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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Jun 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/07/2004   
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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


CHANGES IN FUTURE ISSUES

From the August 2004 issue of this publication, sport utility vehicles (SUVs) will be separately identified in the original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates.

Currently SUVs are included in the other vehicles category. Data will be backdated to January 1994.


JUNE 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles rose 0.3% to 79,440 in June 2004, the sixth consecutive monthly increase.

In the twelve month period to June 2004, the trend estimate for total new motor vehicle sales recorded an increase of 2.5%.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded a monthly increase in the trend estimate of 0.2% in June 2004. Sales of other vehicles rose 0.5% in June 2004, continuing the positive monthly growth since April 2001.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for total new motor vehicle sales rose 0.5% to 79,499 in June 2004, the second consecutive monthly increase.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased by 2.7% in the twelve months to June 2004. Passenger vehicle sales decreased by 0.6% and other vehicle sales increased by 8.8% over the same period.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The July 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the June 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The July 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the June 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 9 years has been 4.0%.


Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Sensitivity Graph




SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS


Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Long Term


Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Short term


Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change Passenger vehicles (%)
Change Other vehicles (%)
Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2003April
44,602
24,263
68,865
-10.7
-7.4
-9.5
May
49,646
28,616
78,262
11.3
17.9
13.6
June
57,086
34,972
92,058
15.0
22.2
17.6
July
51,450
28,071
79,521
-9.9
-19.7
-13.6
August
49,869
26,304
76,173
-3.1
-6.3
-4.2
September
51,749
26,042
77,791
3.8
-1.0
2.1
October
52,180
27,045
79,225
0.8
3.9
1.8
November
48,482
27,630
76,112
-7.1
2.2
-3.9
December
49,834
27,952
77,786
2.8
1.2
2.2
2004January
40,715
24,082
64,797
-18.3
-13.8
-16.7
February
47,876
28,001
75,877
17.6
16.3
17.1
March
53,728
32,318
86,046
12.2
15.4
13.4
April
44,079
27,226
71,305
-18.0
-15.8
-17.1
May
46,168
32,111
78,279
4.7
17.9
9.8
June
58,284
38,928
97,212
26.2
21.2
24.2

Seasonally Adjusted

2003April
49,120
26,520
75,640
1.4
3.8
2.2
May
50,292
26,426
76,718
2.4
-0.4
1.4
June
50,078
27,305
77,383
-0.4
3.3
0.9
July
49,734
27,702
77,436
-0.7
1.5
0.1
August
51,143
27,243
78,386
2.8
-1.7
1.2
September
53,087
27,609
80,696
3.8
1.3
2.9
October
49,208
27,708
76,916
-7.3
0.4
-4.7
November
48,391
28,291
76,682
-1.7
2.1
-0.3
December
46,098
27,128
73,226
-4.7
-4.1
-4.5
2004January
49,497
29,829
79,326
7.4
10.0
8.3
February
50,175
29,588
79,763
1.4
-0.8
0.6
March
49,312
29,934
79,246
-1.7
1.2
-0.6
April
48,274
29,226
77,500
-2.1
-2.4
-2.2
May
48,241
30,889
79,130
-0.1
5.7
2.1
June
49,783
29,716
79,499
3.2
-3.8
0.5

Trend

2003April
48,938
26,230
75,168
1.4
1.6
1.5
May
49,658
26,640
76,298
1.5
1.6
1.5
June
50,431
27,062
77,493
1.6
1.6
1.6
July
51,004
27,407
78,411
1.1
1.3
1.2
August
51,154
27,632
78,786
0.3
0.8
0.5
September
50,864
27,780
78,644
-0.6
0.5
-0.2
October
50,303
27,972
78,275
-1.1
0.7
-0.5
November
49,660
28,226
77,886
-1.3
0.9
-0.5
December
49,086
28,565
77,651
-1.2
1.2
-0.3
2004January
48,745
28,962
77,707
-0.7
1.4
0.1
February
48,724
29,346
78,070
0.0
1.3
0.5
March
48,899
29,674
78,573
0.4
1.1
0.6
April
49,020
29,935
78,955
0.2
0.9
0.5
May
49,099
30,123
79,222
0.2
0.6
0.3
June
49,174
30,266
79,440
0.2
0.5
0.3

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2003April
23,588
18,368
13,386
4,507
5,948
1,177
728
1,163
68,865
May
26,259
21,053
14,967
5,273
7,127
1,454
789
1,340
78,262
June
31,168
24,132
18,084
6,089
8,662
1,549
866
1,508
92,058
July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521
August
25,391
19,799
15,248
5,263
7,048
1,589
555
1,280
76,173
September
25,738
21,200
15,293
5,222
6,894
1,639
593
1,212
77,791
October
25,533
21,337
15,521
5,430
7,487
2,008
607
1,302
79,225
November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786
2004January
21,216
16,857
13,403
4,334
6,249
1,193
498
1,047
64,797
February
24,955
19,727
15,901
5,059
7,113
1,297
686
1,139
75,877
March
28,118
22,137
18,611
5,561
8,086
1,343
912
1,278
86,046
April
23,033
19,083
14,831
4,670
6,529
1,229
812
1,118
71,305
May
25,649
20,106
16,373
5,215
7,296
1,513
918
1,209
78,279
June
31,438
23,929
22,026
6,436
8,969
1,982
958
1,474
97,212

Seasonally Adjusted

2003April
25,729
20,316
14,574
5,106
6,558
1,409
689
1,259
75,640
May
25,713
20,743
14,799
5,119
6,957
1,421
667
1,299
76,718
June
25,949
21,012
14,718
5,048
7,232
1,473
663
1,288
77,383
July
25,685
20,705
15,365
5,187
7,127
1,480
649
1,238
77,436
August
26,304
20,431
15,702
5,331
7,171
1,572
601
1,274
78,386
September
27,368
21,167
15,834
5,404
7,325
1,617
686
1,295
80,696
October
24,641
20,086
15,699
5,341
7,271
1,983
634
1,261
76,916
November
24,778
20,349
15,685
5,258
7,099
1,634
645
1,234
76,682
December
23,964
19,822
14,240
5,134
6,915
1,268
641
1,242
73,226
2004January
26,287
20,681
16,344
5,333
7,281
1,529
644
1,227
79,326
February
26,366
20,859
16,655
5,219
7,192
1,523
743
1,206
79,763
March
25,915
20,654
16,718
5,205
7,331
1,419
797
1,207
79,246
April
25,130
20,511
16,245
5,125
7,075
1,461
746
1,207
77,500
May
25,445
20,559
16,908
5,231
7,481
1,533
774
1,199
79,130
June
25,620
20,511
17,088
5,294
7,178
1,838
750
1,220
79,499

Trend

2003April
25,222
20,344
14,479
5,066
6,744
1,377
675
1,261
75,168
May
25,595
20,555
14,769
5,120
6,895
1,417
671
1,276
76,298
June
26,008
20,750
15,082
5,172
7,048
1,479
664
1,290
77,493
July
26,301
20,865
15,344
5,226
7,167
1,552
658
1,298
78,411
August
26,361
20,866
15,491
5,275
7,227
1,616
650
1,300
78,786
September
26,212
20,781
15,530
5,306
7,225
1,653
643
1,294
78,644
October
25,981
20,672
15,539
5,312
7,195
1,654
641
1,281
78,275
November
25,756
20,580
15,567
5,297
7,160
1,616
647
1,263
77,886
December
25,588
20,528
15,668
5,263
7,148
1,550
663
1,243
77,651
2004January
25,530
20,516
15,873
5,229
7,159
1,487
688
1,225
77,707
February
25,580
20,537
16,163
5,212
7,189
1,459
716
1,214
78,070
March
25,669
20,583
16,457
5,209
7,229
1,477
741
1,208
78,573
April
25,684
20,608
16,700
5,212
7,260
1,524
761
1,206
78,955
May
25,657
20,611
16,891
5,218
7,281
1,586
772
1,206
79,222
June
25,596
20,602
17,074
5,232
7,296
1,655
780
1,205
79,440


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