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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia (Electronic Publication), Jan 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/02/2006   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

Previously unreported sales for the months of January 2005 to August 2005 have now been included in this publication. Release of this revised data (Original, Trend and Seasonally Adjusted) has now been completed and is presented in Tables 1 and 2, with footnotes denoting the months where revisions apply.

JANUARY 2006 KEY POINTS

Trend

The January 2006 trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81,839) increased 0.2% compared with the December 2005 estimate. This is the first month since February 2005 in which the trend estimate has recorded an increase.

Small increases were recorded in January 2006 compared with December 2005 for sales of passenger vehicles (0.2%) and other vehicles (0.2%). There was no movement in the trend estimate for sports utility vehicles.

Compared with January 2005, sales of passenger vehicles decreased 1.5% and sports utility vehicles decreased 6.2%, while sales of other vehicles showed an increase of 2.7%.

Most states and territories recorded slight increases in the trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles in January 2006 compared with December 2005, with the exception of Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory which recorded decreases of 0.7% and 1.1% respectively.

When compared with January 2005 however, most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles, with the largest decreases being Tasmania (10.0%), Australian Capital Territory (6.3%) and New South Wales (5.9%). Only Western Australia and Northern Territory showed increases of 10.9% and 0.4% respectively.

Seasonally adjusted

The January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (83,728) increased 2.6% compared with the December 2005 estimate.

When the seasonally adjusted estimates for January 2006 were compared with December 2005, increases were recorded for passenger vehicles (4.1%) and other vehicles (1.7%). Sports utility vehicles decreased 1.5% over the same period.

Over this same period, all states and territories except Victoria recorded increases, with Northern Territory (5.5%) and Australian Capital Territory (5.0%) recording the largest increases. Victoria recorded a decrease of 0.5%.

Sales of new motor vehicles, January 2006
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
25,929
21,671
18,201
5,344
8,906
1,611
818
1,248
83,728
Trend
24,899
21,556
17,661
5,318
8,867
1,567
768
1,203
81,839


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
4.8
-0.5
3.7
1.5
1.7
1.8
5.5
5.0
2.6
Trend
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.2
-0.0
-0.7
0.5
-1.1
0.2

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
-4.7
-4.5
1.2
-4.7
7.1
-12.6
8.9
-3.3
-2.3
Trend
-5.9
-0.5
-0.6
-2.1
10.9
-10.0
0.4
-6.3
-1.6

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
February 200622 March 2006
March 200624 April 2006
April 200622 May 2006
May 200622 June 2006
June 200621 July 2006
July 200622 August 2006
TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The February 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.
2The February 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the January 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.

The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.

Graph: Trend revisions



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term

Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2004November
52,888
15,257
16,190
84,335
1.1
9.7
4.7
3.3
December
48,673
14,311
15,996
78,980
-8.0
-6.2
-1.2
-6.3
2005January (a)
43,075
13,877
12,761
69,713
-11.5
-3.0
-20.2
-11.7
February (a)
50,640
15,526
14,975
81,141
17.6
11.9
17.3
16.4
March (a)
53,282
17,454
15,902
86,638
5.2
12.4
6.2
6.8
April (a)
46,651
13,812
16,024
76,487
-12.4
-20.9
0.8
-11.7
May (a)
50,463
15,430
18,061
83,954
8.2
11.7
12.7
9.8
June (a)
60,781
18,317
23,047
102,145
20.4
18.7
27.6
21.7
July (a)
49,016
13,822
15,803
78,641
-19.4
-24.5
-31.4
-23.0
August (a)
53,648
15,173
17,356
86,177
9.4
9.8
9.8
9.6
September
52,118
15,080
17,242
84,440
-2.9
-0.6
-0.7
-2.0
October
48,434
12,503
15,181
76,118
-7.1
-17.1
-12.0
-9.9
November
52,751
14,252
16,535
83,538
8.9
14.0
8.9
9.7
December
47,945
15,046
16,286
79,277
-9.1
5.6
-1.5
-5.1
2006January
43,761
13,251
12,991
70,003
-8.7
-11.9
-20.2
-11.7

Seasonally adjusted

2004November
50,379
15,123
15,816
81,318
-3.7
-4.0
-4.9
-4.0
December
48,638
14,011
16,195
78,844
-3.5
-7.4
2.4
-3.0
2005January
52,421
16,036
17,236
85,693
7.8
14.5
6.4
8.7
February
52,828
16,266
16,175
85,269
0.8
1.4
-6.2
-0.5
March
49,964
15,871
15,743
81,578
-5.4
-2.4
-2.7
-4.3
April
51,104
15,095
16,935
83,134
2.3
-4.9
7.6
1.9
May
50,880
14,668
16,653
82,201
-0.4
-2.8
-1.7
-1.1
June
51,036
14,363
16,654
82,053
0.3
-2.1
0.0
-0.2
July
50,937
14,759
16,519
82,215
-0.2
2.8
-0.8
0.2
August
51,621
14,792
17,241
83,654
1.3
0.2
4.4
1.8
September
51,560
15,972
17,074
84,606
-0.1
8.0
-1.0
1.1
October
48,618
14,065
16,354
79,037
-5.7
-11.9
-4.2
-6.6
November
50,147
13,972
16,585
80,704
3.1
-0.7
1.4
2.1
December
49,674
15,136
16,821
81,631
-0.9
8.3
1.4
1.1
2006January
51,721
14,902
17,105
83,728
4.1
-1.5
1.7
2.6

Trend

2004November
50,166
15,379
16,298
81,843
1.3
1.0
0.6
1.1
December
50,704
15,555
16,360
82,619
1.1
1.1
0.4
0.9
2005January
51,076
15,663
16,392
83,131
0.7
0.7
0.2
0.6
February
51,231
15,657
16,413
83,301
0.3
-0.0
0.1
0.2
March
51,236
15,501
16,436
83,173
0.0
-1.0
0.1
-0.2
April
51,207
15,260
16,502
82,969
-0.1
-1.6
0.4
-0.2
May
51,160
15,021
16,606
82,787
-0.1
-1.6
0.6
-0.2
June
51,102
14,823
16,711
82,636
-0.1
-1.3
0.6
-0.2
July
50,986
14,719
16,797
82,502
-0.2
-0.7
0.5
-0.2
August
50,836
14,717
16,822
82,375
-0.3
-0.0
0.1
-0.2
September
50,580
14,733
16,789
82,102
-0.5
0.1
-0.2
-0.3
October
50,345
14,715
16,773
81,833
-0.5
-0.1
-0.1
-0.3
November
50,226
14,690
16,776
81,692
-0.2
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
December
50,229
14,689
16,797
81,715
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
2006January
50,318
14,687
16,834
81,839
0.2
-0.0
0.2
0.2

(a) Due to source data changes these data have been revised.
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2004November
26,619
23,052
17,117
5,450
8,157
1,944
694
1,302
84,335
December
24,315
21,700
16,537
4,998
7,341
2,245
647
1,197
78,980
2005January (b)
22,494
18,063
14,574
4,475
6,950
1,479
560
1,118
69,713
February (b)
25,772
20,642
17,868
5,494
7,894
1,432
777
1,262
81,141
March (b)
27,528
22,031
19,171
5,471
8,633
1,574
889
1,341
86,638
April (b)
24,354
19,557
16,831
5,048
7,339
1,375
859
1,124
76,487
May (b)
26,248
21,964
18,285
5,549
8,080
1,641
913
1,274
83,954
June (b)
30,745
25,493
24,656
6,586
10,013
2,052
1,185
1,415
102,145
July (b)
24,998
20,025
17,631
4,813
7,727
1,438
767
1,242
78,641
August (b)
26,292
22,550
19,330
5,458
8,714
1,689
751
1,393
86,177
September
25,457
22,044
18,344
5,243
9,125
2,151
793
1,283
84,440
October
22,949
20,289
16,026
5,030
8,349
1,655
659
1,161
76,118
November
25,716
22,428
17,181
5,500
9,107
1,667
690
1,249
83,538
December
23,054
22,110
16,208
5,335
8,664
2,080
690
1,136
79,277
2006January
21,995
17,876
15,107
4,380
7,604
1,295
616
1,130
70,003

Seasonally adjusted

2004November
25,705
21,569
17,123
5,250
8,012
1,701
717
1,241
81,318
December
25,075
20,890
17,292
4,781
7,224
1,672
699
1,211
78,844
2005January
27,202
22,691
17,994
5,607
8,315
1,843
751
1,290
85,693
February
27,414
21,652
18,505
5,652
8,137
1,717
861
1,331
85,269
March
26,189
20,939
17,448
5,343
7,763
1,761
788
1,347
81,578
April
26,005
21,284
18,600
5,447
8,253
1,593
784
1,168
83,134
May
25,350
21,499
18,142
5,424
8,127
1,657
785
1,217
82,201
June
24,949
21,386
18,649
5,220
7,988
1,804
859
1,198
82,053
July
25,360
21,290
18,181
5,191
8,459
1,616
816
1,302
82,215
August
25,940
21,794
18,233
5,239
8,708
1,631
806
1,303
83,654
September
26,020
21,687
18,408
5,304
9,006
2,022
840
1,319
84,606
October
23,456
20,771
17,427
5,244
8,603
1,613
730
1,193
79,037
November
24,423
21,376
17,303
5,322
8,888
1,469
716
1,207
80,704
December
24,741
21,775
17,545
5,264
8,760
1,582
775
1,189
81,631
2006January
25,929
21,671
18,201
5,344
8,906
1,611
818
1,248
83,728

Trend

2004November
25,900
21,427
17,419
5,390
7,978
1,736
749
1,244
81,843
December
26,238
21,618
17,586
5,410
7,995
1,745
756
1,271
82,619
2005January
26,471
21,666
17,776
5,431
7,997
1,741
765
1,284
83,131
February
26,496
21,596
17,969
5,447
8,004
1,730
779
1,280
83,301
March
26,313
21,486
18,135
5,447
8,020
1,712
795
1,265
83,173
April
26,048
21,406
18,271
5,419
8,067
1,696
808
1,254
82,969
May
25,775
21,383
18,361
5,364
8,149
1,690
818
1,247
82,787
June
25,530
21,391
18,380
5,297
8,275
1,692
821
1,250
82,636
July
25,324
21,415
18,311
5,253
8,434
1,693
815
1,257
82,502
August
25,176
21,439
18,162
5,246
8,597
1,686
805
1,264
82,375
September
25,028
21,424
17,968
5,252
8,715
1,664
790
1,261
82,102
October
24,893
21,419
17,803
5,269
8,794
1,633
775
1,247
81,833
November
24,821
21,447
17,698
5,288
8,840
1,602
767
1,229
81,692
December
24,839
21,498
17,645
5,305
8,870
1,578
764
1,216
81,715
2006January
24,899
21,556
17,661
5,318
8,867
1,567
768
1,203
81,839

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
(b) Due to source data changes these data have been revised.

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