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Feature article published in Australian Demographic Statistics, December Quarter, 2002.
AUSTRALIANS ON THE MOVE
Between 1996 and 2001, 6.8 million people age 5 years and over (42.4%) changed their place of residence in Australia. Of all the people who moved during this period, 5.9 million (86%) moved within the same state or territory, 767,900 people (11%) moved interstate and for a further 157,300 people (2%) their move was undefined.
POPULATION MOBILITY(a), Type of move, 1991-2001
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| | | | | | | | |
| 1991-1996(a) | | 1996-2000(a) | | 2000-2001(b) |
| | | | | | | | |
Type of move | no. | % | | no. | % | | no. | % |
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Moved | | | | | | | | |
| 2,148,177 | 14.1 | | 2,205,049 | 13.7 | | 1,198,451 | 6.8 |
| 2,512,333 | 16.5 | | 2,670,668 | 16.6 | | 1,171,253 | 6.7 |
| 1,007,400 | 6.6 | | 1,004,048 | 6.3 | | 368,301 | 2.1 |
| 768,903 | 5.0 | | 767,932 | 4.8 | | 286,338 | 1.6 |
| 130,453 | 0.9 | | 157,264 | 1.0 | | 79,930 | 0.5 |
Total moved | 6,567,266 | 43.1 | | 6,804,961 | 42.4 | | 3,104,273 | 17.7 |
| | | | | | | | |
Did not move | 8,661,112 | 56.9 | | 9,253,360 | 57.6 | | 14,446,309 | 82.3 |
| | | | | | | | |
Total(c) | 15,228,378 | 100.0 | | 16,058,321 | 100.0 | | 17,550,582 | 100.0 |
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(a) For persons aged five years and over.
(b) For persons aged one year and over.
(c) Census count at the end census date excludes overseas visitors, not stated and not applicable responses.
Source: 1996 and 2001 Census of Population and Housing, data available on request.
Net interstate migration
According to population estimates there were 1,844,800 interstate moves made between 1996 and 2001. Queensland, Victoria and Western Australia were the only states or territories to have registered a net gain through interstate migration, with Queensland recording the largest net increase (92,200). This figure has decreased by over 50% from the net increase recorded for Queensland between 1991 and 1996 (201,000 people). For the five-year period 1996 to 2001, net losses due to interstate migration were recorded for all other states and territories, with New South Wales recording the largest net loss (-66,500).
The net losses recorded for New South Wales and South Australia between 1991 and 1996 were higher than their respective losses recorded between 1996 and 2001. Victoria experienced a significant change from the previous five-year period when it recorded the largest net loss due to interstate migration (-107,800). In the period between 1996 and 2001 this state recorded a net gain of 6,400 people. The Australian Capital Territory was the only state or territory to have recorded a decrease in net interstate migration between 1996 and 2001 (-4,600) after having recorded a net interstate migration gain in the five years from 1991 to 1996 (1,100).
NET INTERSTATE MIGRATION, 1991-2001
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| 1991-1996 | | 1996-2001 |
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| | | |
New South Wales | -71,770 | | -66,549 |
Victoria | -107,832 | | 6,444 |
Queensland | 201,038 | | 92,188 |
South Australia | -23,108 | | -12,894 |
Western Australia | 11,526 | | 2,886 |
Tasmania | -9,136 | | -15,043 |
Northern Territory | -1,831 | | -2,170 |
Australian Capital Territory | 1,113 | | -4,642 |
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Total(a) | . . | | . . |
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(a) Includes Other Territories from September 1996 to June 2001.
Source: Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).
Interstate migration flows
The general pattern of movement over the last two decades has been northward, away from south-eastern Australia. According to ERP estimates in 1996-2001, this movement resulted in Queensland receiving the most significant net gain (92,200). All states and territories experienced a loss to Queensland, with New South Wales losing the largest number of people (-59,600) accounting for 65% of Queensland's total net interstate migration gain.
INTERSTATE MOVES, 1996-2001
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| | | | | | | | | |
| STATE/TERRITORY OF ARRIVAL | |
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State/territory of departure | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas. | NT | ACT | Total(a) |
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| '000 |
| | | | | | | | | |
New South Wales | . . | 123.6 | 249.7 | 34.2 | 42.5 | 13.6 | 15.5 | 55.9 | 535.3 |
Victoria | 118.0 | . . | 104.2 | 39.1 | 37.4 | 15.5 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 339.0 |
Queensland | 190.1 | 91.8 | . . | 27.3 | 34.8 | 14.1 | 23.6 | 13.4 | 395.2 |
South Australia | 35.3 | 45.3 | 32.8 | . . | 18.1 | 4.5 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 156.0 |
Western Australia | 40.2 | 38.3 | 36.8 | 16.7 | . . | 8.2 | 13 | 4.5 | 158.0 |
Tasmania | 14.6 | 21.4 | 19.8 | 5.2 | 9.2 | . . | 2.0 | 2.0 | 74.2 |
Northern Territory | 13.8 | 12.1 | 26.5 | 16.8 | 13.7 | 1.7 | . . | 2.5 | 86.9 |
Australian Capital Territory | 56.7 | 12.8 | 17.6 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | . . | 99.3 |
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Total(a) | 468.8 | 345.4 | 487.4 | 143.2 | 160.9 | 59.1 | 84.8 | 94.7 | 1,844.8 |
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Net gain/loss | -66.5 | 6.4 | 92.2 | -12.9 | 2.9 | -15.0 | -2.2 | -4.6 | . . |
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(a) Includes Other Territories from September 1996 to June 2001.
Source: Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).
Population turnover and redistribution
Population turnover measures gross moves in relation to the size of the population. The level of population turnover between 1996-2001 varied considerably across states and territories as the arrivals and departures for each state and territory were much larger than indicated by the net balance between them. For example, the interstate loss of -66,500 from New South Wales between 1996 and 2001 was actually the difference between 468,800 arrivals and 535,300 departures (1,004,000 gross moves). These gross movements can be used to describe interstate mobility in terms of population turnover and redistribution.
The highest population turnover occurred in the Northern Territory (89%) as the gross moves (171,700) were nearly the same as the total population at the mid point of the later census year.
Another way of looking at interstate migration is to assess how effective migration has been in redistributing the population. This index, known as the migration effectiveness ratio (MER), compares the total net gain or loss to the gross moves (Bell 1995, p109)1. For 1996-2001 Queensland had the highest MER (10.4%), gaining 10 people out of every 100 interstate moves in and out of Queensland. Tasmania also recorded a relatively large MER (-11.3%), indicating that Tasmania lost 11 people for every 100 interstate moves in and out of the state.
POPULATION TURNOVER AND MIGRATION EFFECTIVENESS RATIOS, 1996-2001
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| | | | | | |
| | | | | | Migration |
| | | | | Population | effectiveness |
| Arrivals | Departures | Net | Gross | turnover(a) | ratio(b) |
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| no. | no. | no. | no. | % | % |
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New South Wales | 468,779 | 535,328 | -66,549 | 1,004,107 | 15.6 | -6.6 |
Victoria | 345,416 | 338,972 | 6,444 | 684,388 | 14.6 | 0.9 |
Queensland | 487,374 | 395,186 | 92,188 | 882,560 | 25.2 | 10.4 |
South Australia | 143,150 | 156,044 | -12,894 | 299,194 | 20.0 | -4.3 |
Western Australia | 160,917 | 158,031 | 2,886 | 318,948 | 17.3 | 0.9 |
Tasmania | 59,115 | 74,158 | -15,043 | 133,273 | 28.2 | -11.3 |
Northern Territory | 84,778 | 86,948 | -2,170 | 171,726 | 89.2 | -1.3 |
Australian Capital Territory | 94,664 | 99,306 | -4,642 | 193,970 | 61.9 | -2.4 |
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Total(a) | 1,844,797 | 1,843,797 | . . | 3,689,594 | 19.5 | . . |
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(a) Percentage of the average 1996 and 2001 ERP.
(b) Net migration divided by gross migration expressed as a percentage.
Source: Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).
MOVEMENT BETWEEN STATISTICAL DIVISIONS
Net internal migration gains between 1996 and 2001, for persons age 5 and over, were mostly recorded by SDs along the eastern coastline of Queensland and New South Wales and the south-west corner of Western Australia. The capital cities of Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and Darwin also recorded net internal migration gains. On the other hand, net internal migration losses mainly occurred in the rural inland and remote areas of Australia and in the capital cities of Sydney, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra.
Sydney recorded the largest net migration loss between 1996 and 2001 (-60,600), with the next largest loss recorded by Northern New South Wales (-8,300). Every SD in Tasmania experienced significant net migration losses, and losses were also recorded in all but one SD in South Australia. The largest rate of net migration loss was recorded in North West in Queensland (-13.6%), with the next largest loss recorded in the Pilbara in Western Australia (-13.3%).
NET INTERNAL MIGRATION(a), STATISTICAL DIVISIONS, 1996-2001 CENSUS
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| Intrastate | Interstate | Total | Rate(b) |
State | | | | |
| no. | no. | no. | % |
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New South Wales | | | | |
| -36,287 | -24,341 | -60,628 | -1.6 |
| 12,452 | -4,475 | 7,977 | 1.4 |
| 14,148 | -3,484 | 10,664 | 2.9 |
| 8,044 | -3,156 | 4,888 | 2.4 |
| 11,615 | -5,261 | 6,354 | 2.4 |
| -3,172 | -5,100 | -8,272 | -4.7 |
| -4,034 | -2,665 | -6,699 | -5.8 |
| -2,193 | -3,037 | -5,230 | -3.1 |
| 2,013 | 254 | 2,267 | 1.3 |
| -903 | -4,116 | -5,019 | -3.4 |
| -1,099 | -2,948 | -4,047 | -3.7 |
| -584 | -1,552 | -2,136 | -8.8 |
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Victoria | | | | |
| -2,513 | 13,365 | 10,852 | 0.3 |
| 6,087 | -891 | 5,196 | 2.2 |
| -2,422 | -851 | -3,273 | -3.3 |
| 2,191 | -599 | 1,592 | 1.2 |
| -1,957 | -471 | -2,428 | -4.8 |
| -3,463 | 58 | -3,405 | -4.0 |
| 2,986 | -675 | 2,311 | 1.5 |
| 157 | -515 | -358 | -0.2 |
| -368 | -98 | -466 | -0.5 |
| -1,664 | -1,292 | -2,956 | -3.8 |
| 966 | -1,240 | -274 | -0.2 |
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Queensland | | | | |
| 17,347 | 32,853 | 50,200 | 3.3 |
| 16,084 | 36,595 | 52,679 | 8.2 |
| -4,377 | 4,889 | 512 | 0.2 |
| -2,052 | 2,623 | 571 | 0.3 |
| -2,404 | 6 | -2,398 | -9.3 |
| -6,176 | 556 | -5,620 | -3.2 |
| -1,381 | -156 | -1,537 | -12.6 |
| -5,792 | 836 | -4,956 | -4.0 |
| -271 | 1,537 | 1,266 | 0.7 |
| -6,540 | 1,001 | -5,539 | -2.7 |
| -4,438 | -276 | -4,714 | -13.6 |
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South Australia | | | | |
| 5,281 | -8,990 | -3,709 | -0.3 |
| 4,541 | 486 | 5,027 | 4.7 |
| -320 | 44 | -276 | -0.6 |
| -1,429 | -307 | -1,736 | -2.6 |
| -1,738 | -456 | -2,194 | -3.6 |
| -761 | 93 | -668 | -2.1 |
| -5,574 | -1,089 | -6,663 | -8.4 |
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Western Australia | | | | |
| 5,801 | 3,264 | 9,065 | 0.7 |
| 10,236 | 1,021 | 11,257 | 6.5 |
| -230 | -112 | -342 | -0.7 |
| -1,702 | -72 | -1,774 | -9.5 |
| -2,020 | -230 | -2,250 | -4.4 |
| -5,353 | -425 | -5,778 | -10.8 |
| -1,919 | -250 | -2,169 | -3.8 |
| -4,547 | -568 | -5,115 | -13.3 |
| -266 | -206 | -472 | -1.7 |
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Tasmania | | | | |
| 3,734 | -6,132 | -2,398 | -1.3 |
| -1,434 | 196 | -1,238 | -3.7 |
| 145 | -3,103 | -2,958 | -2.3 |
| -2,445 | -3,552 | -5,997 | -5.7 |
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Northern Territory | | | | |
| 2,016 | -1,182 | 834 | 0.9 |
| -2,016 | -3,555 | -5,571 | -6.2 |
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Australian Capital Territory | | | | |
| 19 | -2,094 | -2,075 | -0.7 |
Australian Capital Territory - Bal
| -19 | 4 | -15 | -4.4 |
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(a) For persons aged five year and over.
(b) Percentage of the mean of the 1996 and 2001 usual residence populations.
Source: 2001 Census of Population and Housing, data available on request.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
For additional information on population mobility including return migration, reasons for moving, age, sex and birthplace of movers and Indigenous mobility see Chapter 3 in Population Growth and Distribution (cat. no. 2035.0) due for release on 16 June 2003. This publication also contains information on population distribution, population growth and decline and final population estimates by statistical local areas for each state and territory.
1 Bell, M. 1995 Internal Migration in Australia 1986-91: overview report, Bureau of Immigration Multicultural and Population Research, Canberra.
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