8501.0 - Retail Trade, Australia, Dec 2006  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 05/02/2007   
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INDUSTRY TRENDS


MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AND TREND ESTIMATES


TOTAL RETAIL

December 2006 had weak trend growth following 12 months of moderate growth. Food retailing (13 months) and Household good retailing (four months) have had moderate trend growth. Department stores, Clothing and soft good retailing and Hospitality and services were flat in December and Other retailing was in decline. Recreational good retailing has had five months of strong trend growth.

Graph: Industry trends - Total retail



FOOD RETAILING

There has been moderate trend growth since December 2005. Victoria (eight months), Queensland (four months) and Western Australia (five months) have had moderate growth. South Australia had moderate trend growth in December 2006 following six months of strong growth. New South Wales has had mostly weak trend growth in the last nine months.

Graph: Industry trends - Food retailing



DEPARTMENT STORES

The trend was flat in November and December 2006 after four months of decline. New South Wales has been in decline for six months, while the Australian Capital Territory was flat in November and December after four months of decline. All other published states had either weak or moderate trend growth in December 2006.

Graph: Industry trends - Department stores



CLOTHING AND SOFT GOOD RETAILING

The trend growth has been slowing since July 2006 and was flat in December 2006. Western Australia had moderate trend growth in December 2006 following 14 months of strong growth. After five months of strong trend growth, Victoria had moderate growth in December, while Tasmania and the Northern Territory were flat. Trend growth in New South Wales was weak in December.

Graph: Industry trends - Clothing and soft good retailing



HOUSEHOLD GOOD RETAILING

There has been moderate trend growth in the last four months after four months of strong growth. Queensland (eight months) and the Australian Capital Territory (15 months) have had strong trend growth, while New South Wales has had three months of moderate growth. Victoria and Western Australia have had two months of weak trend growth.

Graph: Industry trends - Household good retailing



RECREATIONAL GOOD RETAILING

The trend growth has been strong for the last five months. Victoria (three months), Queensland (six months), Western Australia (six months), Northern Territory (11 months) and the Australian Capital Territory (five months) have all had strong growth. By contrast, South Australia has been in decline for eight months.

Graph: Industry trends - Recreational good retailing



OTHER RETAILING

Other retailing has had four months of decline in trend growth. New South Wales (four months), Victoria (five months), Queensland (six months) and the Australian Capital Territory (six months) have been in decline. Western Australia has had 13 months of strong trend growth.

Graph: Industry trends - Other retailing



TOTAL RETAIL (EXCLUDING HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES)

Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) continues to have moderate trend growth. Over the last seven months, the trend growth for Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services) has been slightly larger than Total industries (including Hospitality and services).

Graph: Industry trends - Total retail (excluding Hospitality and services)



HOSPITALITY AND SERVICES

Trend growth for December 2006 was flat following seven months of weak growth. Western Australia had moderate growth in December 2006 after 11 months of strong trend growth. The Australian Capital Territory has had 13 months of strong trend growth. Victoria has had moderate trend growth for the last three months, while the other states were in decline in December 2006.

Graph: Industry trends - Hospitality and services