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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia, Dec 2005  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 19/01/2006   
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NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE Release Date
January 2006 17 February 2006
February 2006 16 March 2006
March 2006 21 April 2006
April 2006 17 May 2006
May 2006 20 June 2006
June 2006 19 July 2006



DATA NOTES

The estimates presented in this publication provide an early indication of short-term visitor arrival movements prior to final data becoming available for the reference month. Monthly data prior to the reference month are final estimates. The ABS encourages users of these data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final ABS estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for the reference period. Final estimates for December 2005 will be released on 7 February 2006.


This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See Explanatory Note 6.


Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See Explanatory Note 10.


Original estimates are influenced by seasonal and one-off or irregular factors which may distort interpretations of the underlying growth in the series. Therefore, the ABS encourages the use of the trend estimates for time series analysis. See the Demography Working Paper 2004/2 - Interpretation and Use of Overseas Arrivals and Departures Estimates (cat. no. 3106.0.55.002).


Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates are subject to revision, particularly at the current end of the series, due to additional original information becoming available. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 17.



CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE

There are no changes in this issue.



INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Anne Ward on Canberra (02) 6252 6871.



MAIN FEATURES


TREND ESTIMATES

The trend estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for December 2005 (451,900 movements) decreased by 0.5% compared with November 2005 (454,300 movements). This followed monthly decreases of 0.3% for October 2005 and 0.4% for November 2005.


Currently, short-term visitor arrivals are 0.8% lower than in December 2004.



SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

The seasonally adjusted estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for December 2005 (454,900 movements) increased by 2.9% compared with November 2005 (442,100 movements). This followed little change for October 2005 and a monthly decrease of 3.6% for November 2005.

Visitor arrivals, Short-term
Graph: Visitor arrivals Short-term




ORIGINAL ESTIMATES

In original movement terms there were an estimated 600,000 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during December 2005.

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT(a), VISITOR ARRIVALS - December 2005

Dec 05
Nov 05 to Dec 05
Dec 04 to Dec 05
'000
% change
% change

Trend
451.9
-0.5
-0.8
Seasonally adjusted
454.9
2.9
. .
Original
600.0
. .
. .

. . not applicable
(a) Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 17.

TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT(a), VISITOR ARRIVALS - Country of Residence(b)

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original



Nov 05
Dec 05
Nov 05 to Dec 05
Dec 04 to Dec 05
Nov 05
Dec 05
Nov 05 to Dec 05
Dec 05
Country of residence
'000
'000
% change
% change
'000
'000
% change
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARCTICA
New Zealand
88.7
88.1
-0.7
-1.4
82.3
89.8
9.1
97.5
Total
99.2
98.5
-0.7
-1.2
92.4
100.3
8.6
112.7
NORTH-WEST EUROPE
Germany
12.2
12.1
-1.2
0.4
12.2
12.2
-0.2
15.7
Netherlands
4.1
4.1
-0.4
-
4.0
4.3
6.4
6.5
Sweden
3.0
3.0
1.6
3.8
2.9
3.2
10.1
6.4
Switzerland
3.3
3.2
-2.1
-9.3
3.0
3.2
7.8
5.9
United Kingdom
57.1
56.8
-0.5
-2.0
54.3
59.1
8.9
109.5
Total
96.7
96.1
-0.6
-1.1
93.2
99.5
6.7
171.0
SOUTHERN & EASTERN EUROPE
Italy
4.2
4.2
-0.8
-1.3
4.2
4.2
1.0
7.2
Total
10.1
10.2
0.5
1.0
10.2
10.5
2.5
17.5
NORTH AFRICA & THE MIDDLE EAST
Total
6.5
6.7
3.2
19.9
5.9
7.5
27.5
8.5
SOUTH-EAST ASIA
Indonesia
7.6
7.6
-0.6
11.1
7.7
6.1
-20.2
10.4
Malaysia
13.8
13.7
-0.5
-7.6
11.9
14.0
17.4
17.5
Philippines
2.9
2.9
0.7
10.3
2.9
2.9
-1.5
3.2
Singapore
20.7
19.9
-4.0
-12.2
19.6
18.8
-3.7
30.6
Thailand
6.3
6.3
-1.2
-4.6
6.3
6.3
0.3
5.7
Total
54.0
53.0
-1.8
-5.0
50.7
50.9
0.3
71.2
NORTH-EAST ASIA
China
24.4
24.8
1.7
4.7
28.1
23.4
-16.9
25.2
Japan
59.4
59.2
-0.3
-5.3
60.0
56.9
-5.2
60.8
Korea
19.8
19.4
-1.7
1.0
19.5
18.9
-3.0
21.7
Taiwan
9.1
8.8
-3.6
-1.9
8.9
8.6
-3.7
7.7
Total
126.6
126.4
-0.2
-0.5
129.7
123.7
-4.6
136.7
AMERICAS
Canada
8.3
8.3
0.1
-1.7
8.0
8.8
10.4
12.9
United States of America
35.5
35.0
-1.3
-4.5
34.2
36.1
5.7
43.4
Total
47.0
46.6
-0.9
-2.7
45.4
48.1
6.2
61.1
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
South Africa
4.6
4.8
3.5
15.0
4.7
5.0
7.0
9.0
Total
6.2
6.4
2.2
13.6
6.2
6.5
4.6
11.8
Total(c)
454.3
451.9
-0.5
-0.8
442.1
454.9
2.9
600.0

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)
(a) This table presents a summary of the most recent overseas arrivals and departures estimates. Time series data for months earlier than those presented in this table are available as AusStats time series spreadsheets.
(b) Data for the current month are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly data prior to the current month are estimates based on passenger card data.
(c) Includes Southern and Central Asia and not stated/inadequately described.


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