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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia, Jan 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 16/02/2007   
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MAIN FEATURES


TREND ESTIMATES

The trend estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for January 2007 (475,700 movements) increased by 0.7% compared with December 2006 (472,200 movements). This follows monthly increases of 0.9% for November 2006 and 0.7% for December 2006.


Currently, short-term visitor arrivals are 3.5% higher than in January 2006.



SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

The seasonally adjusted estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for January 2007 (476,300 movements) decreased by 1.2% compared with December 2006 (482,000 movements). This followed a monthly decrease of 0.3% for November 2006 and a monthly increase of 3.1% for December 2006.

Visitor arrivals, Short-term
Graph: Visitor arrivals Short-term




ORIGINAL ESTIMATES

In original movement terms there were an estimated 462,000 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during January 2007.

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT, VISITOR ARRIVALS (a) - January 2007

Jan 07
Dec 06 to Jan 07
Jan 06 to Jan 07
'000
% change
% change

Trend
475.7
0.7
3.5
Seasonally adjusted
476.3
-1.2
. .
Original
462.0
. .
. .

. . not applicable
(a) Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 17.


TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT(a), VISITOR ARRIVALS - Country of Residence(b)

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original



Dec 06
Jan 07
Dec 06 to Jan 07
Jan 06 to Jan 07
Dec 06
Jan 07
Dec 06 to Jan 07
Jan 07
'000
'000
% change
% change
'000
'000
% change
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARCTICA
New Zealand
93.1
95.0
2.1
4.8
92.0
97.7
6.1
70.2
Total
105.5
108.0
2.4
6.7
104.5
111.6
6.8
87.6
NORTH-WEST EUROPE
Germany
12.3
12.4
0.7
-0.5
12.4
12.5
0.5
13.5
Netherlands
4.4
4.5
1.6
5.5
4.7
4.5
-4.7
5.1
Sweden
3.0
3.1
2.7
0.9
3.0
3.2
7.5
4.6
Switzerland
3.5
3.6
0.5
5.2
3.7
3.5
-5.9
4.7
United Kingdom
61.6
62.5
1.5
5.8
73.5
61.8
-15.9
71.9
Total
102.9
104.2
1.3
4.7
115.0
103.7
-9.8
119.6
SOUTHERN & EASTERN EUROPE
Italy
4.4
4.4
0.7
5.2
4.4
4.5
2.0
4.9
Total
11.0
11.1
1.0
8.6
10.8
11.2
3.5
13.7
NORTH AFRICA & THE MIDDLE EAST
Total
7.0
7.2
3.0
21.0
7.0
7.3
4.5
6.4
SOUTH-EAST ASIA
Indonesia
7.2
7.2
0.2
4.1
7.1
7.1
-0.1
5.5
Malaysia
13.8
14.1
2.2
4.3
14.4
13.8
-4.4
7.8
Philippines
3.8
4.0
6.7
40.9
3.7
4.8
31.4
3.6
Singapore
21.2
20.7
-2.4
-2.3
21.5
20.1
-6.4
10.6
Thailand
6.5
6.6
1.8
4.6
6.8
6.6
-2.7
4.8
Total
55.5
55.7
0.4
5.1
56.6
55.6
-1.8
35.3
NORTH-EAST ASIA
China
27.1
26.9
-0.7
6.1
25.7
26.6
3.4
30.7
Japan
52.4
51.6
-1.5
-10.9
51.8
49.4
-4.5
49.8
Korea
23.8
23.9
0.6
20.2
24.7
23.6
-4.4
33.5
Taiwan
7.5
7.2
-4.3
-16.0
7.4
6.2
-16.6
7.3
Total
123.7
122.5
-1.0
-2.4
122.4
119.0
-2.8
130.6
AMERICAS
Canada
8.8
8.7
-1.2
-3.4
8.7
8.5
-2.1
11.9
United States of America
37.8
37.9
0.2
1.0
37.2
38.2
2.8
37.0
Total
50.7
50.7
0.1
1.7
49.8
51.0
2.3
54.3
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
South Africa
5.1
5.3
3.1
13.7
5.2
5.4
3.8
3.9
Total
6.9
7.0
2.4
14.7
6.9
7.2
3.9
5.7
Total(c)
472.2
475.7
0.7
3.5
482.0
476.3
-1.2
462.0

(a) This table presents a summary of the most recent overseas arrivals and departures estimates. Time series data for months earlier than those presented in this table are available as time series spreadsheets from the ABS web site.
(b) Data for the current month are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly data prior to the current month are estimates based on passenger card data.
(c) Includes Southern and Central Asia and not stated/inadequately described.


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