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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Oct 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/11/2007   
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OCTOBER 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The October 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (88 216) increased 0.5% when compared with the September 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for over 15 consecutive months. When compared to October 2006, the trend estimate increased by 8.2%.

Sports utility vehicles increased 2.2% and other vehicles increased by 1.3% when comparing October 2007 to September 2007. Passenger vehicles decreased 0.4% for the same period. Trend estimates for sports utility vehicles have been increasing for over 15 consecutive months and other vehicles for 13 consecutive months.

All vehicle types have recorded increases when compared to the same period 12 months ago. Sports utility vehicles, other vehicles and passenger vehicles rose 22.9%, 15.3% and 1.8%, respectively.

When comparing October 2007 to September 2007, all states and territories showed increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles. Victoria and the Northern Territory showed the largest increases, both increasing 0.6%. The Australian Capital Territory increased the least with 0.2%.

Seasonally adjusted

The October 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (88 856) increased by 1.1% compared with September 2007. Sports utility vehicles and other vehicles increased by 4.6% and 1.5% respectively, while passenger vehicles decreased by 0.2%.

When comparing October 2007 to September 2007, four states and territories showed increases in total sales. The largest increase was in the Northern Territory with an increase of 5.0%, followed by South Australia with 4.7%. Total sales decreased in the Australian Capital Territory (1.5%), Western Australia (1.3%), Victoria (1.2%) and Tasmania (0.3%).

New motor vehicles sales October 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
27 394
22 436
19 616
5 266
10 264
1 630
856
1 394
88 856
Trend
26 941
22 636
19 291
5 135
10 363
1 622
831
1 397
88 216

Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
3.5
-1.2
1.2
4.7
-1.3
-0.3
5.0
-1.5
1.1
Trend
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.2
0.5

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
9.7
9.5
9.6
8.4
6.2
-1.8
1.8
15.1
8.9
Trend
8.3
11.0
7.0
3.8
7.3
2.1
4.5
13.3
8.2

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
November 200721 December 2007
December 200722 January 2008
January 200821 February 2008
February 200820 March 2008
March 200821 April 2008
April 200821 May 2008


WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The November 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the October 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The November 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the October 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.

Graph: Trend revisions



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm


Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles
(No.)
Sports
utility
vehicles
(No.)
Other
vehicles
(No.)
Total
vehicles
(No.)
Change passenger vehicles
(%)
Change sports utility vehicles
(%)
Change other vehicles
(%)
Change
total
vehicles
(%)

Original

2006August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7
April
45 109
14 274
16 231
75 614
-21.9
-18.8
-14.8
-19.9
May
52 727
16 912
18 958
88 597
16.9
18.5
16.8
17.2
June
63 768
18 966
22 363
105 097
20.9
12.1
18.0
18.6
July
53 589
15 396
17 306
86 291
-16.0
-18.8
-22.6
-17.9
August
52 748
17 440
18 018
88 206
-1.6
13.3
4.1
2.2
September
50 197
15 874
17 418
83 489
-4.8
-9.0
-3.3
-5.3
October
53 336
17 748
18 205
89 289
6.3
11.8
4.5
6.9

Seasonally adjusted

2006August
50 730
13 082
16 062
79 874
0.5
-8.1
-0.1
-1.1
September
51 094
14 470
15 880
81 444
0.7
10.6
-1.1
2.0
October
50 628
14 758
16 190
81 576
-0.9
2.0
2.0
0.2
November
50 808
14 842
16 098
81 748
0.4
0.6
-0.6
0.2
December
51 591
14 844
15 640
82 075
1.5
0.0
-2.8
0.4
2007January
54 346
15 332
16 903
86 581
5.3
3.3
8.1
5.5
February
53 674
15 459
17 255
86 388
-1.2
0.8
2.1
-0.2
March
53 785
15 609
17 581
86 975
0.2
1.0
1.9
0.7
April
51 859
16 436
17 452
85 747
-3.6
5.3
-0.7
-1.4
May
52 554
15 754
17 402
85 710
1.3
-4.1
-0.3
-0.0
June
54 035
15 949
17 271
87 255
2.8
1.2
-0.8
1.8
July
53 825
16 127
17 827
87 779
-0.4
1.1
3.2
0.6
August
51 555
17 113
17 701
86 369
-4.2
6.1
-0.7
-1.6
September
51 935
17 519
18 397
87 851
0.7
2.4
3.9
1.7
October
51 844
18 330
18 682
88 856
-0.2
4.6
1.5
1.1

Trend

2006August
50 221
14 111
15 968
80 300
0.7
0.6
-0.4
0.5
September
50 589
14 259
15 935
80 783
0.7
1.0
-0.2
0.6
October
51 091
14 462
15 972
81 525
1.0
1.4
0.2
0.9
November
51 716
14 728
16 117
82 561
1.2
1.8
0.9
1.3
December
52 315
15 029
16 375
83 719
1.2
2.0
1.6
1.4
2007January
52 794
15 309
16 689
84 792
0.9
1.9
1.9
1.3
February
53 172
15 520
17 011
85 703
0.7
1.4
1.9
1.1
March
53 361
15 675
17 262
86 298
0.4
1.0
1.5
0.7
April
53 351
15 815
17 415
86 581
-0.0
0.9
0.9
0.3
May
53 178
15 977
17 497
86 652
-0.3
1.0
0.5
0.1
June
52 962
16 215
17 578
86 755
-0.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
July
52 765
16 552
17 730
87 047
-0.4
2.1
0.9
0.3
August
52 521
16 964
17 948
87 433
-0.5
2.5
1.2
0.4
September
52 236
17 395
18 181
87 812
-0.5
2.5
1.3
0.4
October
52 028
17 777
18 411
88 216
-0.4
2.2
1.3
0.5

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392
April
23 245
18 833
16 907
4 616
8 701
1 214
883
1 215
75 614
May
26 649
22 151
20 428
5 237
10 172
1 587
973
1 400
88 597
June
31 965
25 491
24 997
6 152
11 995
1 750
1 107
1 640
105 097
July
26 851
21 655
19 600
4 871
9 645
1 561
739
1 369
86 291
August
26 549
22 958
19 145
5 128
10 730
1 481
791
1 424
88 206
September
24 946
21 788
18 025
4 738
10 244
1 684
724
1 340
83 489
October
27 556
23 097
18 933
5 329
10 460
1 708
781
1 425
89 289

Seasonally adjusted

2006August
24 152
20 301
17 460
4 979
9 550
1 436
801
1 195
79 874
September
24 924
20 643
17 619
5 042
9 569
1 641
770
1 236
81 444
October
24 965
20 489
17 890
4 859
9 661
1 660
841
1 211
81 576
November
24 958
19 997
18 428
4 975
9 643
1 707
762
1 278
81 748
December
25 051
20 331
18 607
4 832
9 801
1 402
798
1 253
82 075
2007January
26 699
21 763
19 038
5 369
9 961
1 570
839
1 342
86 581
February
25 937
22 193
19 084
5 182
10 057
1 710
827
1 398
86 388
March
26 576
21 936
19 588
5 266
9 799
1 592
832
1 386
86 975
April
26 285
21 295
19 175
5 227
9 965
1 546
842
1 412
85 747
May
26 005
21 635
19 387
4 979
9 985
1 529
815
1 375
85 710
June
26 824
22 241
19 263
5 078
10 055
1 587
822
1 385
87 255
July
26 738
22 173
19 470
5 151
10 323
1 742
802
1 380
87 779
August
26 494
22 384
18 481
5 051
10 271
1 480
825
1 383
86 369
September
26 457
22 705
19 390
5 031
10 403
1 635
815
1 415
87 851
October
27 394
22 436
19 616
5 266
10 264
1 630
856
1 394
88 856

Trend

2006August
24 308
20 214
17 726
5 019
9 483
1 576
775
1 199
80 300
September
24 561
20 267
17 836
4 964
9 574
1 582
787
1 212
80 783
October
24 873
20 398
18 029
4 947
9 662
1 588
795
1 233
81 525
November
25 232
20 637
18 302
4 986
9 744
1 595
803
1 262
82 561
December
25 583
20 930
18 625
5 055
9 818
1 599
812
1 297
83 719
2007January
25 883
21 244
18 926
5 126
9 869
1 592
819
1 333
84 792
February
26 128
21 535
19 175
5 180
9 910
1 584
826
1 365
85 703
March
26 308
21 737
19 315
5 199
9 942
1 582
830
1 385
86 298
April
26 409
21 855
19 351
5 176
9 981
1 587
828
1 394
86 581
May
26 445
21 922
19 309
5 132
10 037
1 590
824
1 393
86 652
June
26 486
22 013
19 247
5 095
10 113
1 592
819
1 390
86 755
July
26 579
22 176
19 205
5 084
10 198
1 597
819
1 389
87 047
August
26 695
22 354
19 202
5 092
10 272
1 606
821
1 391
87 433
September
26 807
22 504
19 226
5 109
10 331
1 615
826
1 394
87 812
October
26 941
22 636
19 291
5 135
10 363
1 622
831
1 397
88 216

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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