3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, Dec 2016 
Quality Declaration
Quality Declaration ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 13/02/2017
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ALL MOVEMENTS A traveller may cross Australia's borders many times in a year and each movement is counted in these statistics. For more information, see the second paragraph of the 'Explanatory Notes'. Short-term visitor arrivals Trend estimates Trend estimates provide the best approach to analyse the underlying direction of the short-term visitor arrivals series. Over the ten year period ending December 2016, trend estimates, while showing monthly fluctuations, have recorded long-term growth. Between the beginning of 2007 and mid 2008, the series was relatively stable but then fluctuated from June 2008 to the end of 2009, possibly due to the combined effect of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the outbreak of swine flu. The highest point in the series was in December 2016 (708,200 movements) while the lowest point was in November 2008 (443,600 movements). The following table shows, in trend terms, the top ten source countries for short-term visitor arrivals in 2016 and compares the data for those same countries in 2006. New Zealand remained the largest contributor of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia in 2016, recording 1.3 million movements. Of the top ten source countries in the year ending December 2016, short-term visitor arrivals from China recorded the strongest growth over the ten year period, with a percentage change of 284.1%. It was followed by India (222.0%), and Malaysia (162.4%). The highest percentage decrease was recorded for Japan (36.2%).
(b) Total includes short-term arrivals from every source country so components will not add to the total. Seasonally adjusted estimates Irregular impacts on the short-term visitor arrivals series are demonstrated by the seasonally adjusted series. The graph above shows that over the ten year period ending December 2016, a number of large variations were evident for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia. The increase in movements in July 2008 reflects the large arrivals due to World Youth Day held in Sydney and in June 2013 reflects the spectators visiting for the 2013 British and Irish Lions rugby union tour. Original estimates In original terms, a record 8.3 million short-term visitors arrived in Australia in the year ended December 2016. The next highest recorded number of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia was in the year ended December 2015 (7.4 million). Ten years ago (2006), 5.5 million short-term visitors arrived in Australia. Age and sex In both 2006 and 2016, 25-29 year olds were the peak age group for all short-term visitor arrivals (contributing 10.6%, and 10.9% respectively). The age distribution of visitors arriving has been getting older, with the proportion of travellers within the 50-69 years age group increasing from 26.5% in 2005-06 to 29.8% in 2016. Conversely, the proportion travelling who were aged 25-49 years decreased from 46.9% in 2006 to 43.0% in 2016. The median age for all short-term visitor arrivals increased from 38.8 years in 2006 to 40.2 years in 2016.
For male short-term visitors arriving from overseas, the peak age group moved from 30-34 years in 2006 (10.3%) to 25-29 years in 2016 (10.2%). For females the peak age group of 25-29 years remained constant with a slight increase from 11.4% in 2006 to 11.6% in 2016. The median ages for males increased from 39.7 years in 2006 to 40.7 years in 2016. The median age for females increased from 37.5 years in 2006 to 39.7 years in 2016. A higher proportion of women than men arrived in Australia for short-term stays in the year ended December 2016. Previously, more males than females arrived for short-term stays. The short-term visitor arrival sex ratio (the number of male arrivals per 100 female arrivals) was 105.5 males in 2006 and 93.4 males in 2016. The highest sex ratios were recorded in the 40-44 years age group in both 2006 (143.1 males) and 2016 (114.4 males). The lowest sex ratio was recorded in the 20-24 years age group in both 2006 (78.4 males) and in 2016 (74.9 males). Main reason for journey and duration of stay In the year ended December 2016, the most frequently stated main reason for journey to Australia by short-term visitor arrivals was holiday (51.3%). This was followed by visiting friends and relatives (25.1%) and business (7.4%). While the most stated main reasons for journey in the year ended December 2006 were the same, the proportions were different; holiday (52.2%), visiting friends and relatives (21.7%) and business (10.4%). The median duration of stay for all short-term visitor arrivals was similar, with 10.7 days in 2006 and 10.8 days in 2016. State of stay New South Wales was the intended state of stay for 37.9% of all short-term visitors to Australia in the year ended December 2016. Just under a quarter of all short-term visitors intended to stay in Victoria (24.9%), with smaller proportions in Queensland (21.8%), Western Australia (10.3%), South Australia (2.6%), Australian Capital Territory (0.9%), the Northern Territory (0.8%) and Tasmania (0.7%). In 2006, states and territories that had higher intended state of stay proportions for short-term visitor arrivals were New South Wales (38.8%), Queensland (28.7%), South Australia (2.7%) and the Northern Territory (1.1%). Short-term resident departures Trend estimates Trend estimates provide the best approach to analyse the underlying direction of the short-term resident departures series. The trend estimate series for short-term resident departures has shown long-term growth over the last 10 years ending December 2016. The high point in the series was August 2016 (828,800 movements) while the low point was in December 2006 (423,400 movements). Breaks were recorded in the series at December 2006 and April 2009. For more information, see paragraph 26 of the Explanatory Notes. The following table shows, in trend terms, the top ten destination countries for short-term resident departures in 2016 compared with data for those same countries in 2006. New Zealand remained the most popular destination in 2016, with Australians making 1.3 million journeys there. Of the top ten destination countries in the year ending December 2016, short-term resident departures to Indonesia (including Bali) recorded the strongest growth over the ten year period, with a percentage change of 546.6%. It was followed by Japan (264.3%), India (199.3%) and the United States of America (138.7%).
(b) Total includes short-term resident departures from every source country so components will not add to the total. Seasonally adjusted estimates The seasonally adjusted series allows for the analysis of irregular impacts on the series. During the ten years ending December 2016, the seasonally adjusted estimate has mainly recorded strong growth. Strong movement in the series from early 2008 onwards coincided with the Global Financial Crisis, the high Australian dollar, cut-price air fares and the Australian Government stimulus packages of October 2008 and March/April 2009. Original estimates In original terms, there were a record 9.9 million short-term resident departures in the year ending December 2016. The next highest recorded number of short-term resident departures was in the year ended December 2015 (9.5 million). Ten years ago (2006), there were 4.9 million short-term resident departures. Age and sex The peak age group for all short-term resident departures changed from 45-49 years in 2006 (10.2%) to 30-34 years in 2016 (9.4%). In 2016, more Australian residents in the older age groups travelled overseas than in 2006, with people aged 60 years and over responsible for 17.2% of all departures in 2016, compared to 13.4% in 2006. The proportion travelling who were aged 25-49 years age decreased from 47.2% in 2006 to 43.9% in 2016. The median age for all short-term resident departures decreased from 41.5 years in 2006 to 40.9 years in 2016.
For male Australian residents departing overseas for a short-term stay abroad, the peak age group moved from 45-49 years in 2006 (10.9%) to 30-34 years in 2016 (9.5%). For females, the peak age group moved from 50-54 years in 2006 (9.8%) to 25-29 years in 2016 (9.4%). For males, the median age decreased from 42.5 years in 2006 to 41.6 years in 2016, while for females the median age decreased slightly (40.1 in 2006 to 40.0 in 2016). The short-term resident departures sex ratio (the number of male departures per 100 female departures) was 118.3 males in 2006 compared with 108.3 males in 2016. The highest sex ratio was recorded in the 40-44 years age group in both 2006 (146.5 males) and in 2016 (127.4 males). The lowest sex ratios were in the 20-24 years age groups in both 2006 (83.1 males) and 2016 (82.8 males). Main reason for journey and duration of stay In the year ended December 2016, the most frequently stated main reason for journey from Australia by short-term resident departures was holiday (59.3%). This was followed by visiting friends and relatives (23.8%) and business (8.6%). While the three main reasons for journey in the year ended December 2006 were the same, the proportions were different; holiday (48.7%), visiting friends and relatives (26.4%) and business (15.4%). The median duration of stay for all short-term resident departures has decreased from 16.0 days in 2006 to 14.5 days in 2016. State of residence The largest contributors to short-term travel overseas in the year ended December 2016 were the most populous states. Residents of New South Wales contributed the highest proportion of travellers (34.5%), followed by Victoria (25.5%), Queensland (17.3%), Western Australia (14.0%), South Australia (4.8%), the Australian Capital Territory (1.9%), and Tasmania and the Northern Territory (1.0% each). In 2006, the states and territories that recorded higher residence proportions for all short-term resident departures were New South Wales (38.2%), Queensland (17.4%) and the Australian Capital Territory (2.0%). Movement rates In the year ending December 2016, there was considerable variation in the rate of movement for short-term resident departures (the number of movements per 1,000 state or territory population) across the states and territories. Western Australia had the highest movement rate (532 movements per 1,000 population) followed by the Australian Capital Territory (465), New South Wales (443), the Northern Territory (420), Victoria (418), Queensland (354), South Australia (279) and Tasmania (189). Overall, the Australian movement rate was 411 movements per 1,000 population. STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE The above presentation of numeric and/or percentage changes between two estimates does not take into account whether the change is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage changes by taking into consideration the size of the standard error of these estimated changes. Please see the Standard Errors section (under the Explanatory Notes tab) of this issue for more detail. Document Selection These documents will be presented in a new window.
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