) decreased between 2003-04 (18%) and 2009-10 (13%), but not between 2009-10 and 2011-12 (14%). The average amount of vehicle loan debt (expressed in 2011-12 dollars) owed by households who held this form of debt was around $18,800 in 2003-04, $20,300 in 2005-06, $18,200 in 2009-10, and $19,500 in 2011-12.Other consumption loan debt The proportion of households with other consumption loan debt (e.g. a personal loan for a holiday) halved between 2003-04 (12%) and 2011-12 (6%). The average size of this debt (in 2011-12 dollars) among households who held this form of debt was around $15,200 in 2003-04, $20,800 in 2005-06, $15,700 in 2009-10, and $19,500 in 2011-12. LOOKING AHEAD In March 2014, the RBA expected the easing of interest rates that had taken place to result in rising housing prices and greater household borrowing. According to the RBA, a combination of historically low interest rates and rising housing prices could encourage speculative activity in the housing market. Another possible outcome foreseen by the RBA is that marginal borrowers could be encouraged to increase debt.2
ENDNOTES
Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.
|