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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Aug 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/09/2007   
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AUGUST 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The August 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 834) increased 0.1% when compared with the July 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 15 consecutive months. When compared to August 2006, the trend estimate increased by 8.1%.

Sports utility vehicles increased 0.8% and other vehicles increased by 0.2% when comparing August 2007 to July 2007. Trend estimates for sports utility vehicles have shown increases for the last 14 months. Passenger vehicles, however, have been decreasing for five consecutive months and fell by 0.1% when comparing August 2007 to July 2007.

All vehicle types have recorded increases when compared to the same period 12 months ago. Sports utility vehicles, other vehicles and passenger vehicles rose 16.0%, 9.9% and 5.3%, respectively.

When comparing August 2007 to July 2007, Western Australia, Victoria and New South Wales showed increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles, rising 0.7%, 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The other states and territories showed decreases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles. The greatest decreases were in Tasmania and Queensland, which fell by 0.8% and 0.7% respectively.


Seasonally adjusted

The August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 096) decreased by 1.9% compared with July 2007. The only vehicle type to increase was sports utility vehicles, increasing by 4.6%. Passenger vehicles and other vehicles decreased by 4.2% and 0.8% respectively.

When comparing August 2007 to July 2007, the Northern Territory and Victoria recorded increases of 3.9% and 0.7% respectively. Total sales decreased in the other states and territories, with Tasmania recording the largest decrease of 15.4%. Queensland and South Australia followed with decreases of 5.6% and 1.9% respectively.


New motor vehicles sales August 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
26 445
22 276
18 359
5 049
10 299
1 463
830
1 375
86 096
Trend
26 647
22 142
18 956
5 058
10 270
1 566
816
1 379
86 834

Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
-1.3
0.7
-5.6
-1.9
-0.3
-15.4
3.9
-0.9
-1.9
Trend
0.3
0.4
-0.7
-0.1
0.7
-0.8
-0.1
-0.4
0.1

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
9.8
9.7
5.8
1.7
7.6
2.2
3.4
14.4
8.0
Trend
9.7
9.4
7.0
0.9
8.0
-0.8
5.3
14.8
8.1

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
September 200719 October 2007
October 200721 November 2007
November 200721 December 2007
December 200722 January 2008
January 200821 February 2008
February 200820 March 2008

WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The September 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The September 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm


Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles
(%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2006June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7
April
45 109
14 274
16 231
75 614
-21.9
-18.8
-14.8
-19.9
May
52 727
16 912
18 958
88 597
16.9
18.5
16.8
17.2
June
63 768
18 966
22 363
105 097
20.9
12.1
18.0
18.6
July
53 589
15 396
17 306
86 291
-16.0
-18.8
-22.6
-17.9
August
52 748
17 440
18 018
88 206
-1.6
13.3
4.1
2.2

Seasonally adjusted

2006June
48183
14 427
15 725
78 335
-3.2
2.4
-4.2
-2.4
July
50 536
14 224
16 012
80 772
4.9
-1.4
1.8
3.1
August
50 786
12 941
15 983
79 710
0.5
-9.0
-0.2
-1.3
September
51 075
14 485
15 994
81 554
0.6
11.9
0.1
2.3
October
50 486
15 094
16 319
81 899
-1.2
4.2
2.0
0.4
November
50 652
14 842
16 078
81 572
0.3
-1.7
-1.5
-0.4
December
51 601
14 801
15 683
82 085
1.9
-0.3
-2.5
0.6
2007January
54333
15 360
16 949
86 642
5.3
3.8
8.1
5.6
February
53 673
15 474
17 250
86 397
-1.2
0.7
1.8
-0.3
March
53 790
15 608
17 555
86 953
0.2
0.9
1.8
0.6
April
51 998
16 402
17 432
85 832
-3.3
5.1
-0.7
-1.3
May
52 495
15 695
17 351
85 541
1.0
-4.3
-0.5
-0.3
June
54 134
15 948
17 227
87 309
3.1
1.6
-0.7
2.1
July
53 970
16 061
17 732
87 763
-0.3
0.7
2.9
0.5
August
51 720
16 794
17 582
86 096
-4.2
4.6
-0.8
-1.9

Trend

2006June
49 599
13 941
16 044
79 584
0.6
-0.1
-0.5
0.2
July
49 914
14 004
15 997
79 915
0.6
0.5
-0.3
0.4
August
50 225
14 118
15 964
80 307
0.6
0.8
-0.2
0.5
September
50 557
14 296
15 959
80 812
0.7
1.3
0.0
0.6
October
51 027
14 523
16 019
81 569
0.9
1.6
0.4
0.9
November
51 643
14 793
16 173
82 609
1.2
1.9
1.0
1.3
December
52 255
15 079
16 421
83 755
1.2
1.9
1.5
1.4
2007January
52 763
15 335
16 716
84 814
1.0
1.7
1.8
1.3
February
53 169
15 524
17 016
85 709
0.8
1.2
1.8
1.1
March
53 350
15 678
17 256
86 284
0.3
1.0
1.4
0.7
April
53 315
15 842
17 404
86 561
-0.1
1.0
0.9
0.3
May
53 184
15 986
17 468
86 638
-0.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
June
53 080
16 118
17 501
86 699
-0.2
0.8
0.2
0.1
July
52 967
16 251
17 524
86 742
-0.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
August
52 900
16 383
17 551
86 834
-0.1
0.8
0.2
0.1

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392
April
23 245
18 833
16 907
4 616
8 701
1 214
883
1 215
75 614
May
26 649
22 151
20 428
5 237
10 172
1 587
973
1 400
88 597
June
31 965
25 491
24 997
6 152
11 995
1 750
1 107
1 640
105 097
July
26 851
21 655
19 600
4 871
9 645
1 561
739
1 369
86 291
August
26 549
22 958
19 145
5 128
10 730
1 481
791
1 424
88 206

Seasonally adjusted

2006June
23 893
19 330
17 380
5 030
9 086
1 636
755
1 225
78 335
July
24 088
20 491
18 214
5 114
9 443
1 509
750
1 163
80 772
August
24 093
20 298
17 346
4 967
9 569
1 432
803
1 202
79 710
September
24 720
20 748
17 675
5 029
9 657
1 717
765
1 243
81 554
October
25 207
20 539
17 951
4 890
9 633
1 637
838
1 204
81 899
November
24 917
19 986
18 401
4 976
9 600
1 652
765
1 275
81 572
December
25 000
20 344
18 645
4 821
9 802
1 416
801
1 256
82 085
2007January
26 734
21 767
19 058
5 397
9 945
1 568
838
1 335
86 642
February
25 942
22 190
19 097
5 201
10 029
1 713
827
1 398
86 397
March
26 585
21 948
19 567
5 251
9 785
1 598
829
1 390
86 953
April
26 411
21 237
19 204
5 213
9 971
1 543
841
1 412
85 832
May
25 947
21 621
19 329
4 971
9 946
1 531
816
1 380
85 541
June
26 849
22 216
19 287
5 075
10 094
1 588
821
1 379
87 309
July
26 801
22 121
19 442
5 149
10 334
1 730
799
1 387
87 763
August
26 445
22 276
18 359
5 049
10 299
1 463
830
1 375
86 096

Trend

2006June
24 042
20 086
17 576
5 121
9 249
1 567
755
1 188
79 584
July
24 107
20 173
17 633
5 078
9 395
1 574
763
1 192
79 915
August
24 286
20 232
17 713
5 015
9 506
1 579
775
1 201
80 307
September
24 542
20 297
17 834
4 964
9 592
1 584
786
1 213
80 812
October
24 860
20 434
18 039
4 952
9 668
1 587
795
1 234
81 569
November
25 231
20 668
18 324
4 993
9 738
1 591
803
1 261
82 609
December
25 594
20 947
18 648
5 064
9 801
1 594
812
1 295
83 755
2007January
25 902
21 248
18 943
5 134
9 848
1 587
820
1 332
84 814
February
26 149
21 530
19 185
5 183
9 889
1 582
827
1 364
85 709
March
26 320
21 728
19 316
5 194
9 927
1 585
829
1 385
86 284
April
26 425
21 832
19 348
5 169
9 974
1 591
829
1 393
86 561
May
26 481
21 880
19 305
5 128
10 035
1 592
824
1 393
86 638
June
26 531
21 952
19 214
5 094
10 112
1 586
820
1 390
86 699
July
26 570
22 043
19 092
5 064
10 194
1 578
817
1 384
86 742
August
26 647
22 142
18 956
5 058
10 270
1 566
816
1 379
86 834

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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