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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Apr 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 22/05/2007   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

APRIL 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The April 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (87 241) increased 0.7% when compared with the March 2007 estimate. This was the eleventh consecutive positive trend estimate. Compared to April 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.6%.

All vehicle types recorded increases. Other vehicle types and sports utility vehicles showed the largest increases from March 2007 to April 2007 (1.4% and 1.3% respectively) while passenger vehicles rose 0.3% over the same period.

All states and territories have shown increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles from the previous month. From March 2007 to April 2007, the Australian Capital Territory recorded the largest increase (1.9%) while all other states and territories increased between 0.3% and 0.8%.

Seasonally adjusted

The April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 111) decreased by 1.1% from March 2007. Sports utility vehicles increased by 4.3%, while passenger vehicles decreased by 3.1%. Other vehicle types remained stable.

From March 2007 to April 2007, three states or territories recorded increases. Western Australia rose 2.8%, the Northern Territory 2.0% and the Australian Capital Territory 1.3%. Victoria recorded the largest decrease (3.0%).


New motor vehicles sales April 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
26 453
21 281
19 292
5 228
10 038
1 563
849
1 407
86 111
Trend
26 655
21 924
19 494
5 310
9 998
1 602
844
1 414
87 241

Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
-0.9
-3.0
-1.5
-1.0
2.8
-2.9
2.0
1.3
-1.1
Trend
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.7
1.9
0.7

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
9.5
3.3
11.0
-1.0
13.4
3.2
14.0
18.1
8.0
Trend
9.7
8.9
11.1
3.2
12.2
0.8
10.9
18.7
9.6

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007
20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007
August 200721 September 2007
September 200719 October 2007
October 200721 November 2007




WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the April 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.

Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles
(No.)
Sports
utility
vehicles
(No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles
(%)
Change sports
utility vehicles
(%)
Change other vehicles
(%)
Change
total
vehicles
(%)

Original

2006February
48 483
13 506
15 457
77 446
10.8
1.9
19.0
10.6
March
53 188
15 896
18 072
87 156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7
April
45 109
14 274
16 231
75 614
-21.9
-18.8
-14.8
-19.9

Seasonally adjusted

2006February
49 561
14 074
16 553
80 188
-2.0
-3.0
-1.6
-2.1
March
48 338
13 963
16 444
78 745
-2.5
-0.8
-0.7
-1.8
April
49 695
13 800
16 233
79 728
2.8
-1.2
-1.3
1.2
May
49 544
13 907
16 312
79 763
-0.3
0.8
0.5
0.0
June
48 851
14 416
15 580
78 847
-1.4
3.7
-4.5
-1.1
July
50 877
14 138
16 136
81 151
4.1
-1.9
3.6
2.9
August
50 204
13 110
15 942
79 256
-1.3
-7.3
-1.2
-2.3
September
50 960
14 554
15 967
81 481
1.5
11.0
0.2
2.8
October
50 417
15 022
16 351
81 790
-1.1
3.2
2.4
0.4
November
50 364
14 868
16 122
81 354
-0.1
-1.0
-1.4
-0.5
December
51 614
14 863
15 678
82 155
2.5
-0.0
-2.8
1.0
2007January
54 249
15 361
17 005
86 615
5.1
3.4
8.5
5.4
February
53 675
15 504
17 303
86 482
-1.1
0.9
1.8
-0.2
March
53 850
15 656
17 602
87 108
0.3
1.0
1.7
0.7
April
52 184
16 322
17 605
86 111
-3.1
4.3
0.0
-1.1

Trend

2006February
49 481
14 195
16 589
80 265
-0.4
-0.8
-0.6
-0.5
March
49 333
14 105
16 451
79 889
-0.3
-0.6
-0.8
-0.5
April
49 298
13 999
16 270
79 567
-0.1
-0.8
-1.1
-0.4
May
49 426
13 906
16 100
79 432
0.3
-0.7
-1.0
-0.2
June
49 700
13 907
16 008
79 615
0.6
0.0
-0.6
0.2
July
49 963
13 991
15 968
79 922
0.5
0.6
-0.2
0.4
August
50 194
14 131
15 951
80 276
0.5
1.0
-0.1
0.4
September
50 440
14 327
15 963
80 730
0.5
1.4
0.1
0.6
October
50 855
14 562
16 033
81 450
0.8
1.6
0.4
0.9
November
51 448
14 820
16 194
82 462
1.2
1.8
1.0
1.2
December
52 100
15 087
16 438
83 625
1.3
1.8
1.5
1.4
2007January
52 723
15 327
16 749
84 799
1.2
1.6
1.9
1.4
February
53 198
15 548
17 077
85 823
0.9
1.4
2.0
1.2
March
53 482
15 758
17 385
86 625
0.5
1.4
1.8
0.9
April
53 645
15 959
17 637
87 241
0.3
1.3
1.4
0.7

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006February
24 495
19 979
16 452
5 085
8 165
1 373
731
1 166
77 446
March
27 165
21 461
19 833
5 195
9 750
1 540
913
1 299
87 156
April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392
April
23 245
18 833
16 907
4 616
8 701
1 214
883
1 215
75 614

Seasonally adjusted

2006February
24 982
20 646
17 256
5 187
8 525
1 611
791
1 190
80 188
March
24 343
19 772
17 400
4 897
8 772
1 583
776
1 202
78 745
April
24 169
20 601
17 376
5 280
8 851
1 515
745
1 191
79 728
May
23 915
20 111
17 771
5 227
9 244
1 606
740
1 149
79 763
June
24 100
19 413
17 512
5 048
9 076
1 703
759
1 236
78 847
July
24 262
20 509
18 333
5 121
9 493
1 520
743
1 170
81 151
August
23 892
20 286
17 241
4 921
9 509
1 417
797
1 193
79 256
September
24 754
20 795
17 547
5 034
9 658
1 682
766
1 245
81 481
October
25 124
20 504
17 888
4 903
9 652
1 670
834
1 215
81 790
November
24 800
19 946
18 400
4 954
9 597
1 623
765
1 269
81 354
December
25 068
20 380
18 571
4 849
9 823
1 408
802
1 254
82 155
2007January
26 698
21 774
19 029
5 411
9 967
1 562
840
1 334
86 615
February
25 976
22 159
19 105
5 236
10 062
1 716
830
1 398
86 482
March
26 700
21 939
19 593
5 280
9 766
1 609
832
1 389
87 108
April
26 453
21 281
19 292
5 228
10 038
1 563
849
1 407
86 111

Trend

2006February
24 666
20 695
17 445
5 190
8 727
1 572
771
1 199
80 265
March
24 511
20 383
17 486
5 164
8 795
1 586
768
1 196
79 889
April
24 291
20 135
17 547
5 144
8 909
1 589
761
1 191
79 567
May
24 099
20 036
17 589
5 124
9 064
1 579
754
1 187
79 432
June
24 050
20 090
17 621
5 101
9 236
1 576
754
1 187
79 615
July
24 111
20 182
17 651
5 058
9 385
1 581
761
1 193
79 922
August
24 277
20 242
17 696
5 003
9 499
1 584
772
1 203
80 276
September
24 513
20 303
17 786
4 957
9 591
1 581
784
1 215
80 730
October
24 815
20 433
17 972
4 951
9 672
1 580
793
1 234
81 450
November
25 169
20 657
18 255
4 995
9 744
1 581
802
1 259
82 462
December
25 540
20 933
18 587
5 066
9 810
1 585
812
1 292
83 625
2007January
25 894
21 249
18 905
5 146
9 871
1 587
820
1 327
84 799
February
26 205
21 542
19 159
5 214
9 924
1 590
829
1 360
85 823
March
26 457
21 759
19 357
5 267
9 965
1 594
838
1 388
86 625
April
26 655
21 924
19 494
5 310
9 998
1 602
844
1 414
87 241

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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