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6202.0 - Labour Force, Australia, Jul 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 10/08/2006   
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JULY KEY FIGURES

Jun 2006
Jul 2006
Jun 06 to Jul 06
Jul 05 to Jul 06

Trend
Employed persons ('000)
10 183.6
10 214.2
30.6
1.9
%
Unemployed persons ('000)
523.2
518.0
-5.2
-3.0
%
Unemployment rate (%)
4.9
4.8
-0.1
pts
-0.2
pts
Participation rate (%)
64.7
64.8
0.1
pts
0.2
pts
Seasonally Adjusted
Employed persons ('000)
10 196.9
10 247.5
50.7
2.2
%
Unemployed persons ('000)
528.0
513.9
-14.1
-3.0
%
Unemployment rate (%)
4.9
4.8
-0.1
pts
-0.2
pts
Participation rate (%)
64.8
65.0
0.1
pts
0.3
pts

Employed Persons
Graph: Employed Persons

Unemployment rate
Graph: Unemployment rate



JULY KEY POINTS


TREND ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)

  • EMPLOYMENT increased to 10,214,200
  • UNEMPLOYMENT decreased to 518,000
  • UNEMPLOYMENT RATE decreased to 4.8%
  • PARTICIPATION RATE increased to 64.8%.


SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)

EMPLOYMENT
  • increased by 50,700 to 10,247,500. Full-time employment increased by 27,100 to 7,305,300 and part-time employment increased by 23,600 to 2,942,300.

UNEMPLOYMENT
  • decreased by 14,100 to 513,900. The number of persons looking for full-time work decreased by 8,200 to 362,200 and the number of persons looking for part-time work decreased by 5,900 to 151,700.

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
  • decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 4.8%. The male unemployment rate decreased marginally to 4.7% and the female unemployment rate decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 4.8%.

PARTICIPATION RATE
  • increased by 0.1 percentage point to 65.0%.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE Release Date
August 2006 7 September 2006
September 2006 12 October 2006
October 2006 9 November 2006
November 2006 7 December 2006
December 2006 11 January 2007
January 2007 8 February 2007



CENSUS

Labour Force estimates for July may include some employment generated by the progressive training of temporary staff recruited by the ABS to conduct the 2006 Census of Population and Housing. The progressive nature of this recruitment makes it difficult to estimate the net addition to employment from this activity for July. Employment estimates for August will also include temporary employment of persons in the conduct of the Census. It is expected an estimate of the size of the effect of the August recruitment activity on estimates for that month will be included in the next issue of this publication, due for release on 7 September 2006.


The net addition to employment for the month of August due to the previous censuses was estimated to be about 10,000 persons in both 2001 and 1996.



SAMPLING ERRORS

The estimates in this publication are based on a sample survey. Because the entire population is not enumerated, the published estimates and the movements derived from them are subject to sampling variability. Standard errors give a measure of this variability and appear on pages 27 and 28.


The 95% confidence intervals below provide another way of looking at the variability inherent in estimates from sample surveys. The interval bounded by the two limits is the 95% confidence interval. A 95% confidence interval has a 95% chance of including the true value of the estimate.

Movements in seasonally adjusted series between June and July 2006

Monthly change
95% Confidence interval

Total Employment
50 700
-1 500
to
102 900
Total Unemployment
-14 100
-41 500
to
13 300
Unemployment rate
-0.1 pts
-0.3 pts
to
0.1 pts
Participation rate
0.1 pts
-0.3 pts
to
0.5 pts



INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Rebecca Cash on Canberra (02) 6252 6525.



PRINCIPAL LABOUR FORCE SERIES TREND ESTIMATES


EMPLOYED PERSONS

The trend estimate of employed persons rose from 8,374,400 in July 1996 to 9,056,400 in September 2000. The trend then fell slightly to 9,037,500 in January 2001, before generally rising to stand at a high of 10,214,200 in July 2006.

Graph: Employed persons



UNEMPLOYED PERSONS

The trend estimate of unemployed persons rose from 749,300 in July 1996 to 771,700 in February 1997. The trend then generally fell to 583,800 in September 2000, before rising to 685,900 in October 2001. The trend then fell to 532,400 in January 2005, before rising to 548,700 in December 2005. Since then, the trend has fallen to stand at 518,000 in July 2006.

Graph: Unemployed persons



UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

The trend unemployment rate rose from 8.2% in July 1996 to 8.4% in February 1997, before falling to 6.1% in September 2000. After rising to 7.0% in October 2001, the trend fell to 5.1% in July 2005. The trend rose slightly to 5.2% in December 2005, before falling to stand at 4.8% in July 2006.

Graph: Unemployment rate



EMPLOYED PERSONS TREND ESTIMATES


MALES EMPLOYED FULL TIME


TOTAL

The trend estimate for males employed full time generally rose from 4,212,600 in July 1996 to 4,400,000 in August 2000, before falling to 4,334,300 in June 2001. Since then, the trend has generally risen to stand at 4,768,800 in July 2006.

Graph: Males employed full time Total



MALES AGED 15-19 YEARS

Although fluctuating, the trend estimate of males aged 15 to 19 years employed full time decreased from 153,100 in July 1996 to a low of 135,700 in February 2001. Despite falls in 2001 and 2004, the trend increased to 164,700 in April 2005. Since then, the trend has generally fallen to stand at 156,200 in July 2006.

Graph: Males employed full-time aged 15-19 years



MALES AGED 20 YEARS AND OVER

The trend estimate of males aged 20 and over employed full time rose gradually from 4,059,400 in July 1996 to 4,255,200 in August 2000. After falling to 4,191,000 in July 2001, the trend has generally risen to stand at 4,612,500 in July 2006.

Graph: Males employed full-time aged 20 years and over



FEMALES EMPLOYED FULL TIME


TOTAL

The trend estimate of females employed full time generally rose from 2,075,300 in July 1996 to 2,266,800 in March 2001. The trend then fell to 2,215,700 in January 2002, before generally rising to stand at 2,518,800 in July 2006.

Graph: Females employed full time Total



FEMALES AGED 15-19 YEARS

The trend estimate of females aged 15 to 19 employed full time generally fell from 84,700 in July 1996, to a low of 74,000 in August 1998. The trend rose to 89,100 in February 2001, before falling to 76,700 in April 2002. The trend then increased to 89,300 in November 2004, before generally falling to 80,600 in July 2006.

Graph: Females employed full-time aged 15-19 years



FEMALES AGED 20 YEARS AND OVER

The trend estimate of females aged 20 and over employed full time, generally rose from 1,990,700 in July 1996 to 2,177,900 in March 2001. After falling slightly to 2,135,400 in December 2001, the trend has generally risen to stand at 2,438,100 in July 2006.

Graph: Females employed full-time aged 20 years and over

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