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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Sep 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/10/2004   
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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


SEPTEMBER 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 0.5% to 79,961 in September 2004. When compared with September 2003 (78,403) the trend estimate has shown an increase of 2.0%.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded a trend increase of 0.4% for September 2004. Sports utility vehicle sales increased 1.4%, continuing the increasing trend since September 2003. Sales of other new vehicles increased 0.1% in September 2004.

All states and territories, excluding the Australian Capital Territory, recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in September 2004.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles rose 3.0% to 81,354 in September 2004. Passenger vehicle sales increased 3.4% to 49,852 and sales of sports utility vehicles increased 1.7% to 15,309. Sales of other new vehicles increased 2.9% to 16,193 in September 2004.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 8 and 9.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The October 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the September 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The October 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the September 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 4.0%.

Graph: Trend revisions



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Long Term


Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total vehicles - Short Term


Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2003July
51,450
13,102
14,969
79,521
-9.9
-16.0
-22.7
-13.6
August
49,869
12,181
14,123
76,173
-3.1
-7.0
-5.7
-4.2
September
51,749
11,590
14,452
77,791
3.8
-4.9
2.3
2.1
October
52,180
12,318
14,727
79,225
0.8
6.3
1.9
1.8
November
48,482
12,892
14,738
76,112
-7.1
4.7
0.1
-3.9
December
49,834
13,296
14,656
77,786
2.8
3.1
-0.6
2.2
2004January
40,715
12,291
11,791
64,797
-18.3
-7.6
-19.5
-16.7
February
47,876
12,865
15,136
75,877
17.6
4.7
28.4
17.1
March
53,728
15,005
17,313
86,046
12.2
16.6
14.4
13.4
April
44,079
12,351
14,875
71,305
-18.0
-17.7
-14.1
-17.1
May
46,168
15,052
17,059
78,279
4.7
21.9
14.7
9.8
June
58,284
17,981
20,947
97,212
26.2
19.5
22.8
24.2
July
46,724
14,442
15,869
77,035
-19.8
-19.7
-24.2
-20.8
August
48,649
14,910
15,685
79,244
4.1
3.2
-1.2
2.9
September
49,911
14,715
15,826
80,452
2.6
-1.3
0.9
1.5

Seasonally Adjusted

2003July
50,120
12,586
14,914
77,620
-0.3
-4.3
5.1
-0.0
August
51,315
12,733
14,617
78,665
2.4
1.2
-2.0
1.3
September
52,190
12,632
14,873
79,695
1.7
-0.8
1.8
1.3
October
49,420
12,653
15,140
77,213
-5.3
0.2
1.8
-3.1
November
48,448
13,114
14,910
76,472
-2.0
3.6
-1.5
-1.0
December
46,075
13,124
14,892
74,091
-4.9
0.1
-0.1
-3.1
2004January
49,605
13,950
15,669
79,224
7.7
6.3
5.2
6.9
February
50,360
13,310
16,011
79,681
1.5
-4.6
2.2
0.6
March
49,107
13,496
16,352
78,955
-2.5
1.4
2.1
-0.9
April
48,236
13,264
15,919
77,419
-1.8
-1.7
-2.6
-1.9
May
48,112
14,579
16,209
78,900
-0.3
9.9
1.8
1.9
June
49,861
14,582
15,413
79,856
3.6
0.0
-4.9
1.2
July
47,393
14,685
15,993
78,071
-4.9
0.7
3.8
-2.2
August
48,217
15,053
15,732
79,002
1.7
2.5
-1.6
1.2
September
49,852
15,309
16,193
81,354
3.4
1.7
2.9
3.0

Trend

2003July
51,019
12,770
14,527
78,316
1.1
0.0
1.8
1.1
August
51,139
12,743
14,719
78,601
0.2
-0.2
1.3
0.4
September
50,816
12,747
14,840
78,403
-0.6
0.0
0.8
-0.3
October
50,246
12,847
14,956
78,049
-1.1
0.8
0.8
-0.5
November
49,625
13,006
15,105
77,736
-1.2
1.2
1.0
-0.4
December
49,093
13,179
15,325
77,597
-1.1
1.3
1.5
-0.2
2004January
48,800
13,339
15,590
77,729
-0.6
1.2
1.7
0.2
February
48,766
13,481
15,838
78,085
-0.1
1.1
1.6
0.5
March
48,841
13,646
15,989
78,476
0.2
1.2
1.0
0.5
April
48,856
13,855
16,029
78,740
0.0
1.5
0.3
0.3
May
48,713
14,133
15,979
78,825
-0.3
2.0
-0.3
0.1
June
48,541
14,452
15,907
78,900
-0.4
2.3
-0.5
0.1
July
48,529
14,765
15,874
79,168
-0.0
2.2
-0.2
0.3
August
48,615
15,042
15,874
79,531
0.2
1.9
0.0
0.5
September
48,818
15,255
15,888
79,961
0.4
1.4
0.1
0.5

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2003July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521
August
25,391
19,799
15,248
5,263
7,048
1,589
555
1,280
76,173
September
25,738
21,200
15,293
5,222
6,894
1,639
593
1,212
77,791
October
25,533
21,337
15,521
5,430
7,487
2,008
607
1,302
79,225
November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786
2004January
21,216
16,857
13,403
4,334
6,249
1,193
498
1,047
64,797
February
24,955
19,727
15,901
5,059
7,113
1,297
686
1,139
75,877
March
28,118
22,137
18,611
5,561
8,086
1,343
912
1,278
86,046
April
23,033
19,083
14,831
4,670
6,529
1,229
812
1,118
71,305
May
25,649
20,106
16,373
5,215
7,296
1,513
918
1,209
78,279
June
31,438
23,929
22,026
6,436
8,969
1,982
958
1,474
97,212
July
25,031
19,410
17,141
4,949
7,228
1,449
646
1,181
77,035
August
24,795
20,850
17,269
5,414
7,513
1,585
677
1,141
79,244
September
25,241
20,821
17,188
5,289
8,177
1,855
739
1,142
80,452

Seasonally Adjusted

2003July
25,843
20,755
15,225
5,247
7,168
1,502
643
1,237
77,620
August
26,459
20,498
15,667
5,322
7,234
1,553
606
1,326
78,665
September
26,668
21,214
15,641
5,377
7,259
1,590
681
1,265
79,695
October
24,813
20,300
15,711
5,323
7,198
1,985
622
1,261
77,213
November
24,684
20,350
15,581
5,271
7,102
1,615
647
1,222
76,472
December
24,316
20,011
14,588
5,109
6,944
1,251
630
1,242
74,091
2004January
26,088
20,845
16,259
5,381
7,243
1,536
648
1,224
79,224
February
26,582
20,708
16,472
5,212
7,198
1,542
757
1,210
79,681
March
25,734
20,521
16,761
5,166
7,368
1,409
789
1,207
78,955
April
25,212
20,393
16,187
5,123
7,053
1,483
763
1,205
77,419
May
25,376
20,395
16,786
5,227
7,584
1,545
780
1,207
78,900
June
25,567
20,369
17,615
5,299
7,212
1,845
736
1,213
79,856
July
25,218
19,615
17,164
5,028
7,606
1,564
668
1,208
78,071
August
24,924
20,599
17,112
5,318
7,640
1,538
736
1,135
79,002
September
25,536
20,705
17,451
5,361
8,411
1,875
825
1,190
81,354

Trend

2003July
26,268
20,818
15,329
5,238
7,179
1,546
651
1,287
78,316
August
26,259
20,856
15,455
5,283
7,226
1,595
640
1,287
78,601
September
26,063
20,803
15,487
5,308
7,212
1,618
633
1,279
78,403
October
25,823
20,717
15,507
5,310
7,176
1,614
632
1,270
78,049
November
25,636
20,633
15,561
5,292
7,139
1,580
641
1,254
77,736
December
25,539
20,572
15,669
5,260
7,131
1,526
661
1,239
77,597
2004January
25,547
20,547
15,861
5,231
7,147
1,479
693
1,224
77,729
February
25,624
20,527
16,138
5,211
7,183
1,463
725
1,214
78,085
March
25,688
20,487
16,447
5,196
7,219
1,481
748
1,210
78,476
April
25,650
20,423
16,721
5,187
7,269
1,526
757
1,207
78,740
May
25,498
20,337
16,922
5,187
7,350
1,575
753
1,203
78,825
June
25,335
20,276
17,064
5,200
7,467
1,616
745
1,197
78,900
July
25,254
20,276
17,201
5,225
7,622
1,657
743
1,190
79,168
August
25,216
20,320
17,320
5,256
7,796
1,697
745
1,181
79,531
September
25,244
20,393
17,409
5,288
7,963
1,737
752
1,175
79,961


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