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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia (Electronic Publication), Nov 2005  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/12/2005   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


NOVEMBER 2005 KEY POINTS

Trend

The November 2005 trend estimate (81,191) for total sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.5% compared with the October 2005 estimate. This is the ninth consecutive month in which the trend estimate has recorded a decrease. Since November 2004, the trend estimate has decreased 0.6%.

Decreases were recorded in November 2005 compared with October 2005 for the trend estimate of sales of passenger vehicles (0.6%), sports utility vehicles (0.7%) and other vehicles (0.3%). Compared with November 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (0.1%) and other vehicles (2.6%), while sales of sports utility vehicles showed a decrease of 6.4%.

Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles in November 2005 compared with October 2005, with the Northern Territory (2.8%) recording the largest decrease. Western Australia (1.1%) and South Australia (0.3%) were the only two states to record increases over this time.

When compared with November 2004, half of the states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles. Tasmania recorded the largest decrease (8.1%) while Western Australia recorded the largest increase (12.1%).

Seasonally adjusted

The November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate (80,711) for total sales of new motor vehicles increased 2.2% compared with the October 2005 estimate.

Increases were recorded in seasonally adjusted estimates for passenger vehicles (3.1%) and other vehicles (1.6%) in November 2005 compared with October 2005, while sports utility vehicles recorded a decrease of 0.2%.

When the seasonally adjusted estimates for November 2005 were compared with October 2005, five states and territories recorded increases with New South Wales (4.1%) recording the largest increase. Tasmania (9.8%), Queensland (0.4%) and the Northern Territory (0.1%) recorded decreases.

Sales of new motor vehicles, November 2005
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
24,354
21,309
17,407
5,327
8,907
1,453
723
1,231
80,711
Trend
24,508
21,226
17,653
5,276
8,937
1,591
750
1,250
81,191


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
4.1
2.9
-0.4
1.7
3.1
-9.8
-0.1
3.4
2.2
Trend
-1.0
-0.3
-1.0
0.3
1.1
-2.5
-2.8
-1.2
-0.5

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
-5.3
-1.0
0.8
1.0
10.4
-14.3
-0.3
-2.1
-1.0
Trend
-5.2
-0.8
1.7
-2.0
12.1
-8.1
0.3
0.9
-0.6

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
December 200524 January 2006
January 200621 February 2006
February 200622 March 2006
March 200624 April 2006
April 200622 May 2006
May 200622 June 2006
TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.
2The December 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.

The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.

graph: Trend Revisions



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES


Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles - Long Term



Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2004September
49,911
14,715
15,826
80,452
2.6
-1.3
0.9
1.5
October
52,290
13,907
15,470
81,667
4.8
-5.5
-2.2
1.5
November
52,888
15,257
16,190
84,335
1.1
9.7
4.7
3.3
December
48,673
14,311
15,996
78,980
-8.0
-6.2
-1.2
-6.3
2005January
43,075
13,826
12,664
69,565
-11.5
-3.4
-20.8
-11.9
February
50,645
15,478
14,886
81,009
17.6
11.9
17.5
16.5
March
53,280
17,348
15,798
86,426
5.2
12.1
6.1
6.7
April
46,645
13,749
15,936
76,330
-12.5
-20.7
0.9
-11.7
May
50,420
15,329
17,981
83,730
8.1
11.5
12.8
9.7
June
60,720
18,229
22,958
101,907
20.4
18.9
27.7
21.7
July
48,931
13,716
15,652
78,299
-19.4
-24.8
-31.8
-23.2
August
53,650
15,173
17,356
86,179
9.6
10.6
10.9
10.1
September
52,118
15,080
17,242
84,440
-2.9
-0.6
-0.7
-2.0
October
48,434
12,503
15,181
76,118
-7.1
-17.1
-12.0
-9.9
November
52,751
14,252
16,535
83,538
8.9
14.0
8.9
9.7

Seasonally adjusted

2004September
49,353
15,144
16,021
80,518
2.0
1.7
1.9
1.9
October
52,378
15,622
16,641
84,641
6.1
3.2
3.9
5.1
November
50,530
15,142
15,857
81,529
-3.5
-3.1
-4.7
-3.7
December
47,463
14,302
16,070
77,835
-6.1
-5.5
1.3
-4.5
2005January
52,784
16,010
17,147
85,941
11.2
11.9
6.7
10.4
February
52,896
16,195
16,079
85,170
0.2
1.2
-6.2
-0.9
March
50,111
15,846
15,640
81,597
-5.3
-2.2
-2.7
-4.2
April
51,127
14,969
16,820
82,916
2.0
-5.5
7.5
1.6
May
51,086
14,529
16,605
82,220
-0.1
-2.9
-1.3
-0.8
June
50,874
14,284
16,589
81,747
-0.4
-1.7
-0.1
-0.6
July
51,009
14,587
16,444
82,040
0.3
2.1
-0.9
0.4
August
51,683
14,698
17,206
83,587
1.3
0.8
4.6
1.9
September
51,682
15,926
17,085
84,693
-0.0
8.4
-0.7
1.3
October
48,696
13,976
16,306
78,978
-5.8
-12.2
-4.6
-6.7
November
50,195
13,948
16,568
80,711
3.1
-0.2
1.6
2.2

Trend

2004September
48,964
15,094
16,051
80,109
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
October
49,474
15,233
16,175
80,882
1.0
0.9
0.8
1.0
November
50,031
15,407
16,254
81,692
1.1
1.1
0.5
1.0
December
50,558
15,593
16,295
82,446
1.1
1.2
0.3
0.9
2005January
50,973
15,689
16,311
82,973
0.8
0.6
0.1
0.6
February
51,202
15,653
16,319
83,174
0.4
-0.2
+0.0
0.2
March
51,280
15,448
16,334
83,062
0.2
-1.3
0.1
-0.1
April
51,293
15,166
16,409
82,868
+0.0
-1.8
0.5
-0.2
May
51,248
14,899
16,525
82,672
-0.1
-1.8
0.7
-0.2
June
51,145
14,715
16,647
82,507
-0.2
-1.2
0.7
-0.2
July
51,060
14,654
16,754
82,468
-0.2
-0.4
0.6
-0.0
August
50,950
14,655
16,787
82,392
-0.2
+0.0
0.2
-0.1
September
50,702
14,617
16,766
82,085
-0.5
-0.3
-0.1
-0.4
October
50,387
14,531
16,713
81,631
-0.6
-0.6
-0.3
-0.6
November
50,097
14,423
16,671
81,191
-0.6
-0.7
-0.3
-0.5

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2004September
25,241
20,821
17,188
5,289
8,177
1,855
739
1,142
80,452
October
25,621
22,747
16,079
5,413
7,875
1,981
709
1,242
81,667
November
26,619
23,052
17,117
5,450
8,157
1,944
694
1,302
84,335
December
24,315
21,700
16,537
4,998
7,341
2,245
647
1,197
78,980
2005January
22,467
18,015
14,530
4,466
6,931
1,478
560
1,118
69,565
February
25,754
20,580
17,837
5,489
7,880
1,431
776
1,262
81,009
March
27,474
21,963
19,114
5,452
8,623
1,571
888
1,341
86,426
April
24,329
19,497
16,789
5,034
7,329
1,371
858
1,123
76,330
May
26,204
21,882
18,221
5,534
8,066
1,639
912
1,272
83,730
June
30,695
25,402
24,613
6,561
9,986
2,052
1,183
1,415
101,907
July
24,905
19,923
17,559
4,794
7,684
1,435
764
1,235
78,299
August
26,292
22,552
19,330
5,458
8,714
1,689
751
1,393
86,179
September
25,457
22,044
18,344
5,243
9,125
2,151
793
1,283
84,440
October
22,949
20,289
16,026
5,030
8,349
1,655
659
1,161
76,118
November
25,716
22,428
17,181
5,500
9,107
1,667
690
1,249
83,538

Seasonally adjusted

2004September
25,423
20,641
17,175
5,375
8,176
1,740
782
1,206
80,518
October
26,008
23,405
17,599
5,657
7,975
1,950
784
1,263
84,641
November
25,728
21,521
17,263
5,273
8,066
1,696
725
1,257
81,529
December
24,771
20,983
16,713
4,738
7,115
1,671
692
1,152
77,835
2005January
27,341
22,593
18,097
5,605
8,388
1,843
751
1,323
85,941
February
27,441
21,612
18,418
5,650
8,139
1,712
860
1,338
85,170
March
26,169
20,982
17,485
5,341
7,710
1,759
781
1,370
81,597
April
25,991
21,212
18,521
5,422
8,258
1,593
785
1,134
82,916
May
25,372
21,385
18,240
5,411
8,125
1,667
790
1,230
82,220
June
24,893
21,285
18,540
5,241
7,937
1,796
855
1,200
81,747
July
25,302
21,207
18,223
5,146
8,426
1,619
819
1,298
82,040
August
25,907
21,714
18,225
5,237
8,743
1,631
812
1,318
83,587
September
26,084
21,657
18,463
5,307
9,001
2,025
839
1,317
84,693
October
23,390
20,716
17,474
5,238
8,635
1,611
724
1,190
78,978
November
24,354
21,309
17,407
5,327
8,907
1,453
723
1,231
80,711

Trend

2004September
25,363
20,746
17,178
5,342
7,867
1,669
748
1,196
80,109
October
25,557
21,095
17,260
5,365
7,942
1,705
746
1,212
80,882
November
25,852
21,407
17,357
5,382
7,975
1,732
748
1,239
81,692
December
26,192
21,600
17,499
5,400
7,991
1,743
754
1,267
82,446
2005January
26,442
21,648
17,686
5,420
7,993
1,738
763
1,283
82,973
February
26,486
21,573
17,896
5,437
7,995
1,728
777
1,282
83,174
March
26,312
21,446
18,090
5,437
8,006
1,711
792
1,268
83,062
April
26,048
21,346
18,254
5,410
8,050
1,697
807
1,256
82,868
May
25,765
21,306
18,360
5,353
8,130
1,691
818
1,249
82,672
June
25,514
21,318
18,373
5,286
8,254
1,692
821
1,249
82,507
July
25,354
21,363
18,315
5,249
8,418
1,694
818
1,257
82,468
August
25,220
21,379
18,200
5,245
8,588
1,686
807
1,267
82,392
September
25,010
21,344
18,025
5,250
8,732
1,663
791
1,270
82,085
October
24,750
21,288
17,825
5,258
8,841
1,632
772
1,265
81,631
November
24,508
21,226
17,653
5,276
8,937
1,591
750
1,250
81,191

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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