Australian Bureau of Statistics

Rate the ABS website
ABS Home > Statistics > By Release Date
8501.0 - Retail Trade, Australia, Jul 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/08/2006   
   Page tools: Print Print Page Print all pages in this productPrint All RSS Feed RSS Bookmark and Share Search this Product



JULY KEY FIGURES

Jul 06
Jun 06 to Jul 06
$m
% change

Turnover at current prices
Trend estimates
18 111.3
0.5
Seasonally adjusted estimates
18 135.4
0.6

Monthly turnover, Trend estimates - % change
Graph: Monthly turnover, Trend estimate, Percentage change



JULY KEY POINTS


TREND ESTIMATES
  • The trend estimate of turnover for the Australian Retail and Hospitality/Services series increased by 0.5% in July 2006. This follows an increase of 0.5% in June and 0.6% in May 2006.
  • In July 2006, all states had an increase in the trend estimate. The largest increases occurred in the Northern Territory (+1.5%), Western Australia (+0.8%) and Queensland (+0.6%).


SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
  • The seasonally adjusted estimate of turnover for the Australian Retail and Hospitality/Services series increased by 0.6% in July 2006. This follows a revised increase of 0.9% in June 2006 and a revised decrease of 0.1% in May 2006.
  • All states and territories had an increase in the seasonally adjusted estimate, except Victoria which was flat.
  • Department stores (+7.0%) was the major contributor to the increase in the seasonally adjusted estimate.


ORIGINAL ESTIMATES
  • In original terms, Australian turnover increased by 1.0% in July 2006 compared with June 2006. Chains and other large retailers (which are completely enumerated) increased by 1.4%, while the estimate for 'smaller' retailers (the sampled units) increased by 0.4%.
  • Australian turnover increased by 5.2% in July 2006 compared with July 2005. Chains and other large retailers increased by 6.9%, while 'smaller' retailers increased by 2.9%.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE Release Date
August 2006 3 October 2006
September 2006 2 November 2006
October 2006 30 November 2006
November 2006 9 January 2007
December 2006 5 February 2007
January 2007 2 March 2007



CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE

The seasonally adjusted and trend series have been updated following the normal annual review of the seasonal adjustment process.



CHANGES IN TIME SERIES SPREADSHEETS

Time series spreadsheets are being released in Excel format for the first time with this issue of the publication. A concordance between the old Lotus 1,2,3 spreadsheets and the new Excel spreadsheets is available in Information Paper: Changes to Spreadsheet Tables for Retail Trade, Australia (cat. no. 8501.0.55.004).



SAMPLING ERRORS

Standard errors for the Australian estimates (original data) for July 2006 contained in this publication are:

Data Series
Estimate
Standard error

Level of retail turnover ($m)
17 617.5
132.8
Change from preceding month ($m)
169.3
93.2
% change from preceding month (%)
1.0
0.5


For more information see the Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 32-36.



INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Graham Phillips on Canberra (02) 6252 5625.



INDUSTRY TRENDS


MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES


TOTAL RETAIL

There has been moderate trend growth for the last eight months. Food retailing has had moderate trend growth for the last 12 months. Other retailing has had moderate growth in the last two months after seven months of strong growth. Department stores and Household good retailing have had strong growth for at least three months. Clothing and soft good retailing and Hospitality and services have been weak for three months.

Graph: Industry trends_Total retail



FOOD RETAILING

There has been moderate growth in the trend since August 2005. Queensland and the Northern Territory have had strong trend growth for five and six months respectively. New South Wales has had weak growth for five months, while Victoria, South Australia and the Australian Capital Territory had weak trend growth in July 2006.

Graph: Industry trends_Food retailing



DEPARTMENT STORES

There has been strong trend growth for the last four months. New South Wales (three months), Victoria (two months), Queensland (seven months) and Western Australia (eight months) have all had strong trend growth. South Australia has had weak trend growth for the last four months and the Australian Capital Territory has had moderate growth for the last three months.

Graph: Industry trends_Department stores



CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING

The trend growth has been weak for the last three months. Western Australia and the Northern Territory have had strong trend growth for ten and six months respectively. Queensland has had moderate trend growth for four months. New South Wales and South Australia had weak trend growth in July 2006, while Victoria (11 months) and Tasmania (4 months) have been in decline.

Graph: Industry trends_Clothing and soft good retailing



HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING

There has been strong trend growth in the last three months following moderate growth in the previous four months. Victoria (four months), Queensland (two months), South Australia (five months), Western Australia (seven months), the Northern Territory (12 months) and the Australian Capital Territory (four months) have all had strong trend growth.

Graph: Industry trends_Household good retailing



RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING

The trend has continued to be in decline for 15 months. Victoria has been in decline for 14 months, Queensland for two months, South Australia for four months and Western Australia for eight months. In contrast, the Northern Territory has had strong trend growth for six months.

Graph: Industry trends_Recreational good retailing



OTHER RETAILING

There has been moderate trend growth for the last two months following seven months of strong growth. New South Wales has had strong trend growth for eight months. Queensland had moderate trend growth in July 2006 after nine months of strong growth, while growth for Victoria was weak in July, also after a period of strong growth.

Graph: Industry trends_Other retailing



TOTAL RETAIL (EXCLUDING HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES)

Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has had moderate trend growth for the last seven months. Over the last six months, the trend growth for Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) was similar to the growth in Total industries (including Hospitality and services).

Graph: Industry trends_Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services)



HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES

There has been weak trend growth for the last three months. New South Wales and the Northern Territory had weak trend growth in July 2006 and Victoria and South Australia were in decline. The Australian Capital Territory and Western Australia have had seven months of strong trend growth, while Queensland and Tasmania have been in decline for six months.

Graph: Industry trends_Hospitality and services



STATE TRENDS


MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES


NEW SOUTH WALES

There has been moderate trend growth for nine months. Department stores and Other retailing have had strong trend growth for the last three and eight months respectively. All the other industries had weak trend growth in July 2006.

Graph: State trends_New South Wales



VICTORIA

There was weak trend growth in July 2006, with strong or moderate growth in the previous seven months. Food retailing had weak trend growth in July as did Other retailing. There has been strong trend growth in Household good retailing (four months) and Department stores (two months), while growth in Hospitality and services has been slowing to be in decline in July 2006.

Graph: State trends_Victoria



QUEENSLAND

There has been moderate trend growth for at least 15 months. Food retailing (five months), Department stores (seven months) and Household good retailing (two months) have had strong trend growth. Clothing and soft good retailing has had moderate trend growth for the last four months, and Other retailing had moderate growth in July 2006 following strong growth in the previous nine months.

Graph: State trends_Queensland



SOUTH AUSTRALIA

The trend growth was weak in July 2006 after four months of moderate growth. Food retailing and Clothing and soft good retailing had weak trend growth in July 2006, while Department stores has had weak trend growth for four months. Household good retailing has had strong trend growth for five months. The other industries have been in decline for at least two months.

Graph: State trends_South Australia



WESTERN AUSTRALIA

The trend growth has been strong for the last seven months. Household good retailing, Hospitality and services, Department stores and Clothing and soft good retailing have had at least seven months of strong trend growth. The trend for Food retailing has been slowing since March 2006 and was flat in July.

Graph: State trends_Western Australia



TASMANIA

The trend growth has been weak for the last six months. Food retailing was flat in July 2006 after nine months of weak trend growth. Clothing and soft good retailing and Hospitality and services have been in decline for four and six months respectively.

Graph: State trends_Tasmania

Bookmark and Share. Opens in a new window

Commonwealth of Australia 2014

Unless otherwise noted, content on this website is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Australia Licence together with any terms, conditions and exclusions as set out in the website Copyright notice. For permission to do anything beyond the scope of this licence and copyright terms contact us.