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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia, Nov 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 18/12/2006   
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NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUE Release Date
December 2006 17 January 2007
January 2007 16 February 2007
February 2007 16 March 2007
March 2007 19 April 2007
April 2007 16 May 2007
May 200719 June 2007



DATA NOTES

The estimates presented in this publication provide an early indication of short-term visitor arrival movements prior to final data becoming available for the reference month. Monthly data prior to the reference month are final estimates. The ABS encourages users of these data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final ABS estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for the reference period. Final estimates for November 2006 will be released on 11 January 2007.


This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See Explanatory Note 6.


Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See Explanatory Note 10.


Original estimates are influenced by seasonal and one-off or irregular factors which may distort interpretations of the underlying growth in the series. Therefore, the ABS encourages the use of the trend estimates for time series analysis. See the Demography Working Paper 2004/2 - Interpretation and Use of Overseas Arrivals and Departures Estimates (cat. no. 3106.0.55.002).


Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates are subject to revision, particularly at the current end of the series, due to additional original information becoming available. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 17.



CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE

There are no changes in this issue.



INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Anne Ward on Canberra (02) 6252 6871.



SUMMARY COMMENTARY


TREND ESTIMATES

The trend estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for November 2006 (468,300 movements) increased by 1.0% compared with October 2006 (463,700 movements). This follows monthly increases of 0.9% for both September 2006 and October 2006.


Currently, short-term visitor arrivals are 2.6% higher than in November 2005.



SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

The seasonally adjusted estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for November 2006 (471,300 movements) increased by 0.8% compared with October 2006 (467,500 movements). This followed monthly increases of 3.7% for September 2006 and 0.8% for October 2006.

Visitor arrivals, Short-term
Graph: Visitor arrivals Short-term




ORIGINAL ESTIMATES

In original movement terms there were an estimated 496,000 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during November 2006.

TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT, VISITOR ARRIVALS(a) - November 2006

Nov 06
Oct 06 to Nov 06
Nov 05 to Nov 06
'000
% change
% change

Trend
468.3
1.0
2.6
Seasonally adjusted
471.3
0.8
. .
Original
496.0
. .
. .

. . not applicable
(a) Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See Explanatory Notes 14 to 17.

TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT(a), VISITOR ARRIVALS - Country of Residence(b)

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original
Oct 06
Nov 06
Oct 06 to Nov 06
Nov 05 to Nov 06
Oct 06
Nov 06
Oct 06 to Nov 06
Nov 06
'000
'000
% change
% change
'000
'000
% change
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARCTICA
New Zealand
88.4
88.9
0.6
-1.8
89.4
90.5
1.3
88.4
Total
99.4
100.0
0.6
-1.0
100.2
102.3
2.0
100.5
NORTH-WEST EUROPE
Germany
12.0
12.1
0.8
-1.1
11.7
12.4
5.8
14.1
Netherlands
4.1
4.1
-0.1
-1.2
4.2
4.1
-3.0
5.1
Sweden
2.8
2.8
-0.2
-9.1
2.8
3.0
6.3
3.8
Switzerland
3.4
3.4
0.7
4.2
3.5
3.5
-0.4
4.3
United Kingdom
57.9
58.6
1.3
1.3
58.1
59.5
2.3
74.4
Total
97.8
98.9
1.1
1.2
98.2
100.6
2.5
121.6
SOUTHERN & EASTERN EUROPE
Italy
4.5
4.5
0.4
5.3
4.3
4.6
7.1
4.7
Total
10.9
11.0
1.5
8.3
10.9
11.1
1.4
12.9
NORTH AFRICA & THE MIDDLE EAST
Total
7.2
7.6
6.2
27.1
7.0
9.0
28.1
7.7
SOUTH-EAST ASIA
Indonesia
7.3
7.6
3.6
9.4
7.0
8.1
15.8
6.0
Malaysia
12.8
13.2
2.6
-2.9
14.0
13.8
-0.9
14.1
Philippines
3.3
3.3
1.2
17.1
3.3
3.3
-1.6
3.1
Singapore
22.0
21.9
-0.4
1.7
21.6
20.2
-6.8
25.6
Thailand
6.0
6.0
-0.5
-5.2
6.1
6.0
-1.1
4.6
Total
54.5
55.1
1.0
2.7
54.8
54.6
-0.3
56.4
NORTH-EAST ASIA
China
28.0
28.7
2.4
17.5
28.0
29.2
4.5
30.0
Japan
54.9
55.1
0.4
-6.7
55.2
54.5
-1.3
58.4
Korea
23.4
23.7
0.9
20.0
24.8
21.9
-11.8
24.9
Taiwan
8.4
8.7
3.7
-4.1
9.1
8.4
-6.9
5.8
Total
127.5
128.8
1.0
2.4
130.7
126.1
-3.5
128.7
AMERICAS
Canada
9.1
9.1
-0.1
7.0
9.2
9.2
-0.2
10.9
United States of America
37.5
37.7
0.6
4.1
36.8
37.6
2.1
36.8
Total
50.7
50.9
0.6
6.4
50.1
50.8
1.4
51.6
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
South Africa
4.7
4.8
2.2
4.7
4.8
4.9
0.7
5.4
Total
6.4
6.6
2.1
6.9
6.6
6.7
1.0
7.4
Total(c)
463.7
468.3
1.0
2.6
467.5
471.3
0.8
496.0

(a) This table presents a summary of the most recent overseas arrivals and departures estimates. Time series data for months earlier than those presented in this table are available as time series spreadsheets from the ABS web site.
(b) Data for the current month are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly data prior to the current month are estimates based on passenger card data.
(c) Includes Southern and Central Asia and not stated/inadequately described.


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