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3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Mar 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 09/05/2007   
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SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS

In trend terms, short-term visitor arrivals to Australia in March 2007 (485,900 movements) were 0.8% higher than in February 2007 (482,100 movements). Short-term visitor arrivals are currently 7.4% higher than when the series last troughed in June 2006 (452,400 movements) and 5.4% higher than in March 2006 (460,900 movements).

SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS
Graph: Short-Term Visitor Arrivals



The following table presents the top ten source countries (based on original estimates) for short-term visitor arrivals during March 2007. Seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are also presented for these countries, along with the percentage change in trend compared with February 2007 and March 2006.

Short-term Visitor Arrivals, Major Source Countries - March 2007

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original
Feb 07 to Mar 07
Mar 06 to Mar 07
'000
'000
'000
Trend % change
Trend % change

United Kingdom
62.9
64.7
84.3
0.6
4.2
New Zealand
93.9
91.1
83.2
-0.2
3.7
Japan
51.1
51.7
60.5
-0.9
-6.4
United States of America
38.2
39.1
44.3
-0.2
-2.2
China
32.6
38.4
31.9
5.5
26.3
Korea
21.6
23.3
22.2
-1.8
6.0
Singapore
22.4
22.7
20.8
0.5
6.1
Germany
12.8
12.9
15.5
1.3
0.2
Malaysia
14.7
15.0
13.6
2.5
14.7
Canada
9.3
9.8
12.7
1.3
-1.6



SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES

In trend terms, short-term resident departures from Australia in March 2007 (427,400 movements) were 0.3% higher than in February 2007 (426,000 movements). Short-term resident departures are currently 0.9% higher than December 2006, when a trend break was introduced.

SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES
Graph: Short-Term Resident Departures



The following table presents the top ten destinations (based on original estimates) for short-term resident departures during March 2007. Seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are also presented for these countries, along with the percentage change in trend compared with February 2007 and March 2006.

Short-term Resident Departures, Major Destinations - March 2007

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original
Feb 07 to Mar 07
Mar 06 to Mar 07
'000
'000
'000
Trend % change
Trend % change

New Zealand
73.7
74.5
83.3
0.1
5.8
United States of America
38.0
38.6
36.8
1.1
3.5
Thailand
30.5
31.2
27.9
3.2
34.6
China
21.6
24.8
27.2
1.1
10.4
United Kingdom
31.7
31.8
25.0
-1.4
-1.4
Hong Kong
15.9
18.8
21.1
0.5
0.9
Indonesia(a)
22.1
21.9
19.6
-1.7
36.9
Singapore
16.7
17.1
17.9
-0.1
-3.3
Malaysia
15.7
16.0
16.2
1.5
10.1
Fiji
13.6
14.6
13.9
-3.4
-18.2

(a) Break in trend series from December 2006.



PERMANENT AND LONG-TERM MOVEMENTS

There were 12,940 permanent (settler) arrivals to Australia during March 2007, an increase of 17.5% compared with March 2006 (11,010 movements). People born in New Zealand accounted for the largest proportion of settlers (18%), followed by people born in the United Kingdom (13%), India (10%) and China (9%).


There were 6,250 Australian residents departing permanently from Australia during March 2007, an increase of 12.4% compared with March 2006 (5,560 movements).


Statistics on overseas arrivals and departures relate to the number of movements of travellers rather than the number of travellers. Care should be taken when using long-term movements data as it is known that some individuals who travel multiple times in a year are counted each time they cross Australia's borders (see paragraph 5 of the Explanatory Notes). Long-term movements in this publication are not an appropriate source of migration statistics. For further information refer to Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).



SHORT-TERM TRAVEL - INDIA

Short-term visitor arrivals

Trend estimates provide the best method to analyse the underlying direction of the short-term visitor arrivals series for India. Over the ten year period ending March 2007, trend estimates for visitor arrivals from India more than trebled. The high point during this ten year period was the current month (March 2007, with 7,600 movements) and the low point was in March 1997 (2,100 movements).

INDIA, Short-term Visitor Arrivals
Graph: India, Short-term Visitor Arrivals



In original terms, in the year ended March 2007 short-term visitor arrivals from India represented 1.5% (86,300 movements) of all short-term visitor arrivals to Australia. This was higher than the percentage in the previous twelve months (1.3%, or 72,000 movements).


In the year ended March 2007, short-term visitor arrivals from India stated holiday (27%) as their main reason for journey, followed by visiting friends and relatives (22%) and business (19%). In comparison, the main reasons for journey for all short-term visitors to Australia were holiday (52%), visiting friends and relatives (20%) and business (11%). The median age of short-term visitor arrivals from India was 37 years (39 years for all short-term visitors arrivals), and the median duration of intended stay was 12 days (10 days for all short-term visitor arrivals).


New South Wales (44%), Victoria (30%) and Queensland (17%) were the main states/territories of intended stay for short-term visitor arrivals from India in the year ended March 2007. The main destinations for all short-term visitor arrivals to Australia were New South Wales (39%), Queensland (28%) and Victoria (18%).


Short-term resident departures

Trend estimates provide the best method to analyse the underlying direction of the short-term resident departures series for India. Between March 1997 and March 2003, trend estimates, while showing fluctuations, remained reasonably stable. From this point the series has shown strong long-term growth. The high point during the past ten years was the current month (March 2007, with 10,200 movements) and the low point was in May 1997 (2,500 movements). Short-term resident departures to India increased nearly four-fold during the 10 year period.

INDIA, Short-term Resident Departures
Graph: India, Short-term Resident Departures



In original terms, in the year ended March 2007 short-term resident departures to India represented 2.2% (111,100 movements) of all short-term resident departures from Australia. This was higher than the percentage in the previous twelve months (2.0%, or 97,300 movements).


In the year ended March 2007, short-term resident departures to India stated visiting friends and relatives (40%) as their main reason for journey, followed by holiday (34%) and business (17%). In comparison, the main reasons for journey for all short-term residents departing Australia were holiday (48%), visiting friends and relatives (25%) and business (15%). The median age of short-term resident departures to India was 37 years (41 years for all short-term resident departures) and the median duration of intended stay was 28 days (15 days for all short-term resident departures).



STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE

The above presentation of movements in estimates does not take into account whether the change in movement is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage change. Please see the Standard Errors section of this issue for more detail.


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