9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Aug 2003  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 17/09/2003   
   Page tools: Print Print Page Print all pages in this productPrint All

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


AUGUST 2003 KEY POINTS


Trend

The trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles rose for the tenth consecutive month in August 2003 to reach a new record high of 79,278. This is 13.7% higher than the August 2002 estimate.

The trend increase in total new motor vehicle sales was 1,117 or 1.4% in August 2003 compared with July 2003. New passenger vehicle sales and new other vehicle sales accounted for 0.8% and 0.6% respectively of this increase.

Only the Northern Territory recorded a fall from July 2003 to August 2003 (3.1%) while all of the other states and the Australian Capital Territory recorded increases in total new motor vehicle sales. Tasmania (2.5%), Queensland (2.2%), Western Australia (2.0%) and New South Wales (1.5%) recorded trend growth above the national average.


Seasonally adjusted

Seasonally adjusted estimates rose slightly with 79,316 total new motor vehicle sales in August 2003 compared with 78,316 in July 2003.


NOTES

DATA QUALITY

Due to a processing problem with the data supplier for heavy truck sales, other vehicles were understated by 367 units in July 2002. These missing units have been included in the August 2002 sales data for other vehicles. The impact on the original series is as follows: New South Wales (119 units), Victoria (63 units), Queensland (84 units), South Australia (18 units), Western Australia (65 units), Tasmania (14 units) and the Northern Territory (4 units).


TREND REVISIONS

The most recent trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The September 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.2%.
2The September 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.2%.

The percentage change of 4.2% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 8 years has been 4.2%.

Graph - Published trend


The next annual re-estimation of the seasonal factors will be undertaken after data for reference month October 2003 have been released.


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph - New motor vehicle sales, Total vehicles, Long term


New motor vehicle sales, Total vehicles, Short term


Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (a) (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change Passenger vehicles (%)
Change Other vehicles (%)
Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2002June
49101
29680
78781
5.7
11.3
7.7
July
45923
23859
69782
-6.5
-19.6
-11.4
August
45122
24525
69647
-1.7
2.8
-0.2
September
43396
22638
66034
-3.8
-7.7
-5.2
October
48269
24063
72332
11.2
6.3
9.5
November
47229
24346
71575
-2.2
1.2
-1.0
December
45317
22656
67973
-4.0
-6.9
-5.0
2003January
40015
21155
61170
-11.7
-6.6
-10.0
February
43677
23058
66735
9.2
9.0
9.1
March
49921
26192
76113
14.3
13.6
14.1
April
44602
24263
68865
-10.7
-7.4
-9.5
May
49646
28616
78262
11.3
17.9
13.6
June
57086
34972
92058
15.0
22.2
17.6
July
51450
28071
79521
-9.9
-19.7
-13.6
August
49869
26304
76173
-3.1
-6.3
-4.2

Seasonally Adjusted

2002June
44705
23749
68454
-1.5
-2.3
-1.8
July
44390
24048
68438
-0.7
1.3
0.0
August
45301
25217
70518
2.1
4.9
3.0
September
45947
25194
71141
1.4
-0.1
0.9
October
45791
24955
70746
-0.3
-0.9
-0.6
November
45464
23406
68870
-0.7
-6.2
-2.7
December
41865
20783
62648
-7.9
-11.2
-9.0
2003January
49584
28103
77687
18.4
35.2
24.0
February
46685
24775
71460
-5.8
-11.8
-8.0
March
47875
25032
72907
2.5
1.0
2.0
April
48507
26090
74597
1.3
4.2
2.3
May
50185
27164
77349
3.5
4.1
3.7
June
50132
27198
77330
-0.1
0.1
0.0
July
49687
28629
78316
-0.9
5.3
1.3
August
51866
27450
79316
4.4
-4.1
1.3

Trend

2002June
44971
24216
69187
0.0
1.6
0.5
July
45060
24484
69544
0.2
1.1
0.5
August
45126
24581
69707
0.1
0.4
0.2
September
45113
24454
69567
0.0
-0.5
-0.2
October
45163
24265
69428
0.1
-0.8
-0.2
November
45355
24165
69520
0.4
-0.4
0.1
December
45724
24235
69959
0.8
0.3
0.6
2003January
46332
24512
70844
1.3
1.1
1.3
February
47132
25035
72167
1.7
2.1
1.9
March
48016
25706
73722
1.9
2.7
2.2
April
48823
26339
75162
1.7
2.5
2.0
May
49474
26850
76324
1.3
1.9
1.5
June
50044
27298
77342
1.2
1.7
1.3
July
50517
27644
78161
0.9
1.3
1.1
August
51138
28140
79278
1.2
1.8
1.4
(a) Other vehicle figures for July 2002 and August 2002 have been affected by reporting problems. See Notes.



Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration (a)

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2002June
27496
20296
15035
5143
7348
1294
813
1356
78781
July
24643
18721
13462
4457
5562
1174
579
1184
69782
August
23456
18942
13516
4537
6102
1311
597
1186
69647
September
22236
18765
12497
4187
5493
1239
507
1110
66034
October
24618
20185
13456
4499
6627
1203
580
1164
72332
November
24349
19829
13224
4641
6320
1398
628
1186
71575
December
21741
19706
12672
4531
5989
1584
585
1165
67973
2003January
20648
16490
11632
3988
5762
1025
534
1091
61170
February
21965
18152
12956
4754
6164
1069
582
1093
66735
March
25541
20408
14843
5147
6917
1218
769
1270
76113
April
23588
18368
13386
4507
5948
1177
728
1163
68865
May
26259
21053
14967
5273
7127
1454
789
1340
78262
June
31168
24132
18084
6089
8662
1549
866
1508
92058
July
26983
21248
15716
5298
6973
1407
635
1261
79521
August
25391
19799
15248
5263
7048
1589
555
1280
76173

Seasonally Adjusted

2002June
23768
18491
12265
4448
6334
1299
634
1215
68454
July
23332
18419
13518
4360
5904
1210
586
1109
68438
August
24094
18986
13768
4427
6190
1256
617
1180
70518
September
23778
19665
13771
4581
6154
1292
596
1304
71141
October
24025
19026
13887
4434
6434
1225
588
1127
70746
November
23130
19251
12847
4426
6192
1289
617
1118
68870
December
20809
17721
11628
4138
5564
1080
611
1097
62648
2003January
26458
21064
14557
5236
6981
1359
673
1359
77687
February
23770
19372
13648
5110
6444
1271
674
1171
71460
March
24007
20083
14169
4952
6459
1308
718
1211
72907
April
25777
19695
14567
5044
6203
1333
706
1272
74597
May
25698
21106
15000
5058
7089
1435
697
1266
77349
June
25969
21134
14169
5062
7468
1520
660
1348
77330
July
25724
20866
16064
5178
7201
1467
636
1180
78316
August
26916
20469
15938
5373
7193
1558
592
1277
79316

Trend

2002June
23956
18618
13039
4401
6111
1265
619
1178
69187
July
23878
18779
13283
4419
6126
1267
611
1181
69544
August
23737
18919
13443
4418
6144
1261
604
1181
69707
September
23535
18998
13439
4417
6155
1248
599
1176
69567
October
23379
19081
13335
4444
6180
1237
601
1171
69428
November
23348
19176
13233
4524
6217
1233
613
1176
69520
December
23468
19289
13246
4649
6254
1236
634
1183
69959
2003January
23770
19461
13405
4793
6307
1251
659
1198
70844
February
24219
19733
13711
4923
6400
1279
682
1220
72167
March
24737
20064
14093
5018
6547
1322
696
1245
73722
April
25207
20361
14472
5071
6726
1371
695
1259
75162
May
25578
20579
14798
5099
6904
1420
682
1264
76324
June
25900
20737
15108
5132
7071
1464
664
1266
77342
July
26160
20819
15397
5171
7204
1502
643
1265
78161
August
26562
20961
15735
5235
7350
1540
623
1272
79278
(a) Other vehicle figures for July 2002 and August 2002 have been affected by reporting problems. See Notes.