3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Jun 2004
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 13/08/2004
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SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Early estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for July 2004 will be available on the ABS website http://www.abs.gov.au on 17 August 2004. These estimates can be accessed by going to the home page and selecting Main Features (located under Statistical Products and Services) and then 34. Migration. Select Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0.55.001).
For data quality issues see the appendix of this publication.
This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See paragraph 5 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Key Points and/or Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See paragraph 11 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
As of the August 2004 issue (to be released 14 October 2004), the presentation of information by country will be based on the Standard Australian Classification of Countries (SACC). This will replace the currently used Australian Standard Classification of Countries for Social Statistics (ASCCSS). For more detailed information refer to the ABS publication Standard Australian Classification of Countries (SACC), 1998 (cat. no. 1269.0).
The lists of countries listed in spreadsheets 3, 5, 8a and 8b of this publication will also be revised to reflect current trends. This will result in the presentation of information on more countries than in this issue. For more information, ring Chrissy Beruldsen on (02) 6252 5640.
For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Chrissy Beruldsen on Canberra (02) 6252 5640 or email@example.com.
SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS
In trend terms, short-term visitor arrivals for June 2004 recorded the second consecutive monthly increase since December 2003. However, several additional estimates will be required before a turning point can be confirmed. Currently, short-term visitor arrivals are 2% lower than when the series last peaked in November 2003 (431,700 movements).
The following table presents the top ten source countries, in original terms, for short-term visitor arrivals during June 2004, along with percentage and numeric change compared with June 2003.
In original terms, there were 5,057,200 short-term visitor arrivals during 2003 - 04 financial year, up 9% compared with 2002-03.
SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES
In trend terms, short-term resident departures have recorded consecutive monthly growth rates since April 2003. However, estimates since January 2004 indicate that this growth rate is waning. Short-term resident departures are 26% higher this month than when the series last troughed in March 2003 (285,400 movements).
The following table presents the top ten destinations, in original terms, for short-term resident departures during June 2004, along with percentage and numeric change compared with June 2003.
In original terms, there were 3,936,800 short-term resident departures during the 2003-04 financial year, up 20% compared with 2002-03.
SHORT-TERM VISITOR DEPARTURES
During the 2003-04 financial year there were 5,109,300 visitors who departed Australia after a stay of less than 12 months, up 8% on the 2002-03 financial year. Comparing 2003-04 to 2002-03, visitors who spent the most of their time in the Northern Territory declined 15%, while increases occurred for Victoria (up 33%), Queensland (up 5%), New South Wales (up 2%), South Australia (up 19%), Tasmania (up 24%), the Australian Capital Territory (up 21%) and Western Australia (up 1%).
PERMANENT AND LONG-TERM MOVEMENTS
There were 10,060 permanent (settler) arrivals into Australia during June 2004, an increase of 6% compared with June 2003 (9,470 movements). Settlers born in both the United Kingdom and New Zealand accounted for the largest proportion (12%) of permanent arrivals for June 2004, followed by China (10%).
Statistics on overseas arrivals and departures (OAD) relate to the number of movements of travellers rather than the number of travellers. Therefore, care should be taken when using long-term arrivals data as it is known some individuals who travel multiple times in a year are counted each time they cross Australia's borders (see paragraph 5 of the Explanatory Notes). Long-term arrivals in this publication are not an appropriate source of migration statistics. For further information refer to Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).
There were 4,200 Australian residents departing permanently from Australia during June 2004, an increase of 18% compared with June 2003 (3,570 movements).
The above presentation of movements in estimates does not take into account whether the change in movement is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage change. Please see the Standard Errors section.
Care should be taken when comparing estimates over time, particularly when using original estimates for time-series analysis. The original series is affected by such world events as the Bali bombing, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the anticipation and commencement of military action in Iraq, which resulted in fewer than usual visitor arrivals and resident departures during the first half of 2003. The ABS encourages the use of the trend series for time series analysis. See paragraph 21 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
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