9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Nov 2004  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/12/2004   
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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

The seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania should be used with caution. The small numbers and volatile nature of these data in recent months make reliable estimation of the seasonal pattern very difficult. The seasonally adjusted figures for Australia and other states/territories remain unaffected. For further information, see paragraphs 6 to 8 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOVEMBER 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 0.6% to 82,253 in November 2004. When compared with November 2003 (77,701) the trend estimate has shown an increase of 5.9%.

Sales of passenger vehicles recorded an increase of 0.9% over the last month while sales of sports utility vehicles increased 0.2% and other vehicles increased 0.3%. The trend estimate for sales of sports utility vehicles has been increasing continually since September 2003, recording a total increase of 20.4% since this time.

All states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in November 2004 with the exception of Queensland which recorded a decrease of 0.5%.


Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles decreased 3.1% to 81,234 in November 2004. Passenger vehicle sales decreased 2.9%, sales of sports utility vehicles decreased 2.2% and sales of other new vehicles decreased 4.9% in November 2004 compared to October 2004.

Western Australia was the only state or territory to record an increase (up 2.1%) in the seasonally adjusted estimate for the sales of new motor vehicles.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The November 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the October 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The November 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the October 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 4.0%.
Graph - Trend Revisions

SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Long Term


Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Short Term




Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2003September
51,749
11,590
14,452
77,791
3.8
-4.9
2.3
2.1
October
52,180
12,318
14,727
79,225
0.8
6.3
1.9
1.8
November
48,482
12,892
14,738
76,112
-7.1
4.7
0.1
-3.9
December
49,834
13,296
14,656
77,786
2.8
3.1
-0.6
2.2
2004January
40,715
12,291
11,791
64,797
-18.3
-7.6
-19.5
-16.7
February
47,876
12,865
15,136
75,877
17.6
4.7
28.4
17.1
March
53,728
15,005
17,313
86,046
12.2
16.6
14.4
13.4
April
44,079
12,351
14,875
71,305
-18.0
-17.7
-14.1
-17.1
May
46,168
15,052
17,059
78,279
4.7
21.9
14.7
9.8
June
58,284
17,981
20,947
97,212
26.2
19.5
22.8
24.2
July
46,724
14,442
15,869
77,035
-19.8
-19.7
-24.2
-20.8
August
48,649
14,910
15,685
79,244
4.1
3.2
-1.2
2.9
September
49,911
14,715
15,826
80,452
2.6
-1.3
0.9
1.5
October
52,290
13,907
15,470
81,667
4.8
-5.5
-2.2
1.5
November
52,888
15,257
16,190
84,335
1.1
9.7
4.7
3.3

Seasonally Adjusted

2003September
52,417
12,627
14,979
80,023
2.3
-0.8
2.8
1.9
October
48,939
12,601
14,967
76,507
-6.6
-0.2
-0.1
-4.4
November
48,567
13,174
15,009
76,750
-0.8
4.5
0.3
0.3
December
46,155
13,117
14,938
74,210
-5.0
-0.4
-0.5
-3.3
2004January
49,561
13,961
15,669
79,191
7.4
6.4
4.9
6.7
February
50,304
13,323
15,976
79,603
1.5
-4.6
2.0
0.5
March
49,183
13,509
16,383
79,075
-2.2
1.4
2.5
-0.7
April
48,235
13,278
15,890
77,403
-1.9
-1.7
-3.0
-2.1
May
48,141
14,571
16,165
78,877
-0.2
9.7
1.7
1.9
June
49,861
14,577
15,408
79,846
3.6
0.0
-4.7
1.2
July
47,362
14,680
15,984
78,026
-5.0
0.7
3.7
-2.3
August
48,392
15,042
15,831
79,265
2.2
2.5
-1.0
1.6
September
50,140
15,213
16,144
81,497
3.6
1.1
2.0
2.8
October
51,787
15,461
16,620
83,868
3.3
1.6
2.9
2.9
November
50,299
15,128
15,807
81,234
-2.9
-2.2
-4.9
-3.1

Trend

2003September
50,786
12,738
14,839
78,363
-0.7
0.1
0.9
-0.3
October
50,202
12,842
14,959
78,003
-1.1
0.8
0.8
-0.5
November
49,579
13,010
15,112
77,701
-1.2
1.3
1.0
-0.4
December
49,062
13,187
15,335
77,584
-1.0
1.4
1.5
-0.2
2004January
48,791
13,349
15,600
77,740
-0.6
1.2
1.7
0.2
February
48,775
13,495
15,838
78,108
0.0
1.1
1.5
0.5
March
48,851
13,656
15,981
78,488
0.2
1.2
0.9
0.5
April
48,802
13,861
16,008
78,671
-0.1
1.5
0.2
0.2
May
48,631
14,135
15,967
78,733
-0.4
2.0
-0.3
0.1
June
48,532
14,459
15,914
78,905
-0.2
2.3
-0.3
0.2
July
48,739
14,762
15,914
79,415
0.4
2.1
0.0
0.6
August
49,220
14,999
15,977
80,196
1.0
1.6
0.4
1.0
September
49,764
15,168
16,058
80,990
1.1
1.1
0.5
1.0
October
50,296
15,296
16,130
81,722
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.9
November
50,746
15,334
16,173
82,253
0.9
0.2
0.3
0.6

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
TAS.(a)
NT
ACT
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2003September
25738
21200
15293
5222
6894
1639
593
1212
77791
October
25533
21337
15521
5430
7487
2008
607
1302
79225
November
25099
20254
15058
5214
6925
1717
630
1215
76112
December
25113
21071
15265
5404
7161
1860
593
1319
77786
2004January
21216
16857
13403
4334
6249
1193
498
1047
64797
February
24955
19727
15901
5059
7113
1297
686
1139
75877
March
28118
22137
18611
5561
8086
1343
912
1278
86046
April
23033
19083
14831
4670
6529
1229
812
1118
71305
May
25649
20106
16373
5215
7296
1513
918
1209
78279
June
31438
23929
22026
6436
8969
1982
958
1474
97212
July
25031
19410
17141
4949
7228
1449
646
1181
77035
August
24795
20850
17269
5414
7513
1585
677
1141
79244
September
25241
20821
17188
5289
8177
1855
739
1142
80452
October
25621
22747
16079
5413
7875
1981
709
1242
81667
November
26619
23052
17117
5450
8157
1944
694
1302
84335

Seasonally Adjusted

2003September
26826
21272
15663
5415
7280
1607
687
1273
80023
October
24580
20103
15632
5266
7167
1900
622
1237
76507
November
24794
20369
15697
5293
7088
1628
657
1224
76750
December
24345
20049
14615
5123
6943
1256
632
1247
74210
2004January
26081
20815
16249
5386
7250
1536
651
1223
79191
February
26540
20719
16451
5196
7199
1533
753
1212
79603
March
25780
20560
16758
5168
7388
1426
788
1207
79075
April
25197
20398
16180
5128
7059
1482
762
1197
77403
May
25359
20394
16765
5237
7581
1555
774
1212
78877
June
25541
20375
17628
5272
7216
1867
732
1215
79846
July
25198
19595
17171
5033
7600
1557
668
1204
78026
August
25016
20678
17124
5352
7656
1562
734
1143
79265
September
25646
20879
17327
5376
8403
1847
815
1204
81497
October
26074
22889
17398
5569
7970
1953
763
1252
83868
November
25530
21714
16835
5314
8138
1757
724
1222
81234

Trend

2003September
26058
20786
15487
5305
7208
1607
634
1278
78363
October
25817
20691
15515
5308
7169
1600
636
1267
78003
November
25629
20606
15575
5292
7133
1568
645
1253
77701
December
25537
20554
15686
5260
7127
1518
665
1237
77584
2004January
25550
20544
15873
5233
7148
1476
694
1222
77740
February
25628
20536
16139
5212
7187
1467
725
1214
78108
March
25683
20496
16443
5195
7225
1489
746
1211
78488
April
25625
20382
16721
5179
7275
1529
755
1205
78671
May
25473
20253
16947
5177
7351
1579
752
1201
78733
June
25331
20240
17099
5201
7467
1626
744
1197
78905
July
25319
20421
17196
5247
7623
1674
739
1196
79415
August
25414
20765
17256
5302
7795
1724
741
1199
80196
September
25519
21181
17260
5355
7956
1768
747
1204
80990
October
25623
21600
17234
5400
8095
1807
751
1212
81722
November
25701
21974
17154
5431
8183
1835
755
1220
82253

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraphs 6 to 8 of the Explanatory Notes.