5675.0 - Experimental Estimates, Regional Small Business Statistics, Australia, 1995-96 to 1999-00  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 13/11/2002   
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INTRODUCTION

This publication presents regional experimental small business estimates which have been derived using files provided to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) by the Australian Taxation Office (ATO). The estimates are compiled from completed tax returns for companies, partnerships and trusts, and individuals declaring business income. This issue includes estimates for Australian small business for the 1995-96 to 1999-2000 reference periods. The data are available by industry division at Statistical Division (SD), state and national levels.

For a number of years, the ABS has been expanding the range of data sources it uses in order to decrease the statistical reporting load placed on providers, while continuing to increase the range of information available. A major alternative source of data is the ATO, which collects key economic data for business income tax purposes.

This publication provides estimates for business income data at the regional level. The ABS has released other related publications which provide information on personal income and state level industry estimates. Under taxation law, this data may be passed by the Commissioner for Taxation to the ABS for statistical purposes.


Overview

The statistics in this publication are experimental regional estimates for small business. The purpose of this publication is to alert users to the results of work undertaken by the ABS to increase the range of regional data available. The ATO collects key economic data for business income tax purposes. The estimates in this publication have been derived using ATO data. Under taxation law, these data may be passed by the Commissioner for Taxation to the ABS for statistical purposes.

The estimates in this publication are part of the strategy of the ABS to help meet the need for small area data expressed by various users including the Commonwealth Government, State Governments, regional organisations and local authorities.

This publication provides an overview of selected output at SD level for small business. It is not an attempt to deliver the full range of data available, but has been developed to allow users to examine a potentially rich source of economic data and assess its useability. In addition to this, the ABS will be producing a suite of standard output tables at the SD level and will also provide data tailored to specific needs and regions on a fee for service basis. Refer to the Appendix for a list of the standard tables available.

The Commonwealth Government and some State Government departments have expressed a particular interest in small business economic data over time as an indicator of the flow-on effects of some major economic or policy changes both Australia-wide and in particular regions. Additionally, in some industries, small business represents the vast majority of economic activity and employment and is a very useful indicator of changes in overall activity in a region. The ABS has produced these ‘experimental estimates’ in order to help meet that demand.

The nature of the ATO data does not allow multi-location businesses to be identified and disaggregated. A key assumption is that small businesses are single location. The ABS created the small business definition to enable regional estimates to be produced for a subset of the economy.

In summary, although the data provide information on the economic activity of small business at a regional level, they do not provide a complete measure of economic activity in a region. They exclude businesses not within the scope of the small business definition, a selection of tax-exempt businesses and some government activity. Whilst the statistics in this publication cover 75% of businesses but only 25% of business income, they are valuable for several reasons. They offer a viable regional time series and the health of large businesses is often reflected in the health of the smaller businesses that deal with them at a local level. Furthermore, the success or failure of small businesses are generally a good indicator of the prevailing economic conditions in a particular region. See the Explanatory Notes for further information.


Methodology

The ATO data for companies, partnerships and trusts, and individuals declaring business income were examined to investigate the quality of regional and industry identifiers. No substantial quality issues were found. Editing was carried out to identify and resolve general errors in the records. Finally, some validation processes were carried out on the resulting datasets in order to further improve the quality of the statistics.

For more detailed information regarding the methodology please refer to Information Paper: Use of Business Income Tax Data for Regional Small Business Statistics - Experimental Estimates, Selected Regions, Australia 1995-96 to 1997-98 (cat. no. 5675.0).


The selected small business definition

For the purposes of this information paper and the experimental estimates provided within it, the definition of small business refers to those businesses whose total income or expenses were between $10,000 and $5m in the financial year.

Once the decision to produce regional data for small business had been taken, a process had to be found to identify these businesses and extract their data from the ATO Business Income Tax File. The ABS considered a number of definitions for small business. From the outset of this process, it was assumed that most small businesses would have only one location.

As the ATO does not require tax-paying legal entities to state whether they have more than one location, it was not possible to use a simple process to identify small business. Research was undertaken into various methods of identifying small business including a number of analytical investigations on the data as well as considering various definitions of small business.

Initially, the ABS considered replicating the 1995 Statistics Canada financial definition completely. Statistics Canada defined small businesses as those with an annual gross operating revenue of between 25,000 and 5 million Canadian dollars (approximately 24,000 to 4.8 million Australian dollars). However, after a wide consultation process with state government departments and other regional organisations, it was decided to adjust the definition for Australian conditions.

A large majority of those consulted found the higher limit acceptable but there was concern about the lower limit. However, there was a need to set a lower limit to exclude businesses which are hobbies generating a small amount of income as these could be operating quite differently from most businesses and could also distort analyses of economic activity. Analyses were carried out, using 1996-97 ATO data, on two lower limits and using income only or both income and expenditure.

A lower limit of around $25,000 was too high, particularly for a regional analysis at industry level. The number of records that would be excluded was significant and the subsequent decline in the proportion of businesses that would be captured was far higher for some ANZSIC divisions than for others. It was felt this would lead to a misrepresentation of the regional industry profile.

It was decided to use the ATO’s lower limit for micro-businesses, which was $10,000. The ATO defines non-commercial business as ‘those non-employing businesses which earn less than $10,000’. These include (i) part-time businesses, (ii) hobbies i.e. wage employees with a small business on the side and (iii) body corporates, i.e. strata titles which can be trading or non-trading.

Rather than defining small business solely from total income cut-offs, a combination of total income and total expenditure cut-offs was preferable when doing time series comparisons as a business could have unusually high or low income or expenditure in one particular year.

When the expense component was added to the definition, and the lower cut-off for both income and expenses was set at $10,000, more entities were captured than when there was no expense component, however, the total increase in the value of data items was significant. For a 32.7% increase in the number of entities, comparatively large increases were achieved in the values of major data items. In some respects, it appeared that this definition negated the trade off between number of entities and values of major data items.

Therefore, small business is defined as those businesses whose total income or expenses were between $10,000 and $5m in the financial year. The ABS has also included data from a subset of small business in the experimental estimates produced in this paper. There was considerable interest amongst users in data on non-employers.

Non-employers are identified by the ABS as businesses which fit the following criteria

(TOTAL WAGE and SALARY EXPENSES = $0 and SUPERANNUATION <= $27,000) and

(TOTAL INCOME > $0 or TOTAL EXPENSES > $0) and

(TOTAL INCOME <= $2m and TOTAL EXPENSES <= $2m)

Image - Australian Business Sector - 1999-2000



Caveats

The estimates in this publication are considered experimental and should be used with caution. It is intended that the methodology to produce these experimental estimates will be continually improved to a point when the ABS can remove the ‘experimental’ tag.

Some of the assumptions that have been relied upon in the production of these estimates cannot be directly tested. Users are advised to review the assumptions and methodology before deciding on fitness for purpose.

Differences between data presented in this publication and other ABS publications may be due to differences in scope, reference period, statistical unit and the definition of data items. Further details can be found in the Explanatory Notes.


Future plans

The ABS will continue to explore the possibilities of deriving useful tabulations from ATO business income tax data based on the feedback it receives on these experimental estimates. The ABS welcomes feedback from readers regarding the usefulness, range and quality of the data available and the explanations provided. These are the first release of Australia-wide SD estimates from the ATO business income tax data. It is intended that further development of the methodology and continued production of the estimates will be undertaken if there is sufficient demand among users.

Feedback, suggestions and comments from users are most welcome. They can be addressed to Mark Chalmers by telephone Brisbane 07 3222 6307, fax 07 3222 6250, or by email mark.chalmers@abs.gov.au.


SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

This summary of findings is based on experimental estimates and therefore should be used with care. The Explanatory Notes provide advice on data quality and methodology.


National findings

The number of small businesses grew by an average annual growth rate of 2% from 1995-96 to 1999-2000. Over the same period, the average annual increase in profit was 6.3%, income 4.4%, total expenses 4.2% (including wages 5.3%). From 1995-96 to 1999-2000 the average income for small businesses increased by 10.1% to $271,685 while average expenses rose 8.9% to $234,851.


Capital city and regional findings

From 1995-96 to 1999-2000, the number of small businesses in capital cities generally grew much faster than in other regions of Australia. Over this period, the number of small businesses in capital city Statistical Divisions (SDs) increased by 13.4% to 1,007,364. For the rest of Australia, in comparison, the number of small businesses increased by only 0.9% to 616,267.

Average income to small business in capital city SDs grew 10.9% to $304,810 from 1995-96 to 1999-2000 while average expenses increased by 9.1% to $258,173. At the same time, in regions outside of the capital cities, average income grew 5.8% to $217,591 while average expenses rose by 6.5% to $196,749.

The largest increases in average income in capital city SDs were recorded in Canberra, Adelaide, Perth, Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, all with an average annual growth of over 5.4% from 1995-96 to 1999-2000. Darwin SD and Greater Hobart SD were the slowest growing capital city SDs with annual average growth in income of 1.5% and 0.6% respectively.

Outside of the capital cities, 12 SDs experienced growth in total income from 1995-96 to 1999-2000 of greater than 10%. Of these, five were in New South Wales, three each in Queensland and Victoria and one in South Australia. The fastest growing regions outside the capital cities were concentrated in the south of Queensland which had three of the six fastest growing SDs. The fastest growing non-capital city SD was South West SD in Queensland (22.9%), followed by South West SD in Western Australia (21.9%), Central Highlands SD in Victoria (21.3%), Moreton SD (18.6%) and Darling Downs SD (17.5%) in Queensland and Barwon SD in Victoria (16.8%).

Total income earned by small business outside of the capital cities declined from 1995-96 to 1999-2000 in 18 SDs. These included seven in Western Australia, three in South Australia, two each in Queensland and Tasmania and one each in Victoria, Northern Territory and New South Wales. The remaining Other Territories SD also reported a fall in total income.


EXPERIMENTAL ESTIMATES: SMALL BUSINESSES BY SELECTED AREAS, 1995-96 to 1999-2000

1995-96
1998-99
1999-2000
Change 1995-96 to 1999-2000
Businesses
Income
Businesses
Income
Businesses
Income
Businesses
Income
no.
$m
no.
$m
no.
$m
%
%

New South Wales
501988
131735
519059
142,235
547016
159,294
9.0
20.9
Sydney SD
303699
90944
321802
100,559
349387
115,326
15.0
26.8
Hunter SD
34316
8334
35281
8,661
36311
9,485
5.8
13.8
Australia
1505943
371,686
1551267
401,758
1627457
442,155
8.1
19.0

Source: ATO files for companies, partnerships and trusts, and individuals for 1996-96 to 1999-2000

EXPERIMENTAL ESTIMATES: AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH IN TOTAL SMALL BUSINESS INCOME BY
STATISTICAL DIVISION, 1995-96 TO 1999-2000
Image - Map - EXPERIMENTAL ESTIMATES: AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH IN TOTAL SMALL BUSINESS INCOME BY
Source: ATO files for companies, partnerships and trusts, and individuals for 1996-96 to 1999-2000